Crystal Palace — Brentford : Match Preview and Prediction for November 01,2025

Crystal Palace’s Offensive Prowess

This fixture brings together two of the Premier League’s most appealing mid-table teams. I anticipate both sides finding the back of the net, primarily due to Crystal Palace’s scoring prowess. Intriguingly, Crystal Palace leads the Premier League in total xG over nine matchdays, accumulating 19.45 xG. However, they’ve only converted 12 goals (placing them mid-table), indicating a significant underperformance in finishing.Despite this, their attacking play is wonderfully vibrant and well-coordinated. A prime example was their recent 3-0 victory at Anfield against Liverpool, a result not to be underestimated simply because of the Reds’ squad rotation. There are no major injury concerns, with Sarr, Mateta, and Pinho all fit and ready to play.

Crystal Palace’s Key Match Performances

Recent standout matches for Crystal Palace include:

• Crystal Palace 3:3 Bournemouth (xG 4.44-2.03 / 20-8 shots / 7-3 big chances);
• Everton 2:1 Crystal Palace (xG 2.03-1.53 / 14-15 shots / 5-5 big chances);
• West Ham 1:2 Crystal Palace (xG 0.66-2.31 / 8-18 shots / 1-4 big chances);
• Crystal Palace 0:0 Sunderland (xG 1.77-0.36 / 14-6 shots / 3-0 big chances);
• Crystal Palace 1:1 Nottingham (xG 1.1-0.93 / 8-9 shots / 2-2 big chances).

While they struggled at the Emirates, losing 1-0 to Arsenal (which is quite normal for many teams this season), their three victories against Liverpool this season are truly remarkable. Currently, only Arsenal has managed to completely neutralize Glasner’s side, suggesting that other opponents have generally been on par with or inferior to Crystal Palace.

Brentford’s Resurgence and Scoring Form

Brentford experienced a rocky start to the season, which was understandable given changes in their attacking lineup and a new coach. However, they’ve successfully turned things around, and their recent form is impressive. Andrews appears to have fine-tuned something, leading to three consecutive wins, including victories over Manchester United and Liverpool, a draw against Chelsea, and knocking Aston Villa out of the cup, whom they also defeated in the Premier League.Only their opening match against Nottingham (3-1 loss) stands out as particularly weak, at a time when Forest hadn’t yet experienced the conflict between management and Santo, and Brentford faced squad issues in attack. Their other poor result was a 1-0 home loss to Manchester City, where the Citizens scored early and stifled Brentford with sterile possession. Generally, Brentford’s performance has been solid. More important are the results of their marker matches:

• West Ham 0:2 Brentford (xG 0.35-2.37 / 7-22 shots / 0-5 big chances);
• Brentford 3:1 Manchester United (xG 2.02-2.08 / 10-14 shots / 6-4 big chances);
• Fulham 3:1 Brentford (xG 1.01-0.6 / 14-8 shots / 3-1 big chances);
• Brentford 2:2 Chelsea (xG 1.43-1.25 / 7-16 shots / 1-2 big chances);
• Sunderland 2:1 Brentford (xG 1.54-1.2 / 12-7 shots / 2-2 big chances).

It’s also worth noting their recent 3-2 win over Liverpool: xG 2.75-2.3 / 17-18 shots / 7-3 big chances, including seven big chances created. This follows five big chances against West Ham and six against Manchester United. Is that not impressive? Furthermore, Brentford boasts the sixth-highest xG in the Premier League with 16.12, of which 14 goals have been realized—two more than Crystal Palace, incidentally.

Squad Status and Head-to-Head Record

Similar to Crystal Palace, Brentford has no significant personnel issues. Their powerful striker, Thiago, is in superb form, having scored six goals in nine league matches. He has found the net in three of their last four away games and has scored in their last two overall matches.In all six previous head-to-head encounters over the past three seasons, both teams have scored. Focusing on the previous campaign under Glasner, Crystal Palace’s results were:

• Crystal Palace 1:2 Brentford (xG 1.08-1.26 / 16-12 shots / 1-1 big chances);
• Brentford 2:1 Crystal Palace (xG 1.59-1.17 / 9-14 shots / 3-1 big chances).

Two defeats in two matches against the Bees under Glasner will undoubtedly motivate Crystal Palace to perform. Both teams are in good form and possess powerful central forwards. Mateta and Thiago have collectively scored 14 goals this season. Furthermore, both clubs have several talented players who expertly provide opportunities for their top scorers.

Head-to-Head Dynamics and Current Form

Crystal Palace recently secured another victory against Liverpool, but can they sustain this successful streak against Brentford, a team that also recently defeated the Reds? Both current statistics and recent form suggest a closely contested battle between these two sides.

Their proximity in the league table further supports the expectation of a tight match: Crystal Palace sits 10th, with Brentford in 11th. The primary difference between them lies in goal difference, with the Eagles having three more goals. However, Palace’s 3-0 victory over Liverpool was largely influenced by the visitors’ red card in the 79th minute, which doesn’t negate underlying systemic issues for the Eagles. Prior to that match, the team had gone four games without a win, including a 1-0 defeat to Cypriot side AEK in the Conference League.

Brentford’s Preparedness and Away Record

Brentford approaches this encounter with better preparation. Their cup match against Grimsby (a 5-0 win) was played a day earlier, and their reserve squad confidently handled the opponent. A 3-2 victory over Liverpool in the league and consistent home results (10 out of 15 points this season) underscore the team’s potential. Nevertheless, the Bees have shown modest results away from home, with only one win and three losses on their travels.

Historical Encounters and Prediction

In their previous eight head-to-head league meetings, these teams have drawn five times, while the last two encounters resulted in narrow victories for Brentford. Given this history, I take minimal risk by choosing a +1 handicap for the visiting side.