Lucas CepedaLW#21

Elche CF·LaLiga·Attack - Left Winger

23 years(31/10/2002)1,77mleftChileContract until 30/06/2030

6.86Rating29 matches in 12 months

€2.50mMarket value#10 in Elche CF · #320 in LaLiga

Last 5rating per match

Liga de Prim01.117.3

Liga de Prim08.116.4

Internationa15.116.5

Internationa18.116.8

Liga de Prim23.118.2

Form, 12 monthsaverage rating per month

7.00Nov

7.80Dec

6.40Jan

6.90Feb

6.60Mar

7.70Apr

6.40May

7.20Jun

Jul

6.60Aug

6.60Sep

Oct

Club matchesElche CF

Team page →

Recent results

18 Sept · 20:00La LigaA

Espanyol—Prediction 15 Sept · 20:30La LigaH

Real Madrid—Prediction 12 Sept · 17:30La LigaA

Athletic Club—Prediction 07 Sept · 20:30La LigaH

Real Sociedad—Prediction 28 Aug · 18:00La LigaA

Racing SantanderL2:3Prediction

Key statsInternational Friendly Games

Goals10.66 / 90

xG0.270.29 / 90

Assists10.66 / 90

xA0.400.42 / 90

Shots31.97 / 90

Shots on target267%

Key passes10.66 / 90

Pass accuracy82.8%

xG — expected goals: the quality of the chances taken; xA — expected assists: the quality of the chances created. Values per 90 minutes are shown under the totals. What xG, npxG, xA and xGChain mean

Player profileattributes and traits

Player Position average

Attacking63

Technique57

Tactical43

Defending33

Creativity58

Strengths

Passing
Discipline

Weaknesses

No outstanding weaknesses

Player positions: LW · RW

Positions on the pitch

Percentiles per 90per 90 minutes vs positional peers of the league

AttackingPer 90 · Percentile

Goals0.2246%

xG0.2041%

Shots2.8978%

Shots on target1.1174%

Conversion %7.732%

Big chances missed0.2255%

Dribbles1.1150%

Fouls won2.2286%

Offsides0.2272%

PlaymakingPer 90 · Percentile

Assists0.0011%

xA0.1677%

Key passes1.3364%

Big chances created0.003%

Accurate passes29.3389%

Pass accuracy %84.193%

Final third passes13.5693%

Long balls0.8964%

Crosses1.7896%

DefendingPer 90 · Percentile

Tackles2.0091%

Interceptions0.2231%

Blocks0.2282%

Aerial duels won0.2217%

Duels won5.5669%

Recoveries4.0069%

Dribbled past1.1114%

Fouls1.5630%

Errors leading to goal0.0053%

What a percentile means

The percentile shows what share of players of the same position in this league the player beats on a per-90-minute metric. 90% — better than nine out of ten peers; 50% — the league median. Per 90 minutes removes the effect of playing time.

For fouls, offsides, being dribbled past and goals conceded the scale is inverted: a higher percentile means fewer of them.

vs 74 forwards · LaLiga · season 25/26 · min 270′ · player 405′

Similar playersLaLiga · forwards · season 25/26

83%

Nico SerranoAthletic Club · Attack - Left Winger6.66Rating1G0A23age 82%

Isi PalazónRayo Vallecano · Attack - Second Striker6.73Rating3G3A31age 80%

Rodrigo RiquelmeReal Betis · Attack - Left Winger6.60Rating1G1A26age 79%

Ilias AkhomachVillarreal · Attack - Right Winger6.70Rating0G1A22age 77%

Germán ValeraElche CF · Attack - Left Winger6.95Rating4G5A24age 77%

Nico WilliamsAthletic Club · Attack - Left Winger6.98Rating6G3A24age

Profile match = 100 − mean gap of per-90 percentiles across 27 metrics of this position; players of the same league, position group and season with at least 270 minutes.

Reality checkactual vs expected, by season

Goals vs xG

-0.4

-0.1

11.1

25/26

-0.3

00.3

26/27

Goals xG · total 1 / 1.4

Assists vs xA

+0.3

-0.3

00.3

25/26

+0.6

10.4

26/27

Assists xA · total 1 / 0.7

Bars above xG mean the player scores more than the quality of his chances suggests; a long run below xG is usually a finishing problem, a short one — variance.

Availability

StatusAvailable29 matches in 12 months

National teamChile16 caps · 4 goals

Contract until30/06/2030

Market value€2.50mHighest: €3.50m (30/06/2025)

Season statsSeason 2026

Competition	Team	Season	Apps	Min	Rating	G	A	G+A	YC	RC
International Friendly Games	Chile	2026	3	137	6.60	1	—	1	1	1

Transfers3

Date	Season	From	To	Fee	Market value
26/01/2026	25/26	Colo-Colo	Elche CF	€1.85m	€3.20m
09/02/2024	23/24	Wanderers	Colo-Colo	€1.46m	€375k
01/01/2022	21/22	Wanderers U21	Wanderers	-	€50k

Market value

€2.50m Current€3.50m Highest · 30/06/202505/06/2026 Last change

22.10.202105.06.2026

#16 Chile#10 Elche CF#320 LaLiga#380 Left Winger#4.105 Worldwide#395 Year 2002

Value history

Date	Age	Club	Value
22/10/2021	18	Unknown	€50k
16/06/2022	19	Santiago Wanderers	€75k
15/11/2022	20	Santiago Wanderers	€300k
15/07/2023	20	Santiago Wanderers	€300k
29/12/2023	21	Santiago Wanderers	€375k
13/06/2024	21	CSD Colo-Colo	€400k
19/09/2024	21	CSD Colo-Colo	€800k
12/11/2024	22	CSD Colo-Colo	€1.30m
16/04/2025	22	CSD Colo-Colo	€2.50m
30/06/2025	22	CSD Colo-Colo	€3.50m
10/12/2025	23	CSD Colo-Colo	€3.20m
16/03/2026	23	Elche CF	€3.50m
05/06/2026	23	Elche CF	€2.50m

xG Statisticsall seasons

Season	League	Club	Apps	Min	G	xG	npxG	A	xA	Sh	KP	xGChain
2026	La liga	Elche	4	85	0	0.27	0.27	1	0.4	7	4	0.95
2025	La liga	Elche	10	390	1	1.11	1.11	0	0.27	13	6	1.89

What xG, npxG, xA and xGChain mean

xG Expected goals: How many goals an average finisher would score from the same shots. A 0.30 xG shot goes in about 3 times in 10. Goals above xG mean efficient finishing; below — a cold streak or poor finishing.
npxG Non-penalty xG: The same xG without penalties. A penalty alone is worth about 0.76 xG, so npxG is a cleaner view of open-play and set-piece chances.
xA Expected assists: The xG of the shots that followed the player's passes. High xA with few assists means teammates missed good chances.
xGChain xG chain: Team xG from every possession the player touched. It shows involvement in build-up, not only the shot or the final pass, so a deep midfielder can rank high without scoring.
KP Key passes: Passes that led directly to a shot — the volume behind xA.