Friendlies · Friendly International

Argentina vs Burkina Faso Prediction

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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 02 Oct 2026Updated: 04 Oct 2026, 02:01

Match preview

Argentina host Burkina Faso in a friendly at Estadio Monumental on 4 October 2026 at 03:00. The Albiceleste arrive off a 4-0 demolition of Bolivia and have won their last seven home matches, averaging 3.00 goals per game. Lionel Scaloni will rotate his squad with Lautaro Martinez leading the line after scoring against Bolivia. Leonardo Balerdi, Enzo Fernandez, Franco Mastantuono and Valentin Barco are all pushing for starts. Burkina Faso come off a 1-0 Africa Cup of Nations qualifier win over Central African Republic, with Salzburg striker Aboubacar Sidiki Camara scoring on his senior debut off the bench. The visitors have no fresh injuries but their away form is weak: four wins in ten road games with just 0.83 goals per match.

Form and H2H

Argentina's home record is exceptional. They have won seven consecutive matches at Estadio Monumental and conceded only 0.60 goals per game across their last ten home outings. Their attacking output at home sits at 2.20 goals per match. Burkina Faso's away numbers tell a different story. In their last ten road games, they have won just 40 percent and averaged 1.43 goals for and 1.19 against. The gap in quality and home advantage heavily favours Argentina.

Best Bet

Argentina to win. The hosts dominate this matchup on form, venue and squad depth. Burkina Faso's away record and limited attacking threat make them vulnerable to a heavy defeat. Argentina have the personnel to control possession and create multiple chances, with Lautaro Martinez, Julian Alvarez and the rotating cast of attacking midfielders all capable of finding the net.

Odds to Watch

Over 2.5 goals is the most likely outcome given Argentina's 3.00-goal home average and Burkina Faso's defensive fragility on the road. The correct score prediction of Argentina 3-0 Burkina Faso reflects the expected dominance. Argentina to keep a clean sheet is also worth considering, given their defensive solidity at home and Burkina Faso's minimal scoring threat away from home.

Argentina vs Burkina Faso Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
Melbet1.021943Place a bet
1xBet1.022750Place a bet
Mostbet1.011426Place a bet
22Bet1.032250Place a bet
Best odds1.0327.0050.00
Average1.0220.5042.25
Lowest odds1.0114.0026.00
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1xBet

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1X2 prediction for Argentina vs Burkina Faso

Date and time 4 October 2026 at 01:00

1X211.0293%
O/UO 1.580%
DC1/X96%
BTTSYes60%
1 93%X 3%2 4%

Total over 2.5

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Argentina vs Burkina Faso Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

ArgentinaArgentinaLast matchesBurkina FasoBurkina Faso
80%Over 0.5 goals100%
80%Over 1.5 goals80%
60%Over 2.5 goals40%
40%Over 3.5 goals20%
60%BTTS60%
60%Last 5 BTTS60%

Head to Head Argentina — Burkina Faso

In the last 1 meetings, Argentina hold the edge — 1 wins for Argentina, 0 for Burkina Faso, 0 draws.

100% W — 10% D — 00% W — 0
  • ArgentinaArgentina7:0Burkina FasoBurkina Faso
    Friendlies · 04 Oct 2026
100%Over 0.5100%
100%Over 1.5100%
100%Over 2.5100%
0%BTTS0%
100%Argentina over 0.50%

Betting profits Argentina vs Burkina Faso

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Argentina

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-0.79814
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-1.25614
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-2.62513
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-0.01813
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-1.7647
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.1057
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-3.1227
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-0.0257
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+1.2789
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-5.9819
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-2.48713
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+0.03913
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+1.0878
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-2.8148
Goals Over/UnderOver 1-0.8712
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1+3.8612
Match WinnerWin+1.201013
Match WinnerDraw+2.48313
Match WinnerLose-13.00013
Both Teams ScoreYes+2.5912
Both Teams ScoreNo-0.4012

Burkina Faso

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-3.13714
Match WinnerDraw+1.55414
Match WinnerLose-8.70314
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-0.071014
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-2.68414
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+0.39913
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-1.94613
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+1.18714
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-2.33714
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+0.02510
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-1.16710
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.50.00310
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-1.28710
Goals Over/UnderOver 1+0.0211
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.1111
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5+0.4844
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5-4.0004
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+3.9013
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-0.7523
Both Teams ScoreYes-1.2627
Both Teams ScoreNo+1.4957

Match statistics

7777%Possession %23%23
2589%Total shots11%3
1493%Shots on target7%1
880%Shots off target20%2
6100%Corners0%0
969%Fouls31%4
00%Yellow cards100%1
83277%Passes23%246
77382%Accurate passes18%171
110%Saves90%9
1100%Offsides0%0

