Inter Milan begin the new Serie A season the way champions rarely get to: with almost the entire winning squad still intact. Cristian Chivu's first year in charge produced Inter's 21st Scudetto, an 89-goal campaign that finished a comfortable 11 points clear of Napoli, and the Nerazzurri head into 2026/27 without the kind of managerial reset that has hit almost every one of their rivals this summer. Napoli have replaced title-winning coach Antonio Conte with Massimiliano Allegri, AC Milan have cleared out their entire football department and turned to Ruben Amorim, and Como are preparing for their first-ever Champions League campaign. Odds from 22Bet, Melbet, 1xBet, Mostbet and 1Win cover four markets this season, and Italy's title race looks considerably more unsettled than the reigning champions' calm summer would suggest.
Serie A 2026/27 — Winner
| Team | 22Bet | Melbet | 1xBet | Mostbet | 1Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan | 2.19 | 2.19 | 2.19 | 2 | 1.9 |
| Napoli | 5.15 | 5.15 | 5.15 | 5.5 | 6.0 |
| Juventus | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 6 | 6.5 |
| AC Milan | 6.45 | 6.45 | 6.45 | 6.5 | 7.0 |
| Roma | 10.5 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 10 | 10.0 |
| Como | 30 | 30 | 30 | 35 | 35.0 |
| Atalanta | 55 | 55 | 55 | 40 | 35.0 |
| Lazio | 70 | 70 | 70 | 150 | 90.0 |
| Venezia | 100 | 100 | 100 | 1000 | — |
| Lecce | 100 | 100 | 100 | 1000 | — |
| Frosinone | 100 | 100 | 100 | 1000 | — |
| Monza | 100 | 100 | 100 | 1000 | — |
| Sassuolo | 100 | 100 | 100 | 500 | 500.0 |
| Torino | 100 | 100 | 100 | 350 | 325.0 |
| Bologna | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100.0 |
| Parma | 100 | 100 | 100 | 750 | 650.0 |
| Genoa | 100 | 100 | 100 | 500 | 500.0 |
| Cagliari | 100 | 100 | 100 | 750 | 650.0 |
| Fiorentina | 100 | 100 | 100 | 80 | 150.0 |
| Udinese | 100 | 100 | 100 | 350 | 325.0 |
Inter Milan: Continuity as the Champions' Weapon
Inter's odds of 1.9-2.19 rest on a straightforward premise: nobody else in Serie A enters the season with this little disruption. While Denzel Dumfries departed for Real Madrid, Chivu's side responded by adding to an already settled group rather than rebuilding around it, bringing in right-back Djed Spence from Tottenham and centre-back John Stones following his Manchester City exit — both proven Premier League operators added to reinforce rather than replace. The one question mark hanging over Inter's favouritism is squad age: several of the club's key contributors are entering the latter stages of their careers, and a title challenge built on continuity can just as easily curdle into a lack of fresh legs across a 38-game season, particularly with a deep Champions League run adding to the fixture load.
Napoli: A Coaching Gamble After a Title Defence That Failed
Napoli's odds of 5.15-6.0 reflect genuine uncertainty rather than a lack of ambition. Antonio Conte delivered the Scudetto in his first season in Naples but could not defend it the following year, and the club responded by turning to Massimiliano Allegri — a coach who, notably, had just missed out on Champions League qualification with AC Milan the previous season. Napoli backed the appointment with real investment: Rasmus Hojlund arrived from Manchester United for a reported €44 million, joined by Alisson Santos from Sporting and goalkeeper Vanja Milinkovic-Savic from Torino. Whether Allegri can impose his own identity on a squad built under Conte's very different tactical principles is, by most pre-season assessments, the single biggest swing factor in this season's title race.
