Crystal Palace — Brentford : Match Preview and Prediction for November 01,2025
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Match Predictions
Crystal Palace’s Offensive Prowess
This match features two of the most engaging mid-table teams. I anticipate both sides finding the net, with Crystal Palace’s attack being a primary driver for goal-scoring action.
Remarkably, Crystal Palace leads the in cumulative xG over nine rounds, having amassed 19.45 xG. Despite this impressive attacking output, they’ve only scored 12 goals, placing them in the middle of the table for actual goals. This gap between expected and actual goals highlights a significant issue with finishing, as their offensive play is both vibrant and well-coordinated. Just recently, they demonstrated their attacking capabilities by scoring three goals at Anfield in a commanding 0-3 victory over Liverpool. This result should not be diminished by any rotational changes Liverpool might have made.
The team is currently free of major injury concerns, with Sarr, Mateta, and Pinho all fit and ready to contribute.
Key Crystal Palace Match Performance Indicators
Crystal Palace 3:3 Bournemouth (xG 4.44-2.03 / 20-8 shots / 7-3 SOT);
Everton 2:1 Crystal Palace (xG 2.03-1.53 / 14-15 shots / 5-5 SOT);
West Ham 1:2 Crystal Palace (xG 0.66-2.31 / 8-18 shots / 1-4 SOT);
Crystal Palace 0:0 Sunderland (xG 1.77-0.36 / 14-6 shots / 3-0 SOT);
Crystal Palace 1:1 Nottingham Forest (xG 1.1-0.93 / 8-9 shots / 2-2 SOT).
While they struggled at the Emirates, succumbing 1-0 to Arsenal – a currently common outcome for many teams – their ability to defeat Liverpool three times this season is truly impressive. This suggests that only Arsenal has fully managed to neutralize Glasner’s tactical setup, with other opponents generally struggling to match Crystal Palace’s performance levels.
Brentford’s Resurgence and Head-to-Head Analysis
Crystal Palace recently secured another victory against Liverpool, prompting the question of whether they can maintain this momentum against Brentford, a team that also recently defeated the Reds. Both current statistics and recent form suggest a tightly contested match.
Their close positions in the league standings further support the expectation of a balanced game: Crystal Palace sits 10th, with Brentford in 11th. The only notable difference is in goal differential, where Crystal Palace holds a slight advantage of three goals. It’s worth noting that the 3-0 victory over Liverpool was significantly influenced by an opposition red card in the 79th minute, which doesn’t fully obscure underlying issues for the Eagles. Prior to this match, the team had endured a four-game winless streak, including a 0-1 defeat to Cypriot AEK in the Conference League.
Brentford approaches this fixture with seemingly better preparation. Their cup match against Grimsby (a 5-0 win) was played a day earlier, with a confident performance from their reserve squad. Their 3-2 league victory over Liverpool and consistent home form (10 out of 15 points this season) highlight the team’s potential. However, the Bees’ away record is less impressive, with only one win against three losses on the road.
Historical Encounters and Prediction Logic
In their last eight direct confrontations, these teams have drawn five times, with Brentford securing narrow victories in the most recent two encounters. Given these historical trends and current form, selecting a (+1) handicap for the away team presents a relatively low-risk prediction.
Statistical Predictions
Handicap Trend: Crystal Palace Home Form
Crystal Palace has not won with a (-1) handicap in 21 of their last 23 home matches in the (5 pushes, 16 losses). Brentford has not lost with a (+1) handicap in 14 of their last 16 away matches in the (11 wins, 3 pushes).
Both Teams to Score Trend
Both teams have scored in 14 of Crystal Palace’s last 17 home matches in the and in 7 of Brentford’s last 10 away matches in the .
Corners Trend: Brentford Away Form
Brentford has taken at least 5 corners in 7 of their last 9 away matches in the .
Rory Whitfield
