Benfica — Arsenal : Match Preview and Prediction for October 16,2025

Benfica’s Ambitions and Recent Form

The Portuguese team approaches this match not merely as an underdog, but with genuine intent. Let’s cast aside any illusions: yes, the Portuguese side is playing against the reigning European champion, but these footballers will undoubtedly find their scoring opportunity. Their away performance against Juventus in Turin during the first round offers a clear example. Benfica didn’t just sit back defensively; they fought until the very last minute and managed to score against the Italian champions on their home turf, ultimately losing by a narrow 1-2 margin.

Tactical Approach Against Arsenal

Head coach Ivan Baptista explicitly states his team will adopt the same tactical approach as they did against the Italian side. He highlights that Arsenal is a team known for its highly offensive style of play, which can sometimes lead to vulnerabilities during transitions. This is precisely where Benfica aims to capitalize: to catch the English team on the counter-attack, using Arsenal’s own attacking strength against them. This won’t be a one-sided affair; the Portuguese squad will actively seek their chances to score.

Home Advantage and Offensive Prowess

Moreover, the match will be played at the Estádio da Luz. This is a significant factor that cannot be underestimated, and the players themselves understand its importance. Midfielder Ana Gaspar confidently declares, “We are fearless and have nothing to lose.” This determined mindset, combined with the attacking potential witnessed in recent league matches – where Benfica scored four goals against Valadares, eight against Damaiaense, and five against Vitória – speaks volumes. Statistics also support our view: in 9 of Benfica’s previous 14 home matches, both teams have found the back of the net.

Arsenal’s Dominance and Scoring Threat

Now, to the main point: Arsenal is the reigning UEFA winner. Their class and attacking prowess are beyond doubt. They will arrive in Lisbon hungry for points after their 1-2 defeat to Lyon in the first round and will, of course, be aiming directly for the opponent’s goal. Players of Alessia Russo’s caliber will always create their opportunities. The question isn’t whether Arsenal will score, but how many.

Defensive Vulnerabilities of the Gunners

However, there’s another side to the coin that perfectly aligns with our prediction. The Gunners’ defense is far from impenetrable. The 1-2 loss to Lyon, and prior to that, a 2-3 defeat to Manchester City in the Super League, are not mere coincidences. René Slegers’ team plays an aggressive, attacking brand of football, which inevitably leads to open spaces in their own half. This is confirmed by the statistics: in 11 of Arsenal’s last 14 matches, both teams have managed to score.

Arsenal’s Away Defensive Record

Furthermore, this trend is particularly pronounced in their away fixtures. In 5 of Arsenal’s last 6 away games, the “Both Teams to Score” bet has landed. In the match against Lyon, the London team allowed 22 shots on their goal, with 9 of them on target. These are significant numbers that suggest Arsenal’s defense allows opponents to create numerous scoring chances. Benfica, playing at home and embracing a bold, attacking style, will certainly capitalize on at least one of these opportunities.