Juventus, AC Milan and Roma: The Rest of the Contenders
Juventus, priced at 5.9-6.5, arrive with the league's most aggressive summer spend — reportedly more than €130 million — after finishing a disappointing sixth despite Luciano Spalletti's improved form following his October 2025 appointment. Goalkeeper Guglielmo Vicario, forward Randal Kolo Muani from Paris Saint-Germain and youngster Kerim Alajbegovic from Bayer Leverkusen headline the incoming business, and Juventus's absence from this season's Champions League — they play in the Europa League instead, alongside Milan — could paradoxically work in their favour by reducing fixture congestion during the run-in. AC Milan, at 6.45-7.0, underwent the most dramatic off-field turnover of any club in the league: manager, sporting director, chief executive and technical director all lost their jobs after a fifth-place finish that cost the club Champions League football on the final day of last season. New manager Ruben Amorim responded with a club-record signing of Goncalo Ramos from PSG for around €70 million, plus centre-back Mario Gila from Lazio, while placing established squad members Christopher Nkunku, Fikayo Tomori and Youssouf Fofana on the transfer list as he reshapes the squad around his own system. Roma, at 10.0-10.5, are the most stable of the chasing pack by comparison — the club retained manager Gianpiero Gasperini after a third-place finish last season, giving Roma a continuity advantage over Napoli, Milan and Juventus that the market has not fully priced in given their position as outright outsiders rather than genuine contenders.
Serie A 2026/27 Top 4 Finish
| Team | 22Bet | Melbet | 1xBet | Mostbet | 1Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan | 1.04 | 1.04 | 1.04 | 1.05 | 1.04 |
| Napoli | 1.37 | 1.37 | 1.37 | 1.35 | 1.36 |
| Juventus | 1.48 | 1.48 | 1.48 | 1.4 | 1.39 |
| AC Milan | 1.55 | 1.55 | 1.55 | 1.55 | 1.48 |
| Roma | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.65 | 1.66 |
| Como | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3 | 3.07 |
| Atalanta | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5.5 | 5.0 |
| Fiorentina | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10.0 |
| Bologna | 25 | 25 | 25 | 30 | 25.0 |
| Lazio | 25 | 25 | 25 | 35 | 40.0 |
| Torino | 50 | 50 | 50 | 65 | 65.0 |
| Udinese | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50.0 |
| Genoa | 100 | 100 | 100 | 80 | 80.0 |
| Sassuolo | 100 | 100 | 100 | 80 | 100.0 |
| Parma | 100 | 100 | 100 | 150 | 175.0 |
| Cagliari | 100 | 100 | 100 | 200 | 300.0 |
| Frosinone | 100 | 100 | 100 | 500 | 600.0 |
| Lecce | 100 | 100 | 100 | 500 | 600.0 |
| Monza | 100 | 100 | 100 | 500 | 600.0 |
| Venezia | 100 | 100 | 100 | 500 | 250.0 |
Serie A only sends its top four clubs into the Champions League group stage rather than guaranteeing places through a title-adjacent duel, which is why this market is spread across five realistic contenders rather than being dominated by two names the way an equivalent market might look in a league with a clearer top pair. Inter's 1.04-1.05 pricing makes a top-four finish close to a formality, but the gap between Napoli at 1.35-1.37 and Roma at 1.65-1.75 is narrow enough that all five of the league's traditional heavyweights are treated as live candidates for the fourth and final automatic place.
Como's Historic Season Adds a Genuine Wildcard
Como, priced at 3.0-3.5, sit well clear of the rest of the mid-table pack in this market, and their story this season is unlike anything else in Serie A: the club are preparing for their first-ever Champions League campaign after last season's league finish, a historic achievement for a side that was playing in Serie C as recently as 2021. That inexperience cuts both ways for this specific market — European football brings extra revenue and profile that can accelerate a club's rise, but it also adds fixture congestion and squad-depth strain that has previously hurt other newly-arrived clubs' domestic form, a risk that directly affects Roma and Como's overlapping position in this table given both are new to balancing continental football with a top-four push.
