Bohemians Dublin — St Patricks : Match Preview and Prediction for October 20,2025

Let’s turn our attention to the home team. Their last match against Galway United perfectly encapsulates their current struggles in attack. A 0-2 defeat, yet the statistics speak volumes beyond the scoreline. Bohemians controlled possession for 71% of the game! This might suggest total dominance.However, what was the outcome? A total of 15 shots on goal, but only 2 on target. TWO! This is a catastrophically low conversion rate. Their expected goals (xG) metric stood at a mere 1.26, which is frankly laughable given their extensive possession. The team passes the ball around, but true offensive threat rarely materializes.Season statistics only reinforce this observation. Bohemians are at the bottom of the league for headed goals and goals from counter-attacks. This points to a rather predictable and one-dimensional attacking approach. There’s a clear lack of versatility and sudden bursts that could break down organized defenses.

Now, to the visitors. The “Saints” defeated league leaders Shamrock Rovers 1-0 in their last fixture. How did they manage this? By conceding possession (only 34% control) and playing with maximum defensive discipline. Their xG in that match was 1.01, and the winning goal was described as a “miracle goal” by the press. This wasn’t systematic attacking play, but rather a flash of individual brilliance.St. Patrick’s defense is undoubtedly their main asset. The team ranks second in the league for the fewest goals conceded (only 31 goals in 33 matches). They lead the tournament in the number of clean sheets – an impressive 16! That’s almost half of their season’s games.Adding to this, there’s a strong trend. In 11 of St. Patrick’s last 15 league matches, the total goals scored did not exceed 2.5. Away from home, the statistics are even more telling: in 4 of their last 5 away games, fewer than three goals were scored. Stephen Kenny’s team knows how to, and enjoys, keeping games tight and low-scoring, especially when playing away or against strong opponents.