Empoli — Sampdoria : Match Preview and Prediction for October 28,2025

Empoli’s Defensive Vulnerabilities

Let’s begin with the hosts. Empoli suffered a 1-2 defeat against Modena in their last fixture. The mere fact that three goals were scored is telling, but a deeper dive reveals a side that consistently struggles to keep clean sheets. The statistics are unequivocal: Empoli ranks second-worst in the league for goals conceded, having shipped 16 goals in 9 matches. This averages out to nearly two goals conceded per game.

Empoli’s Potent Attack

Despite their defensive issues, the Tuscans’ attack operates efficiently. Empoli has found the net in 8 of their 9 season encounters, and their home scoring streak is perfect, with 5 goals in 5 home games. This indicates that the team regularly creates and converts scoring opportunities, but their defensive frailties often negate their offensive prowess. The match against Modena only reinforced this pattern: they conceded twice, allowing their opponents to generate 4 clear-cut goal-scoring chances.

Tactical Setup and Goal Expectancy

Even with attacking absentees like Marco Nasti, Empoli finds ways to score. Coach Dionisi’s 3-5-2 formation, with its active wing play, is designed for attack but frequently leaves significant gaps at the back. Every single Empoli match this season has concluded with over 1.5 goals – a league-best record that is clearly no coincidence.

Sampdoria’s Defensive Woes

Now, let’s turn our attention to Sampdoria. The Genoese side drew 1-1 with Frosinone in their last match. While the scoreline might suggest a tight affair, a deeper look at the match’s dynamics reveals a different story. Sampdoria allowed their opponents to unleash 16 shots on goal and hit the woodwork three times! This astonishing number points to colossal problems in their defense, which is severely strained and, by a stroke of luck, hasn’t conceded more.

Sampdoria’s Attacking Momentum

Under the new coaching staff of Gregucci and Foti, the team has adopted a more aggressive attacking approach. In the second half against Frosinone, Sampdoria looked significantly sharper, creating chances and coming close to securing a victory. Their expected goals (xG) metric of 1.70 confirms their attacking potential. Top scorer Massimo Coda once again found the net, reaffirming his class, and forward Estanis Pedrola returns to the squad, which will undoubtedly add further attacking variety.

Key Absences and Managerial Impact

Sampdoria’s defense is further weakened by personnel issues. Key defender Fabio Depaoli is out due to injury. Adding to these concerns is the suspension of head coach Angelo Gregucci, who will be forced to direct the game from the stands. A coach’s absence from the touchline rarely has a positive impact on team organization, especially on the defensive end.