Match Overview

The Matchday 4 fixture of the 2025/26 group stage will see Olympiacos (Greece) face PSV (Netherlands) on November 4 at the Karaiskakis Stadium in Piraeus. Here’s a detailed prediction and betting analysis for the Olympiacos vs PSV encounter, including odds and statistics.

Olympiacos Current Form

Under the guidance of Jose Luis Mendilibar, Olympiacos has collected a mere 1 point after three rounds, placing them 33rd in the overall standings. Their campaign began with a goalless draw at home against Pafos, followed by two consecutive away defeats: a 0-2 loss to Arsenal and a crushing 1-6 defeat against Barcelona. Consequently, the Greek side has failed to secure a victory in their last 7 matches, recording 4 draws and 3 losses.

Olympiacos Statistics

• The team has managed only 2 wins in their last 14 matches in this European competition (4 draws and 8 defeats).
• Fewer than three goals were scored in 7 of Olympiacos’s last 10 fixtures.
• The Greek club has not scored more than 1 goal in their last 7 home matches in this tournament.

Olympiacos Predicted Lineup

Olympiacos Probable Starting XI (4-2-3-1)

Konstantinos Tzolakis – Costinha, Panagiotis Retsos, Lorenzo Pirola, Francisco Ortega – Gelson Martins, Christos Mouzakitis – Daniel Podence, Chiquinho, Gabriel Strefezza – Ayoub El Kaabi.

Team News: Olympiacos

Midfielder Santiago Hezze is unavailable due to suspension.

PSV Current Form

The Dutch team had a stumbling start in the group stage, unexpectedly losing 1-3 at home to Union. However, the club learned from this defeat and has since remained unbeaten. They first traveled to face Bayer and secured a 1-1 draw, followed by a sensational 6-2 home victory over reigning Italian champions Napoli. This impressive performance has propelled PSV to 16th place, now just two points shy of the top 8 positions.

PSV Statistics

• The club has failed to win 4 of their last 5 matches (2 draws and 2 defeats).
• Both teams scored in PSV’s last 9 matches in this tournament.
• At least three goals were scored in 8 of the Dutch team’s last 9 matches in this European competition.

PSV Predicted Lineup

PSV Probable Starting XI (4-3-3)

Matěj Kovář – Anass Salah-Eddine, Ryan Flamingo, Jarek Gąsiorowski, Mauro Júnior – Jerdy Schouten, Joey Veerman, Ismael Saibari – Ivan Perišić, Guus Til, Dennis Man.

Team News: PSV

Defender Wessel Koen, along with forwards Alassane Pléa and Ruben van Bommel, are currently injured.

Referee Analysis

Clément Turpin (France)

Matches officiated – 19 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 64;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.4;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 22;

Penalties awarded – 58%.

Match Prediction: Olympiacos vs PSV

In the upcoming fixture, I anticipate a high-scoring encounter. Following a series of unconvincing performances in their first three matches, the hosts must adopt a more offensive approach, as 1 point is clearly insufficient to qualify among the top 24. Olympiacos urgently needs a win, which will require them to commit more players forward and potentially leave themselves open at the back. This aggressive stance will likely be exploited by the visitors, PSV, who are known for their attacking style of play.

Goal-scoring Expectations

Olympiacos has found the net in 10 of their last 14 home matches. They are expected to score again, especially since the Dutch side consistently concedes goals in this tournament – a trend observed in their last 19 matches. However, PSV will not be without their own goal-scoring opportunities, as the Greek defense has shown vulnerabilities during the group stage. Furthermore, PSV has scored in 14 of their last 15 matches in this European competition.

Betting Tip

My prediction for this match is “Both Teams to Score – Yes” with odds of 1.58