England

English Premier League

Season-long predictions for Premier League 2026/27 across five markets — title, top-2, top-4, relegation and top scorer — plus every major summer transfer, from Guardiola's exit to Liverpool's total reset.

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Arsenal enter the new Premier League season carrying something the club had not held in over two decades: the actual trophy. Mikel Arteta's side finally ended a 22-year title drought last term, finishing well clear of Manchester City to win their first championship since…

Arsenal enter the new Premier League season carrying something the club had not held in over two decades: the actual trophy. Mikel Arteta's side finally ended a 22-year title drought last term, finishing well clear of Manchester City to win their first championship since 2003/04, and Arsenal are the only one of England's traditional "Big Six" to keep their manager in place over the summer. Every major rival changed its coach — Pep Guardiola's decade at Manchester City is over, Liverpool sacked Arne Slot, and Chelsea are moving into year two of the Xabi Alonso project — which is a big part of why bookmakers still make Arsenal favourites even after a summer of heavy spending elsewhere. Odds from 22Bet, Melbet, 1xBet, Mostbet and 1Win cover five separate markets this season, and the story behind each one is as much about who changed dugouts as who changed shirts.

Premier League 2026/27 Winner Odds

Team 22Bet Melbet 1xBet Mostbet 1Win
Arsenal 2.36 2.36 2.36 2.25 2.25
Manchester City 4.05 4.05 4.05 4.5 4.5
Liverpool 6.5 6.5 6.5 6 6.0
Manchester United 7.7 7.7 7.7 8 8.0
Chelsea 10.5 10.5 10.5 9 9.0
Tottenham Hotspur 16.5 16.5 16.5 20 21.0
Aston Villa 32 32 32 40 34.0
Newcastle United 60 60 60 150 151.0
Brighton & Hove Albion 100 100 100 150 151.0
Bournemouth 100 100 100 200 201.0
Brentford 100 100 100 250 251.0
Everton 100 100 100 250 251.0
Crystal Palace 100 100 100 500 501.0
Fulham 100 100 100 500 501.0
Leeds United 100 100 100 500 501.0
Nottingham Forest 100 100 100 500 501.0
Sunderland 100 100 100 750 751.0
Coventry City 100 100 100 1000 999.0
Hull City 100 100 100 1000 999.0
Ipswich Town 100 100 100 1000 999.0

Arsenal: Stability as a Competitive Advantage

Arsenal's title odds of 2.25-2.36 are built on a simple structural edge: continuity. Arteta's side does not need a bedding-in period, while nearly every direct rival is installing a new system under a new coach at the same time as absorbing players back from World Cup duty. Arsenal did strengthen in the market too, bringing in left-sided attacker Christos Tzolis from Club Brugge — a player who scored more than 20 goals in consecutive seasons in Belgium and now wears the number 17 shirt in north London — to address the left-wing role the club had identified as a genuine gap. The club also remains persistently linked with a move for Atletico Madrid's Julian Alvarez, though that deal was unresolved as the window entered its final weeks. Arsenal's approach this summer has been targeted reinforcement of a squad that already won the league, rather than wholesale rebuilding, which is precisely the profile bookmakers reward with short title odds. Live movement on this market throughout the season can be tracked directly at 1xBet.

Manchester City and Liverpool: New Managers, New Money

Manchester City begin life after Pep Guardiola for the first time since 2015/16, with Enzo Maresca installed on a three-year contract. City backed their new manager with the Premier League's headline transfer of the summer, paying a reported £116 million (around €135m) for Nottingham Forest midfielder Elliot Anderson to anchor Maresca's system — a statement of intent even as veteran figures Bernardo Silva, John Stones and Nathan Ake all departed the club. Liverpool underwent an even bigger upheaval: Arne Slot was sacked after two seasons, replaced by Andoni Iraola from Bournemouth, while club legend Mohamed Salah left as a free agent and both Andy Robertson and Ibrahima Konate departed on free transfers, with Konate moving directly to Real Madrid. Liverpool's incoming business — Jeremy Jacquet and Victor Munoz for a combined £90 million, plus a loan deal for Barcelona's Ronald Araujo — refreshed the squad but adds exactly the kind of settling-in period that plays to Arsenal's advantage in the opening months of the season.

