17.10.2025 05:00 (GMT+2)
[1] - 2.52
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[2] - 2.74
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Herediano — Alajuelense : Match Preview and Prediction for October 17,2025

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Herediano team logo

Herediano

Costa Rica flag
Jafet Soto
Coach since September 22, 2025

Herediano’s Dire Form: A Team in Crisis

Five winless matches – this isn’t just a statistic; it’s a critical diagnosis for Herediano. The team is in a profound crisis, and the international break was unlikely to bring about a significant turnaround. Their last official fixture was a disappointing 0-2 home defeat against Guadalupe, where their attacking efforts appeared utterly toothless.

Struggling Attack and Scoring Woes

Statistics from the past five league rounds highlight severe offensive issues. Herediano has only managed to score three goals, placing them among the league’s lowest-scoring teams. The fact that they failed to score in 6 out of 11 matches this season further emphasizes the magnitude of their attacking deficiencies.

Squad Collapse and Key Absences

The situation is further exacerbated by a significant squad collapse. Head coach Jafet Soto faces a critical match without several key players. Defender Getsel Montes, who notably scored crucial goals in finals, and pivotal midfielder Aarón Murillo are both unavailable. Adding to these woes, Hexel Quirós and Allan Cruz are suspended, effectively dismantling the team’s central spine. In such a disarrayed state and with so many critical losses, expecting an attacking spectacle from the home side would be overly optimistic.

League Standings

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
5
Perez Zeledon
12
4
5
3
15-13
17
6
Puntarenas
12
3
6
3
14-15
15
7
Herediano
11
3
4
4
11-14
13
8
Guadalupe
12
2
5
5
11-18
11
9
Sporting San Jose
12
2
4
6
10-14
10
Expand Fully

Alajuelense team logo

Alajuelense

Costa Rica flag
Oscar Ramirez
Coach since April 18, 2025

Alajuelense’s Key Injury: Absence of Celso Borges

The visitors’ squad situation is not significantly better, which only strengthens this prediction. Their main loss is captain and team mastermind, Celso Borges. Both club management and journalists unanimously confirm that he won’t just miss the match; he’s not even able to run. Losing a central midfielder of his caliber means losing the foundation for constructing meaningful attacks.

Coach Ramirez’s Cautious Approach

Alajuelense’s coach, Oscar Ramirez, is remarkably cautious in his comments. He explicitly states that the pitch in Santa Bárbara is challenging and difficult to play on, which favors the hosts who are accustomed to artificial turf. Ramirez also recalled that recent head-to-head encounters were decided by set pieces rather than fluid attacking play, signaling a tight and scrappy nature to this rivalry.

Statistical Trends and Defensive Strength

The team had a 15-day break after their last game, which often disrupts match rhythm. Statistics speak for themselves: in 14 out of the last 20 matches involving Alajuelense, no more than two goals were scored. Furthermore, their defense is among the best in the league, especially away from home, conceding only three goals in five away fixtures. Losing their primary attacking architect and traveling to face a fierce rival directly points to a cautious game plan with a strong emphasis on defense.

League Standings

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
2
Municipal Liberia
12
5
5
2
16-11
20
3
Cartagines
11
5
4
2
12-5
19
4
Alajuelense
10
5
3
2
11-6
18
5
Perez Zeledon
12
4
5
3
15-13
17
6
Puntarenas
12
3
6
3
14-15
15
Play-off
Expand Fully

Conclusion: A Low-Scoring Affair Predicted

All facts converge to paint a clear picture: a low-scoring encounter is highly probable. On one side, Herediano is in dreadful form, with a depleted squad and a weak attack. On the other, Alajuelense, missing their key playmaker, will be playing on an unfamiliar and challenging pitch, with a coach who openly emphasizes tactical battles and the importance of set pieces. 

History of confrontations

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Sports betting from our team of predictors
Rory Whitfield
Based in Leicester, Rory Whitfield has established himself as a reliable voice in English sports journalism. With a decade of experience covering Premier League, Championship, and international tournaments, he brings deep knowledge of team dynamics and player statistics to his predictions. Rory's background in sports analysis and his passion for uncovering underdog stories shine through in his balanced reporting.
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