19.10.2025 03:00 (GMT+2)
[1] - 1.5
Х - 4.15
[2] - 6.05
1$
1.5
1$
6.05

Cruzeiro Mineiro — Fortaleza-CE : Match Preview and Prediction for October 19,2025

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Cruzeiro Mineiro Team Logo

Cruzeiro Mineiro

Portugal Flag
Leonardo Jardim
Coach since Feb 04, 2025

Cruzeiro’s Current Form & Misleading Position

Cruzeiro currently holds a respectable third place in the league standings. However, this position might be deceptive, making it risky to heavily back the home side. The team has been struggling to secure a win, failing to do so in their last four matches, recording one loss and three draws. Their recent performances, including a 1-1 draw in the derby against Atlético Mineiro and another 1-1 draw at home against Sport Recife, clearly highlight their current challenges.

Key Absences Crippling Cruzeiro’s Attack

Cruzeiro’s difficulties become even more apparent when considering their extensive list of unavailable players. The team will be stepping onto the pitch without its primary attacking threat, the league’s top scorer, Kaio Jorge, who boasts an impressive 15 goals. His recent red card means not just the absence of a striker, but a significant disruption to their entire offensive system. He will reportedly be replaced by Gabigol, who, according to recent reports, is on his “last chance” and is not a guaranteed starter.

Defensive Woes and Youthful Replacements

The problems don’t stop there. Due to concussion protocol, key goalkeeper Cassio will miss the match, and the left flank of the defense is left vulnerable following Kaique’s suspension. Consequently, reserve goalkeeper Léo Aragão will be between the posts, and 17-year-old Cauã Prates will step into the defense. These are critical weaknesses across every line that cannot be easily patched without significant repercussions. In the second half of the season, Cruzeiro’s defense has been conceding an average of 1.3 expected goals (xG) per match. With their attack also hampered, it’s difficult to envision them securing a dominant victory.

League Standings

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Palmeiras
27
19
4
4
51-23
61
2
Flamengo
27
17
7
3
53-13
58
3
Cruzeiro Mineiro
28
15
8
5
41-21
53
4
Mirassol
28
13
10
5
47-30
49
5
Botafogo Rio de Janeiro
28
12
7
9
37-26
43
Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores Qualification
Show Full Table

Injuries & Suspensions

  • Injury Fagner Key Player DF Key Player Icon
    16 matches played
    0 goals scored
    Jul 31 out since
    14 matches missed
  • Suspension Kaique Key Player DF Key Player Icon
    41 matches played
    1 goal scored
    Oct 16 out since
    0 matches missed
  • Suspension Kaio Jorge Starter FW Starter Player Icon
    37 matches played
    20 goals scored
    Oct 16 out since
    0 matches missed
  • Injury Matheus Henrique Rotation Player MF Rotation Player Icon
    27 matches played
    1 goal scored
    Oct 6 out since
    1 match missed
  • Injury Janderson Reserve Player DF Reserve Player Icon
    1 match played
    0 goals scored
    May 8 out since
    30 matches missed
  • Injury Luis Sinisterra Reserve Player FW Reserve Player Icon
    5 matches played
    1 goal scored
    Oct 6 out since
    1 match missed

Players Doubtful

  • Injury Cassio Key Player GK Key Player Icon
    46 matches played
    0 goals scored
    Oct 16 out since
    0 matches missed

Players Returned

  • Injury Fabricio Bruno Key Player DF Key Player Icon
    43 matches played
    3 goals scored
    Oct 14 out since
    1 match missed

Fortaleza-CE Team Logo

Fortaleza-CE

Argentina Flag
Martín Palermo
Coach since Sep 04, 2025

Fortaleza’s Struggle and Squad Issues

Fortaleza is currently battling in the relegation zone, sitting in 18th place. They too are grappling with a significant number of squad issues, with several key players sidelined due to suspensions, including Gastón Ávila, Benjamín Kuscevic, Adam Bareiro, and Deyverson. These are undoubtedly considerable losses for the team.

Comparing Squad Depletions & Fortaleza’s Key Players

However, a realistic assessment reveals that Cruzeiro’s current absences appear far more critical. Losing a few rotation players is one thing, but being without the league’s top scorer, the starting goalkeeper, and a crucial wing-back is an entirely different magnitude of problem. Fortaleza, on the other hand, still has players capable of posing a threat, such as Juan Lucero, the team’s leading scorer this season, and the ever-dangerous Yago Pikachu.

Historical Head-to-Head Advantage for Fortaleza

Furthermore, historically, Fortaleza has proven to be an exceptionally difficult opponent for Cruzeiro, particularly when playing away. Statistics confirm this trend: Cruzeiro has not managed to defeat Fortaleza at home in Serie A since 2006. The last four encounters at the Mineirão stadium have resulted in two victories for Fortaleza and two draws. This significant historical fact cannot be overlooked, as it exerts immense psychological pressure on the home team.

