Dundee FC — Celtic FC : Match Preview and Prediction for October 18,2023

Dundee FC’s Current Predicament

The Dundee squad approaches this match in a deeply concerning state. Stephen Pressley’s team currently occupies the penultimate 11th spot in the league table, and the pressure on the manager is intensifying. Their last fixture before the international break ended catastrophically, a 0:4 rout by Aberdeen, which Pressley himself described as “a true hammer blow.”

Offensive Struggles and Metrics

The statistics are unforgiving and paint a bleak picture for Dundee. They possess the worst attack in the league across numerous key metrics. The team has registered the fewest shots on target in the championship (just 52), created the least number of clear-cut scoring chances, and consequently holds the lowest Expected Goals (xG) figure – a mere 5.38 over 8 games.

Defensive Weaknesses

Their defense is a separate narrative of concern. Dundee exhibits the lowest pressing intensity and the highest PPDA (Opponent Passes Per Defensive Action) in the league. In simpler terms, they passively allow opponents too much freedom, a strategy that against Celtic is tantamount to a decisive defeat.

Reflections from the Aberdeen Match

The preceding encounter against Aberdeen perfectly encapsulated all their problems: a mere 37% possession, 8 shots compared to the opponent’s 20, and an xG of only 0.23. This indicates an almost complete lack of attacking threat. Simultaneously, their goal was peppered with 9 shots on target, highlighting their defensive vulnerability.

Key Player Concerns

Compounding these issues are significant personnel problems. Both first-choice goalkeeper Jon McCracken and forward Simon Murray are doubtful for this crucial game. Facing the league’s most potent attack potentially with a debutant in goal could lead to a very unfavorable outcome.

Celtic FC: A Force to be Reckoned With

Celtic stands as a stark contrast to their opponents. The reigning champions are in second place, maintaining an undefeated record this season with 5 wins and 2 draws. Brendan Rodgers’ squad boasts the most formidable defense in the league, having conceded only 3 goals across 7 matches.

Unquestionable Attacking Prowess

The attacking might of the “Bhoys” is beyond any doubt. They lead the championship in the majority of offensive metrics: most shots taken, most scoring opportunities created, and the highest xG. In their recent 3:2 victory against Motherwell, they carved out 5 clear-cut chances and accumulated an xG of 3.08, underscoring their vast attacking potential.

Dominance Through Possession

Celtic asserts dominance in every match, averaging 71.3% possession. This control enables them to dictate the pace of the game and systematically break down any opposition’s defense. For Dundee’s passive defensive setup, this will prove to be an insurmountable hurdle.

Managing Squad Absences

Indeed, Rodgers faces certain squad challenges. Daizen Maeda is definitively out, and Oaston Trusty’s participation is in question. However, the squad’s impressive depth ensures they can absorb these losses without significant impact. Kelechi Iheanacho is already finding the net, Benjamin Nygren contributed with a goal after coming on as a substitute last round, and Alistair Johnston’s return to fitness will further bolster their defensive ranks.