Key events

  • 3'
    Yellow card Moumouni Diallo
    Burkina Faso
  • 4'
    Goal Lautaro Martínez
    Argentina
  • 4'
    Missed Penalty Lautaro Martínez (Lautaro Martínez)
    Argentina
  • 8'
    Own goal Moumouni Diallo
    Argentina
  • 12'
    Goal Gianluca Prestianni (Lautaro Martínez)
    Argentina
  • 35'
    Goal Nico Paz
    Argentina
  • 36'
    Goal Julián Alvarez (Gianluca Prestianni)
    Argentina
  • 46'
    Substitution Nico Paz (→ Matías Soulé)
    Argentina
  • 46'
    Substitution Gianluca Prestianni (→ Leonel Flores)
    Argentina
  • 46'
    Substitution Lisandro Martínez (→ Tomás Palacios)
    Argentina
  • 46'
    Substitution Cristian Romero (→ Leonardo Balerdi)
    Argentina
  • 46'
    Substitution Julián Alvarez (→ Franco Mastantuono)
    Argentina
  • 46'
    Substitution A. Kante (→ Abdel Kone)
    Burkina Faso
  • 46'
    Substitution Dylann Kam (→ M. Zongo)
    Burkina Faso
  • 46'
    Substitution Dao Cyrille (→ F. Barro)
    Burkina Faso
  • 57'
    Goal Franco Mastantuono (Lautaro Martínez)
    Argentina
  • 58'
    Substitution Moumouni Diallo (→ M. Coulibaly)
    Burkina Faso
  • 58'
    Substitution H. Ouedraogo (→ Moussa Ky)
    Burkina Faso
  • 58'
    Substitution Jack Diarra (→ Ousmane Camara)
    Burkina Faso
  • 63'
    Substitution Facundo Medina (→ Nicolás González)
    Argentina
  • 64'
    Substitution Agustín Giay (→ Giuliano Simeone)
    Argentina
  • 69'
    Substitution Lautaro Martínez (→ Santiago Castro)
    Argentina
  • 69'
    Substitution Alexis Mac Allister (→ Valentín Barco)
    Argentina
  • 76'
    Substitution P. Ouattara (→ R. Sanou)
    Burkina Faso
  • 79'
    Substitution Emiliano Martínez (→ Gerónimo Rulli)
    Argentina
  • 85'
    Substitution Chec Bebel Doumbia (→ Salif Tietietta)
    Burkina Faso
  • 90+3'
    Goal Giuliano Simeone (Valentín Barco)
    Argentina

ArgentinaLast matches Argentina

Argentina are in a strong run: 3 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 2.0 goals per game.

60% W — 340% D — 20% L — 0
  • ArgentinaArgentina4:0BoliviaBolivia
    WFriendlies · 01 Oct 2026
  • SpainSpain0:0ArgentinaArgentina
    DWorld Cup · 19 Jul 2026
  • EnglandEngland1:2ArgentinaArgentina
    WWorld Cup · 15 Jul 2026
  • ArgentinaArgentina1:1SwitzerlandSwitzerland
    DWorld Cup · 12 Jul 2026
  • ArgentinaArgentina3:2EgyptEgypt
    WWorld Cup · 07 Jul 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
0
Goals / game
2.0
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
60%

Burkina FasoLast matches Burkina Faso

In the last 5 matches Burkina Faso have 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses. BTTS landed in 60% of those games.

20% W — 160% D — 320% L — 1
  • Central African RepublicCentral African Republic0:1Burkina FasoBurkina Faso
    WAfrica Cup of Nations - Qualification · 28 Sept 2026
  • Burkina FasoBurkina Faso1:1BeninBenin
    DAfrica Cup of Nations - Qualification · 25 Sept 2026
  • BelarusBelarus2:2Burkina FasoBurkina Faso
    DFriendlies · 09 Jun 2026
  • RussiaRussia3:0Burkina FasoBurkina Faso
    LFriendlies · 05 Jun 2026
  • Burkina FasoBurkina Faso1:1Guinea-BissauGuinea-Bissau
    DFriendlies · 31 Mar 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
1
Goals / game
1.0
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
60%

Argentina vs Burkina Faso Standings

League table is not available for this competition snapshot yet.

Comparative team statistics

360%Wins20%1
240%Draws60%3
00%Losses20%1
10100%Goals scored50%5
457%Goals conceded100%7
00%Points0%0

Season statistic Argentina vs Burkina Faso

ArgentinaArgentina

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 2 / 1
  • Lost home / away 0 / 0
  • Goals scored 10 (2.0)
  • Goals conceded 4 (0.8)
  • Clean sheets 2
  • Failed to score 1

Burkina FasoBurkina Faso

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 0 / 1
  • Lost home / away 0 / 1
  • Goals scored 5 (1.0)
  • Goals conceded 7 (1.4)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 1

Match details

  • Status Match Finished
  • Venue Estadio Mâs Monumental, Buenos Aires
  • Referee Jose Cabero Rebolledo, Chile

Lineups

ArgentinaArgentina · 4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. Emiliano Martínez
  2. Agustín Giay
  3. Cristian Romero
  4. Lisandro Martínez
  5. Facundo Medina
  6. Nico Paz
  7. Ezequiel Fernández
  8. Alexis Mac Allister
  9. Gianluca Prestianni
  10. Lautaro Martínez
  11. Julián Alvarez

Bench

  1. Santiago Beltrán
  2. Gerónimo Rulli
  3. Román Vega
  4. Tomás Palacios
  5. Santiago Simón
  6. Leonardo Balerdi
  7. Giuliano Simeone
  8. Valentín Barco
  9. Nicolás González
  10. Exequiel Palacios
  11. Franco Mastantuono
  12. Santiago Castro
  13. Leonel Flores
  14. José Manuel López
  15. Matías Soulé

Burkina FasoBurkina Faso · 4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. Razack Guira
  2. Donatien Bama
  3. Bachirou Yaméogo
  4. Dao Cyril
  5. Moumouni Diallo
  6. Chec Bebel Doumbia
  7. Dylann Kam
  8. Alla Franck Alain Kanté
  9. Hasamadou Ouédraogo
  10. Jack Diarra
  11. Papus Ouattara

Bench

  1. Amine Compaoré
  2. Mikael Coulibaly
  3. Issouf Dabo
  4. Fadil Adama Yassir Barro
  5. Ousmane Camara
  6. Salif Tietietta
  7. Mohamed Zongo
  8. Adams Diabaté
  9. Nouhoum Koné
  10. Razack Sanou
  11. Alane Moussa Ky

Injuries and suspensions

ArgentinaArgentina

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Burkina FasoBurkina Faso

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

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