Serie A 2026/27 — Top Goalscorer
| Player | Melbet / 1xBet / 22Bet |
|---|---|
| Lautaro Martinez | 3.78 |
| Goncalo Matias Ramos | 6.55 |
| Donyell Malen | 9.1 |
| Marcus Thuram | 13 |
| Rasmus Hojlund | 13 |
| Anastasios Douvikas | 15 |
| Randal Kolo Muani | 15 |
| Moise Kean | 17 |
| Lorenzo Lucca | 19 |
| Jonathan David | 20 |
| Gianluca Scamacca | 21 |
| Christian Pulisic | 23 |
| Akor Jerome Adams | 26 |
| Giovanni Simeone | 26 |
| Nicolas Paz Martinez | 26 |
| Kenan Yildiz | 26 |
| Mateo Pellegrino | 29 |
| Riccardo Orsolini | 30 |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny | 34 |
| Santiago Castro | 34 |
| Rafael Leao | 34 |
| Keinan Davis | 34 |
| Fares Ghedjemis | 41 |
| Francesco Pio Esposito | 41 |
Lautaro Martinez Leads a Genuinely Open Race
Lautaro Martinez heads this market at 3.78, a considerably less dominant price than the runaway favourites in some of Europe's other top leagues, and that reflects Serie A's reputation as a defensively disciplined division where no single striker tends to run away with the scoring charts. Inter's captain benefits from the same squad continuity driving the club's title odds, playing in a settled system that has generated goals from multiple sources rather than funnelling everything through one player. Goncalo Ramos, priced at 6.55 in his first Serie A season after arriving from PSG in a club-record deal for AC Milan, represents the most direct transfer-to-market connection on this list: Amorim signed him specifically to solve Milan's finishing problem, and a strong Golden Boot campaign from Ramos would double as the clearest possible sign that Milan's rebuild is working.
The Chasing Pack
Rasmus Hojlund at 13.0 gives Napoli's summer spending a direct stake in this market too, arriving with Premier League pedigree and now tasked with adapting to Allegri's more controlled system, while Randal Kolo Muani, also at 15.0, carries a similar profile at Juventus after his move from Paris Saint-Germain. Both players illustrate a common thread running through this season's scoring race: several of the shortest-priced names outside Martinez arrived in Italy this very summer, meaning last season's Serie A scoring data offers limited guidance for exactly the players the market currently favours most.
Serie A 2026/27 — To Be Relegated (18th–20th)
| Team | 22Bet | Melbet | 1xBet | Mostbet | 1Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frosinone | 1.333 | 1.333 | 1.333 | 1.33 | 1.31 |
| Monza | 1.571 | 1.571 | 1.571 | 1.57 | 1.55 |
| Lecce | 1.833 | 1.833 | 1.833 | 1.85 | 1.82 |
| Venezia | 2.625 | 2.625 | 2.625 | 2.6 | 2.63 |
| Cagliari | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 |
| Parma | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4.0 |
| Genoa | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7.0 |
| Sassuolo | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7.0 |
| Torino | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11.0 |
| Udinese | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13.0 |
| Fiorentina | 41 | 41 | 41 | — | 59.0 |
| Lazio | 41 | 41 | 41 | — | 37.5 |
| Juventus | 100 | 100 | 100 | — | 326.0 |
| AC Milan | 100 | 100 | 100 | — | 176.0 |
| Napoli | 100 | 100 | 100 | — | 326.0 |
| Roma | 100 | 100 | 100 | — | 176.0 |
| Bologna | 100 | 100 | 100 | — | 84.0 |
| Inter Milan | 100 | 100 | 100 | — | 576.0 |
| Como | 100 | 100 | 100 | — | 176.0 |
| Atalanta | 100 | 100 | 100 | — | 151.0 |
The Promoted Trio Face the Steepest Climb
Frosinone, Monza and Lecce — the three clubs promoted from Serie B, replacing relegated Cremonese, Hellas Verona and Pisa — occupy the shortest odds in this table by a considerable distance, with Frosinone as low as 1.31-1.333. That gap between the promoted sides and Venezia in fourth position at 2.6-2.625 is itself informative: Venezia are also newly returned to Serie A, but the market treats them as meaningfully better equipped for survival than the other two promoted clubs, likely reflecting differences in transfer-window investment and squad experience at this level.