League Standings

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
16
Santos
27
8
7
12
28-39
31
17
Vitoria Bahia
28
6
10
12
26-43
28
18
Fortaleza-CE
27
6
6
15
26-43
24
19
Juventude
28
6
5
17
22-53
23
20
Sport Recife
27
2
11
14
21-42
17
Relegation
Show Full Table

Injuries & Suspensions

  • Suspension Benjamín Kuscevic Starter DF Starter Player Icon
    34 matches played
    1 goal scored
    Oct 16 out since
    0 matches missed
  • Suspension Emanuel Brítez Starter DF Starter Player Icon
    21 matches played
    1 goal scored
    Oct 16 out since
    0 matches missed
  • Suspension Gastón Ávila Starter DF Starter Player Icon
    24 matches played
    0 goals scored
    Oct 16 out since
    0 matches missed
  • Injury Bruno Pacheco Rotation Player DF Rotation Player Icon
    23 matches played
    1 goal scored
    Sep 27 out since
    3 matches missed
  • Suspension Adam Bareiro Rotation Player FW Rotation Player Icon
    14 matches played
    1 goal scored
    Oct 16 out since
    0 matches missed
  • Injury João Ricardo Rotation Player GK Rotation Player Icon
    35 matches played
    0 goals scored
    Sep 27 out since
    3 matches missed
  • Suspension Deyverson Rotation Player FW Rotation Player Icon
    31 matches played
    5 goals scored
    Oct 16 out since
    0 matches missed
  • Suspension Pablo Roberto Reserve Player MF Reserve Player Icon
    2 matches played
    0 goals scored
    Oct 16 out since
    0 matches missed

Players Doubtful

  • Injury Allanzinho Rotation Player FW Rotation Player Icon
    10 matches played
    0 goals scored
    Sep 13 out since
    5 matches missed
  • Injury Tinga Rotation Player DF Rotation Player Icon
    24 matches played
    1 goal scored
    Sep 1 out since
    6 matches missed
  • Injury Lucas Crispim Rotation Player MF Rotation Player Icon
    4 matches played
    1 goal scored
    Oct 3 out since
    2 matches missed
  • Injury Weverson Rotation Player DF Rotation Player Icon
    3 matches played
    0 goals scored
    Sep 1 out since
    6 matches missed
  • Injury Lucca Prior Rotation Player MF Rotation Player Icon
    18 matches played
    2 goals scored
    Sep 27 out since
    3 matches missed
  • Injury Benevenuto Reserve Player DF Reserve Player Icon
    0 matches played
    0 goals scored
    Aug 23 out since
    7 matches missed

Players Doubtful

  • Injury Allanzinho Rotation Player FW Rotation Player Icon
    10 matches played
    0 goals scored
    Sep 13 out since
    5 matches missed
  • Injury Tinga Rotation Player DF Rotation Player Icon
    24 matches played
    1 goal scored
    Sep 1 out since
    6 matches missed
  • Injury Lucas Crispim Rotation Player MF Rotation Player Icon
    4 matches played
    1 goal scored
    Oct 3 out since
    2 matches missed
  • Injury Weverson Rotation Player DF Rotation Player Icon
    3 matches played
    0 goals scored
    Sep 1 out since
    6 matches missed
  • Injury Lucca Prior Rotation Player MF Rotation Player Icon
    18 matches played
    2 goals scored
    Sep 27 out since
    3 matches missed
  • Injury Benevenuto Reserve Player DF Reserve Player Icon
    0 matches played
    0 goals scored
    Aug 23 out since
    7 matches missed

Players Returned

  • Suspension Matheus Pereira Starter MF Starter Player Icon
    14 matches played
    1 goal scored
    Oct 6 out since
    1 match missed

Final Prediction: Fortaleza to Cover the Handicap

Considering all the facts, I am confidently opting for a Fortaleza +1.5 handicap at an attractive odds of 1.59. This appears to be a rock-solid bet for several compelling reasons. Cruzeiro is currently in a performance slump, having failed to secure a victory in their last four league fixtures. More importantly, however, is the significant personnel crisis they are facing. The absence of the league’s top scorer, Kaio Jorge, coupled with their primary goalkeeper Cassio and defender Kaique also missing, spells disaster for any team hoping for a dominant win. These critical omissions severely undermine Cruzeiro’s ability to control the game and secure a decisive victory against a resilient Fortaleza side. 

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Sports betting from our team of predictors
Rory Whitfield
Based in Leicester, Rory Whitfield has established himself as a reliable voice in English sports journalism. With a decade of experience covering Premier League, Championship, and international tournaments, he brings deep knowledge of team dynamics and player statistics to his predictions. Rory's background in sports analysis and his passion for uncovering underdog stories shine through in his balanced reporting.
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