Match Overview

The 15th round match of the PARI (FNL) between Chernomorets and Neftekhimik will take place on October 20 at the Central Stadium in Novorossiysk. Chernomorets – Neftekhimik: prediction and bet, odds, statistics.

Chernomorets Team Analysis

The team lost away to Rotor (0:2) in the previous round. This is only the second defeat for Vadim Evseev’s side in their last 7 FNL matches (4 wins, 1 draw). Moreover, the club failed to score for the fifth time in the current championship. Chernomorets allows a lot at their own goal: Novorossiysk conceded in 14 of the previous 15 matches in this tournament, and the team has a total of 19 goals conceded this season, with only three opponents having a worse record. In the main standings, Chernomorets occupies the 12th spot, 4 points clear of the relegation zone.

• The team did not score more than one goal in 9 of the previous 12 FNL games.
• At home, Novorossiysk did not lose in 12 of the last 15 championship matches (8 wins, 4 draws).
• In 6 of the last 7 home matches in this tournament, Chernomorets conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals.

Chernomorets Predicted Lineup (4-3-3)

Mikhail Shtepa – Oleg Nikolaev, Stanislav Puzanov, Zaurbek Pliev, Ilya Kirsh – Zaur Tarba, Anton Antonov, Kirill Morozov – Ilya Zhigulev, Said Aliev, Ilya Rodionov.

Neftekhimik Team Analysis

Nizhnekamsk unexpectedly lost at home to Chayka (2:3) in the previous round. Thus, the team’s 5-match unbeaten streak in the championship (3 wins, 2 draws) was broken. However, it should be noted that Neftekhimik scored more than one goal only for the third time in FNL 2025/26. At the same time, Kirill Novikov’s side found the net in 7 of the previous 8 matches in the First League. In the main standings, the club occupies the 9th spot.

• Nizhnekamsk conceded no more than one goal in 5 of the last 6 championship games.
• Neftekhimik opened the scoring in 5 of the previous 7 matches in this tournament.
• Away from home, the club did not lose in 5 of the last 6 FNL matches (3 wins, 2 draws).

Neftekhimik Predicted Lineup (3-4-3)

Timofey Kashintsev – Nikolay Tolstopyatov, Eduard Valiakhmetov, Matvey Filipovsky – Ivan Bober, David Kokoev, Konstantin Shiltsov, Giorgi Kantariya – Daniil Rodin, Andrey Nikitin, Rashid Magomedov.

Match Referee Details

Nikita Novikov (Russia)

Matches – 8 (First League, 2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 35;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.4;

Red cards shown – 0;

Average fouls per match – 30;

Penalties – 12%.

Match Prediction: Chernomorets vs Neftekhimik

Nizhnekamsk failed to end their home series on a high note. The team lost to one of the tournament’s outsiders, conceding three goals from Chayka. Neftekhimik’s defense periodically falters, one can also recall the recent defeat by Rodina. And although Kirill Novikov’s side has 6 clean sheets in the current championship, the club conceded in 7 of the last 10 FNL matches. It is important to add that many defenders are in Nizhnekamsk’s infirmary. However, it should be noted that this season the club only failed to score against Fakel away from home.

Novorossiysk under Vadim Evseev has started to score regularly. Yes, in the last round they failed to hit Rotor’s goal, but scoring against Volgograd is difficult even for more established teams. Chernomorets’ defense, however, lacks reliability. The 12th round match against KAMAZ is the only one without conceded goals in the current championship, and even the three lowest-scoring clubs in the tournament have scored against Novorossiysk’s goal.

My prediction: “Both Teams To Score – Yes” with odds 2.07