Mid-Table Clubs Carrying Real Risk
Cagliari and Parma round out the danger zone at 3.75-4.0, both established Serie A names without the resources to be considered safe by a wide margin. Further out, Genoa and Sassuolo share the 7.0 mark, a tier the market treats as unlikely relegation candidates rather than genuine ones — a useful reminder that in a 20-team league with only three automatic relegation spots, even a club priced at long odds here can find itself in a real fight if results turn against them early.
Summer Transfer Window: The Business Reshaping Serie A
Serie A's 2026 summer window closes on 1 September, and unlike a season where one or two clubs dominate the headlines, this year's business has touched almost every club challenging for the top four.
AC Milan's complete rebuild. No club changed more dramatically than AC Milan. After finishing fifth and missing out on Champions League qualification on the final day of last season, the club dismissed manager, sporting director, chief executive and technical director in one off-season clear-out. New manager Ruben Amorim, previously at Manchester United, wasted no time making his mark, breaking Milan's transfer record to sign Goncalo Ramos from Paris Saint-Germain for around €70 million and adding centre-back Mario Gila from Lazio, while placing Christopher Nkunku, Fikayo Tomori and Youssouf Fofana on the transfer list as surplus to his system. It is as close to a full reset as any club in the division has attempted this summer.
Napoli's coaching change and squad investment. Napoli parted ways with Antonio Conte after he was unable to repeat the previous season's title triumph, turning instead to Massimiliano Allegri — despite Allegri having just missed Champions League qualification with Milan the year before. The club backed the appointment with genuine spending: Rasmus Hojlund arrived from Manchester United for a reported €44 million, alongside Alisson Santos from Sporting and goalkeeper Vanja Milinkovic-Savic from Torino, giving Allegri fresh attacking options as he tries to stamp his own identity on Conte's title-winning foundations.
Juventus back a new era with heavy spending. Luciano Spalletti's first full season in charge comes with the club's biggest transfer outlay in recent memory, reportedly topping €130 million. Goalkeeper Guglielmo Vicario headlines the incoming business, alongside forward Randal Kolo Muani from Paris Saint-Germain and highly-rated youngster Kerim Alajbegovic from Bayer Leverkusen — recruitment aimed squarely at returning Juventus to the Champions League places after a disappointing sixth-place finish. Live pricing on Juventus's title and top-four odds throughout the season can be tracked at 1xBet.
Inter's targeted top-ups. In keeping with their status as the league's most stable club, Inter's business was modest by comparison: Djed Spence arrived from Tottenham and John Stones joined following his Manchester City departure, both reinforcing rather than overhauling Chivu's title-winning squad, even as the club lost Denzel Dumfries to Real Madrid. Updated Serie A markets reflecting Inter's continuity advantage are available at Melbet.
Como's historic rise continues. Como's Champions League qualification — a first in the club's history — has been matched by an ambitious summer in the market as the club looks to compete on two fronts for the first time. That dual commitment is precisely why Como's top-four odds sit apart from the rest of the mid-table pack, even as questions remain about squad depth once continental fixtures begin. Fans following Como's odds movement across both competitions can check current pricing at Mostbet.
Roma stay the course. Unlike most of their rivals, Roma made no managerial change this summer, retaining Gianpiero Gasperini after a third-place finish that secured Champions League football. That continuity, while modest compared to the spending seen at Milan, Napoli and Juventus, gives Roma a settled platform that several longer-priced contenders in the top-four market lack. Season-long Roma odds across all four markets above are available at 22Bet, with 1Win also carrying updated pricing as the campaign develops.
