Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma Prediction

Arsenal Tula host Spartak Kostroma on 9 October 2026 at 19:30 in the First League. Tula sit 12th with 13 points from 12 matches and a goal difference of 12–22. Kostroma occupy 2nd from bottom. Arsenal appointed Dmitry Alenitchev as head coach on 15 September but have yet to stabilize results, losing 1–3 away to Yenisey three days later despite scoring first. At home, Tula drew 2–2 with SKA-Khabarovsk, exposing defensive fragility. Kostroma arrive in poor form after a 1–2 home defeat to Ural, though they won their previous two matches against Volga and Neftekhimik.

Form and H2H

Arsenal Tula have won 2 of their last 10 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 5, averaging 1.00 goals for and 1.70 against. Spartak Kostroma have won 6 of their last 10 away matches, drawing 2 and losing 2, averaging 1.30 goals for and 0.90 against. The teams have met three times recently: Kostroma won 2–1 in September 2025, then drew 1–1 in April 2026 and again 1–1 in June 2026. Under 2.5 has landed in all six of Tula's recent home matches. Kostroma have conceded just 0.67 goals per away match this season and kept under 3.5 goals in five of their last six road trips.

Best Bet

Under 2.5 goals is the pick. Tula average 1.50 goals at home and have never scored more than two in six home games this season. Kostroma defend pragmatically on the road, averaging 0.67 goals conceded per away match and holding opponents to under three goals in five of six recent away fixtures. Tula's home defense has kept opponents to two goals or fewer in all six recent matches. The risk lies in Tula's home totals averaging 2.67 goals and Kostroma scoring in 8 of their last 10 matches, but Kostroma's disciplined away approach should throttle Tula's attacking rhythm. At 1xBet, Under 2.5 is available at standard market prices.

Odds to Watch

Arsenal Tula and Spartak Kostroma are priced equally in the 1X2 market. At 1xBet, a Tula win is 2.51, a draw is 3.19, and a Kostroma win is 2.98. At 1Win, Tula are 2.45, the draw is 3.2, and Kostroma are 2.90. Both teams carry 35.4% implied probability each, with the draw at 29.3%. Both Tula and Kostroma have failed to score in recent matches, making Both Teams to Score No worth monitoring at 1.85 across the market.