UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 2

AS Roma vs Real Madrid Prediction

- : -14 October 2026 at 20:00World
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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 12 Oct 2026

Match preview

AS Roma host Real Madrid in the Champions League on 14 October 2026 at 22:00. Roma's home form runs strong across the last ten matches: five wins, four draws, one loss, averaging 2.10 goals for and 0.99 against. Real Madrid arrive as the away side with eight wins, two losses, and no draws in their last ten, scoring 2.40 per game and conceding 0.90. The prediction centres on a 1-1 draw, a result that reflects both sides' attacking threat and defensive solidity.

Form and H2H

Roma's home record shows consistency. They have won five of their last ten at the Stadio Olimpico and drawn four, losing only once. That defensive discipline—under one goal conceded per match on average—suggests they can contain Real Madrid's attack. Real Madrid's away form is sharper: eight wins in ten trips, with a single loss and no draws. They score regularly on the road and rarely concede, averaging 0.90 goals against. Neither side has shown weakness, which points toward a competitive, closely contested match rather than a rout.

Best Bet

The draw at 1X2 offers value. Roma's home strength and Real Madrid's away form create a stalemate scenario. At Mostbet, the draw sits at 3.97. At 1xBet, it reaches 4.11. Both odds reward the prediction of a 1-1 scoreline, where both teams score but neither breaks through decisively.

Odds to Watch

Roma's home win at 1xBet trades at 3.88, reflecting their solid record but Real Madrid's superior away pedigree. Real Madrid's away win at Mostbet is 1.87, the shortest price on the card, yet Roma's five home wins in ten suggest backing the visitors outright carries risk. The draw remains the sharpest play across the board: Melbet 3.96, 1Win 4.03, Mostbet 3.97, 1xBet 4.11.

AS Roma vs Real Madrid Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
Melbet3.743.961.87Place a bet
1xBet3.884.111.94Place a bet
1Win3.714.031.9Place a bet
Mostbet3.63.971.87Place a bet
Best odds3.884.111.94
Average3.734.021.90
Lowest odds3.603.961.87
Compare odds
1xBet

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1Win

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1X2 prediction for AS Roma vs Real Madrid

Date and time 14 October 2026 at 20:00

1X221.8751%
DCX/275%
BTTSYes70%
1 25%X 24%2 51%

Real Madrid win

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AS Roma vs Real Madrid Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

AS RomaAS RomaLast matchesReal MadridReal Madrid
80%Over 0.5 goals100%
80%Over 1.5 goals80%
40%Over 2.5 goals80%
20%Over 3.5 goals40%
60%BTTS80%
60%Last 5 BTTS80%

Head to Head AS Roma — Real Madrid

In the last 5 meetings, Real Madrid hold the edge — 0 wins for AS Roma, 5 for Real Madrid, 0 draws.

0% W — 00% D — 0100% W — 5
  • AS RomaAS Roma0:2Real MadridReal Madrid
    UEFA Champions League · 27 Nov 2018
  • Real MadridReal Madrid3:0AS RomaAS Roma
    UEFA Champions League · 19 Sept 2018
  • Real MadridReal Madrid2:1AS RomaAS Roma
    International Champions Cup · 08 Aug 2018
  • Real MadridReal Madrid2:0AS RomaAS Roma
    UEFA Champions League · 08 Mar 2016
  • AS RomaAS Roma0:2Real MadridReal Madrid
    UEFA Champions League · 17 Feb 2016
100%Over 0.5100%
100%Over 1.5100%
40%Over 2.540%
20%BTTS20%
20%AS Roma over 0.5100%

Betting profits AS Roma vs Real Madrid

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

AS Roma

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-3.16815
Match WinnerDraw+6.56515
Match WinnerLose-8.57215
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+2.3588
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-8.0008
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+1.331011
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-2.79511
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+1.35914
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-3.03514
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+4.061015
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-4.36715
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+6.39815
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-4.63715
Goals Over/UnderOver 4+0.8346
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-1.3746
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+1.6911
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-1.0001

Real Madrid

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+0.961215
Match WinnerDraw-11.36115
Match WinnerLose-5.20215
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+1.4366
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-6.0006
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+3.021214
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-8.08214
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+0.721215
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-2.28815
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-1.41715
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-0.67815
Goals Over/UnderOver 4+0.46715
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-1.421015
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+1.6437
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-1.1947

Match statistics

In-play and full-time match stats appear after kick-off.

AS RomaLast matches AS Roma

In the last 5 matches AS Roma have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses. BTTS landed in 60% of those games.

40% W — 260% D — 30% L — 0
  • ComoComo0:0AS RomaAS Roma
    DSerie A · 11 Oct 2026
  • AS RomaAS Roma2:2InterInter
    DSerie A · 19 Sept 2026
  • TorinoTorino0:2AS RomaAS Roma
    WSerie A · 14 Sept 2026
  • FenerbahçeFenerbahçe1:1AS RomaAS Roma
    DUEFA Champions League · 10 Sept 2026
  • AS RomaAS Roma2:1AtalantaAtalanta
    WSerie A · 05 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
0
Goals / game
1.4
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
60%

Real MadridLast matches Real Madrid

Real Madrid are in a strong run: 4 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 2.2 goals per game.

80% W — 40% D — 020% L — 1
  • Real MadridReal Madrid1:0VillarrealVillarreal
    WLa Liga · 10 Oct 2026
  • Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid2:1Real MadridReal Madrid
    LLa Liga · 20 Sept 2026
  • ElcheElche2:3Real MadridReal Madrid
    WLa Liga · 15 Sept 2026
  • Real MadridReal Madrid4:1Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
    WLa Liga · 12 Sept 2026
  • Real MadridReal Madrid2:1InterInter
    WUEFA Champions League · 08 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
4
Draws
0
Losses
1
Goals / game
2.2
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS
80%

AS Roma vs Real Madrid Standings

League table is not available for this competition snapshot yet.

Comparative team statistics

240%Wins80%4
360%Draws0%0
00%Losses20%1
764%Goals scored100%11
467%Goals conceded100%6
00%Points0%0

Season statistic AS Roma vs Real Madrid

AS RomaAS Roma

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 1
  • Lost home / away 0 / 0
  • Goals scored 7 (1.4)
  • Goals conceded 4 (0.8)
  • Clean sheets 2
  • Failed to score 1

Real MadridReal Madrid

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 3 / 1
  • Lost home / away 0 / 1
  • Goals scored 11 (2.2)
  • Goals conceded 6 (1.2)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 0

Match details

  • Status Not Started
  • Venue Stadio Olimpico, Rome
  • Referee Francois Letexier

Lineups

AS RomaAS Roma

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

Real MadridReal Madrid

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

Injuries and suspensions

AS RomaAS Roma

  • M. Svilar — Unavailable. Toe Injury
  • B. Cristante — Unavailable. Injury
  • K. Koulierakis — Unavailable. Knock
  • M. Bah — Unavailable. Knee Injury

Real MadridReal Madrid

  • Éder Militão — Unavailable. Hamstring Injury
  • F. Mendy — Unavailable. Hip Injury
  • Rodrygo — Unavailable. Knee Injury
  • R. Asencio — Unavailable. Broken Leg

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

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