Accrington ST vs Newport County Prediction

Accrington Stanley host Newport County on 19 September 2026 at 17:00 in League Two. The prediction is a 1-1 draw. Accrington have won three of their last ten matches at home but conceded in seven of those ten. Newport arrive with two wins in ten away games and a concerning defensive record, shipping 2.10 goals per game on the road. Both teams average around 1.4 goals scored per outing, which points toward a low-scoring affair with chances at both ends.

Form and H2H

Accrington's home record shows three wins, three draws, and four losses in the last ten, averaging 1.50 goals for and 1.51 against. Newport's away form is worse: two wins, three draws, five losses, with 1.40 goals for and 2.10 against. The head-to-head between these sides since 2014 reads as a mixed bag. Newport won 3-1 at home in October 2016 and 2-0 away in March 2015. Accrington took a 2-0 victory in March 2016. Two matches ended level: 1-1 in October 2014 and 2-2 in November 2015. The draw has historical weight in this fixture.

Best Bet

Back the draw. Accrington's home profit on the draw stands at 6.45 over ten matches, while Newport's away record shows minimal loss on draws at -0.13. Both teams struggle to win on the road or at home respectively, and the attacking output from each side suggests a stalemate is plausible. A 1-1 scoreline aligns with both teams' recent scoring patterns and the fixture history.

Odds to Watch

Over 1.5 Goals carries a profit trend of 2.72 for the home side, suggesting goals will likely come. Under 2.5 Goals shows value at 1.95 odds based on the low-scoring nature of both teams. Both Teams to Score Yes reflects the likelihood that Accrington will breach Newport's leaky away defence while the hosts concede at home. The correct score 1-1 remains the standout selection given the draw's historical prevalence and current form trajectories.