Chelsea, Manchester United and the Rest of the Chasing Pack

Chelsea's odds of 9.0-10.5 reflect a club still mid-rebuild under Xabi Alonso, but one that has recruited with real intent: Aston Villa's Morgan Rogers arrived as the marquee signing to fit Alonso's 3-4-2-1 system, joined by Geovany Quenda from Sporting, Marco Palestra from Atalanta and Maxence Lacroix from Crystal Palace. In a smaller but notable swap of ideas, winger Alejandro Garnacho left Chelsea for Aston Villa in the opposite direction to Rogers. Manchester United, priced at 7.7-8.0, said goodbye to club captain Casemiro on a free transfer to Inter Miami and replaced his experience in midfield with Youri Tielemans from Aston Villa and Andrey Santos from Chelsea. Both Chelsea and United sit in a tier of the market that reflects genuine quality but an unfinished process, some way back from the two clubs bookmakers currently trust to go the distance.

Premier League 2026/27 — Top 2 Finish

Team 22Bet Melbet 1xBet Mostbet 1Win
Arsenal 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.57 1.4
Manchester City 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.25 1.91
Liverpool 3 3 3 3 3.0
Manchester United 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.5 4.2
Chelsea 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.5 4.2
Tottenham Hotspur 11 11 11 11 13.0
Aston Villa 14 14 14 13 17.0
Brighton & Hove Albion 30 30 30 30 34.0
Newcastle United 35 35 35 35
Bournemouth 50 50 50 50
Everton 50 50 50 50
Brentford 65 65 65 65 101.0
Coventry City 100 100 100 1000 501.0
Crystal Palace 100 100 100 150 251.0
Fulham 100 100 100 150 251.0
Hull City 100 100 100 1000 501.0
Ipswich Town 100 100 100 1000 501.0
Leeds United 100 100 100 150 101.0
Nottingham Forest 100 100 100 150 101.0
Sunderland 100 100 100 200 151.0

This market isolates a different question from the outright title race: not who wins, but who spends the season occupying one of the two automatic places at the summit, whether or not they eventually finish first. Arsenal at 1.4-1.57 and Manchester City at 1.91-2.3 are priced as if the runner-up spot is close to a formality for both clubs, which lines up with last season's finish — Arsenal's title-winning campaign left City seven points back in second, and bookmakers clearly expect a similar two-way squeeze at the very top this time, independent of which of the two actually lifts the trophy in May. Liverpool at 3.0 sit as the clearest candidate to break into that pair rather than simply reach the top four: a top-two finish for Iraola's rebuilt squad in his first season would mean not just qualifying for Europe's top competition but directly displacing one of the two clubs the market currently treats as a closed shop, which is a materially harder task than the broader top-four question below. Odds movement on this specific market through the opening weeks is worth watching at Melbet, since early results tend to move the top-two price faster than the wider top-four line.

Premier League 2026/27 Top 4 Finish

Team 22Bet Melbet 1xBet Mostbet 1Win
Arsenal 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.12 1.1
Manchester City 1.28 1.28 1.28 1.28 1.28
Liverpool 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.45 1.48
Manchester United 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.72
Chelsea 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.75
Tottenham Hotspur 4.55 4.55 4.55 4 4.12
Aston Villa 5 5 5 5 5.0
Brighton & Hove Albion 14 14 14 13 15.0
Newcastle United 15 15 15 15 15.0
Bournemouth 25 25 25 25 20.0
Everton 25 25 25 25 20.0
Brentford 30 30 30 30 25.0
Crystal Palace 40 40 40 40 40.0
Fulham 40 40 40 40 40.0
Leeds United 40 40 40 35 35.0
Nottingham Forest 40 40 40 35 30.0
Sunderland 50 50 50 50 55.0
Coventry City 100 100 100 150 150.0
Ipswich Town 100 100 100 150 150.0
Hull City 100 100 100 300 325.0

The Established Five

Unlike the top-two market above, which is really a contest between two clubs for a place that barely anyone else can reach, the top-four race is a genuine five-way scrap for Champions League qualification, where finishing third or fourth counts exactly the same as finishing first. Five clubs are priced at odds-on or close to it — Arsenal, Manchester City, Liverpool, Manchester United and Chelsea — and that grouping matches the consensus among pre-season previews that this season's Champions League race is really a battle for one open spot among a chasing group, since the top three or four of those five are expected to fill most of the positions regardless of the title outcome. Manchester United's 1.6-1.72 pricing is notable given the club finished outside the Champions League places for most of the previous two seasons: Casemiro's exit removes leadership and know-how, but Tielemans and Andrey Santos both arrive with the specific job of stabilising the same central-midfield area that repeatedly undercut United's results. Comparative pricing across this qualification race updates continuously at Mostbet.

Tottenham and the Chasing Group

Tottenham Hotspur, priced around 4.0-4.55, head the group directly behind the established five, with Aston Villa close behind at 5.0. Villa's business this summer cuts in two directions worth noting for this specific market — losing Morgan Rogers to Chelsea removed one of the club's most productive attacking outlets, but the incoming arrival of Alejandro Garnacho from Chelsea in the same window gives Unai Emery's side a like-for-like specialist to plug that exact gap, which is a rare case of a direct swap of comparable talent between two top-half rivals rather than a straightforward loss.

Premier League 2026/27 — To Be Relegated (18th–20th)

Team 22Bet Melbet 1xBet Mostbet 1Win
Hull City 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.25 1.16
Ipswich Town 1.667 1.667 1.667 1.65 1.72
Coventry City 1.667 1.667 1.667 1.65 1.78
Sunderland 3.5 3.5 3.5 4 4.24
Fulham 6 6 6 6.5 6.0
Leeds United 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.5 8.5
Crystal Palace 6.5 6.5 6.5 7 6.5
Nottingham Forest 7.5 7.5 7.5 9 10.0
Newcastle United 9 9 9 12 9.0
Brentford 9 9 9 9 10.0
Bournemouth 10 10 10 10 10.0
Everton 11 11 11 10 10.0
Manchester City 11 11 11
Brighton & Hove Albion 26 26 26 25 25.0
Tottenham Hotspur 41 41 41 50 60.0
Chelsea 50 50 50 100.0
Aston Villa 50 50 50 65 55.0
Manchester United 100 100 100 325.0
Arsenal 100 100 100 600.0
Liverpool 100 100 100 450.0

The Promoted Three

Hull City, Ipswich Town and Coventry City — all returning to the Premier League after Championship promotion, replacing relegated Burnley, West Ham and Wolves — occupy the three shortest prices in this market by a wide margin, with Hull as short as 1.16-1.25. That pricing reflects a well-established pattern in English football: promoted clubs typically face a resource gap against even the Premier League's mid-table sides that is far larger than the gap between mid-table and the European positions, and bookmakers have priced all three closer to "expected" than to "surprise" candidates for an immediate return to the Championship.

Established Clubs Facing Genuine Danger

Sunderland's price of 3.5-4.24 stands out as the most striking number in this table, since the club is not one of this season's newly promoted trio yet still sits closer to the promoted teams' pricing than to the rest of the established Premier League pack. Fulham, Leeds United and Crystal Palace form a second tier of danger in the mid-single-digit range — none of the three are considered relegation certainties, but none has done enough in the market this summer to be priced with real confidence either. Even Manchester City's presence in this table at 11.0 is worth a mention, not as a serious warning sign but as a reminder of how differently the market treats life after a legendary manager: City's odds here are shorter than Newcastle's, Brentford's or Bournemouth's, underlining just how much uncertainty Enzo Maresca's first season carries compared with the settled sides just below the traditional top six. This market tends to move fastest after opening-weekend results, and 22Bet reflects those shifts in real time.

Premier League 2026/27 — Top Goalscorer

Player Melbet / 1xBet / 22Bet
Erling Haaland 1.74
Alexander Isak 10
Igor Thiago 13
João Pedro 15
João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus 15
Ollie Watkins 17
Viktor Gyökeres 20
Benjamin Šeško 25
Antoine Semenyo 30
Kai Havertz 35
Cole Palmer 35
Rayan Cherki 35
Dominic Solanke 41
Marcus Rashford 50
Morgan Rogers 50
Cody Gakpo 50
Dominic Calvert-Lewin 50
Jean-Philippe Mateta 50
Yoane Wissa 50
Igor Jesus 65
Jørgen Strand Larsen 65
Rayan Vitor 65
Nick Woltemade 65
Matheus Cunha 65

Haaland's Continued Dominance

Erling Haaland's price of 1.74 makes him a heavier favourite for the Golden Boot than Arsenal are for the title itself, and that gap tells its own story about how the two markets work differently. A title race depends on 25-plus different match outcomes across a season; an individual scoring race depends mostly on one player's shot volume staying elevated, and Haaland's has barely dipped in any Premier League season since his arrival. City's turbulent summer off the pitch — a new manager, several senior departures — has had almost no visible effect on his position at the top of this market, which is itself a signal that bookmakers view his output as close to system-independent.

The Chasing Pack

Alexander Isak leads the group behind Haaland at 10.0, with Brentford's Igor Thiago next at 13.0 and both versions of Joao Pedro — Chelsea's Brazilian forward and any namesake entries — sharing the 15.0 mark. Morgan Rogers's inclusion at 50.0 is a useful cross-reference back to the top-four and relegation tables above: a forward moving from Aston Villa into a Chelsea side being rebuilt specifically around service to attacking players is exactly the kind of transfer that can shift a player's scoring output meaningfully in either direction, and this is the market where that impact will show up first. 1Win carries this scorer market alongside the outright and qualification odds covered above.

Summer Transfer Window: The Deals Reshaping the Table

The 2026 Premier League summer window has been defined less by any single blockbuster and more by wholesale managerial change at nearly every club chasing Arsenal, each rebuilding around a different tactical identity at the same time.

Manchester City's post-Guardiola rebuild. Pep Guardiola's decade in charge ended this summer, with Enzo Maresca — previously known for his possession-heavy work at club level in Italy — signing a three-year contract. City backed him with a British transfer-record fee of around £116 million for Nottingham Forest's Elliot Anderson, intended to anchor central midfield under the new regime, while long-serving figures Bernardo Silva, John Stones and Nathan Ake all left the club, with Silva moving on a free transfer to Real Madrid and Ake joining Fenerbahce for around £7 million.

Liverpool's total reset. Few clubs changed as much as Liverpool. Arne Slot was sacked after two seasons and replaced by Andoni Iraola, arriving from Bournemouth. Club legend Mohamed Salah departed as a free agent, and defenders Andy Robertson and Ibrahima Konate both left on free transfers, with Konate joining Real Madrid directly. Liverpool's response in the market included Jeremy Jacquet and Victor Munoz for a combined £90 million, plus a loan move for Barcelona centre-back Ronald Araujo — significant investment, but arriving alongside a first-choice back line and a head coach who have never worked together before.

Chelsea's system rebuild under Xabi Alonso. Chelsea's business was arguably the most tactically coherent of any club this summer, built specifically around Alonso's 3-4-2-1 shape. Morgan Rogers arrived from Aston Villa as the marquee signing, joined by Geovany Quenda from Sporting, Marco Palestra from Atalanta and Maxence Lacroix from Crystal Palace, while Alejandro Garnacho departed in the opposite direction to Aston Villa. That level of positional specificity suggests a club building a genuine system rather than simply collecting talent, even if the results of that system remain unproven at Premier League level.

Manchester United address a leadership gap. Casemiro's free-transfer departure to Inter Miami removed one of United's most experienced dressing-room voices, and the club's response — Youri Tielemans from Aston Villa and Andrey Santos from Chelsea — targeted the same central-midfield area rather than spreading investment across multiple positions, a sign United's recruitment is now working from a clearly identified list of specific weaknesses rather than a general squad refresh.

Arsenal's targeted top-up. By contrast with nearly every rival, Arsenal's business was narrow and specific: Christos Tzolis arrived from Club Brugge to fill the one attacking role — left wing — that the champions had identified as genuinely underserved, while continued interest in Atletico Madrid's Julian Alvarez remained unresolved deep into the window. Whichever club emerges strongest from this unusually disruptive summer, the early-season fixtures will start answering that question long before Christmas.

Predictions

No current predictions in this league yet. Finished matchdays are in Archive.