CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Round of 16

Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino Prediction

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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 19 Aug 2026Updated: 09 Sept 2026, 10:03

Match preview

Atletico-MG hosts RB Bragantino in a CONMEBOL Sudamericana clash on 16 August at 02:05. The home side enters this fixture in strong form, having secured four consecutive victories and currently positioned as one of the tournament favourites. Their most recent outing saw a commanding 2-0 victory over Santos, with Kevin Viveros netting a brace. Bragantino, by contrast, sits tenth in the standings and faces a significant crisis in both attack and defence. The visitors have struggled to find the back of the net consistently, suffering recent defeats to Atletico Mineiro and Corinthians without scoring. Historical matchups favour the hosts, who won both encounters last season (3-2 away, 2-0 at home).

Form and Head-to-Head

Atletico-MG's recent trajectory demonstrates dominance, though they did suffer a heavy 4-0 loss to Vitoria mid-August before their winning streak resumed. The home team has remained unbeaten in three of their last six direct meetings with Bragantino. Bragantino's season has been marked by inconsistency, with just one victory in their last six league matches and two goalless draws. The visitors' last meeting with Atletico-MG on 5 December 2024 ended in a narrow 1-2 defeat. Both teams show defensive vulnerability, yet neither has been prolific in recent weeks, suggesting a cautious approach may prevail.

Best Bet

Total Goals Under 2.5 emerges as the primary selection for this encounter. The metric held in 12 of Atletico-MG's last 20 matches and in 13 of Bragantino's previous 20 outings. Additionally, "Both Teams Not to Score" landed in 5 of the last 6 meetings between these sides. With Bragantino's attacking struggles and Atletico-MG likely to adopt a pragmatic approach against a struggling opponent, a low-scoring affair appears probable. In Atletico-MG's last ten matches, totals above 2.5 goals occurred only four times, while Bragantino's record is even more conservative.

Odds to Watch

No partner bookmaker odds were available at the time of publication. Bettors are encouraged to check live pricing across Melbet, 1xBet, 1Win, Mostbet, and 22Bet for the most current markets on this fixture. Given the tactical nature expected from both teams and their recent form, markets focusing on low-scoring outcomes and defensive solidity should attract attention as the match approaches.

Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino Odds

Pre-match odds appear closer to kick-off when bookmakers open the market.

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1X2 prediction for Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino

Date and time 20 August 2026 at 01:00

1X22
BTTSNo20%

Competitive fixture

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Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

Atletico-MGAtletico-MGLast matchesRB BragantinoRB Bragantino
80%Over 0.5 goals80%
40%Over 1.5 goals40%
40%Over 2.5 goals0%
20%Over 3.5 goals0%
20%BTTS20%
20%Last 5 BTTS20%

Head to Head Atletico-MG — RB Bragantino

In the last 8 meetings, Atletico-MG hold the edge — 5 wins for Atletico-MG, 2 for RB Bragantino, 1 draws.

63% W — 513% D — 125% W — 2
  • RB BragantinoRB Bragantino0:1Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
    CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 12 Aug 2026
  • RB BragantinoRB Bragantino1:0Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
    Serie A · 04 Feb 2026
  • RB BragantinoRB Bragantino2:0Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
    Serie A · 16 Nov 2025
  • Atletico-MGAtletico-MG2:1RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
    Serie A · 03 Aug 2025
  • Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3:0RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
    Serie A · 22 Sept 2024
  • RB BragantinoRB Bragantino1:2Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
    Serie A · 12 Jun 2024
  • RB BragantinoRB Bragantino1:2Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
    Serie A · 26 Oct 2023
  • Atletico-MGAtletico-MG1:1RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
    Serie A · 10 Jun 2023
100%Over 0.5100%
75%Over 1.575%
50%Over 2.550%
50%BTTS50%
75%Atletico-MG over 0.575%

Betting profits Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Atletico-MG

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+8.01815
Match WinnerDraw+1.92515
Match WinnerLose-10.32215
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-2.88915
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+2.25615
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-2.01814
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+1.01814
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-1.56615
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+1.08915
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-2.5437
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+1.4167
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-2.54315
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+0.381215
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-9.0009
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+1.1299
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5-0.5845
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5+1.8815

RB Bragantino

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-2.54615
Match WinnerDraw+1.82515
Match WinnerLose-2.88415
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-0.271014
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+0.47414
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-0.801114
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+0.241014
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-6.63415
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+4.811115
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-5.1529
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+2.6189
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-10.42114
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+2.741314
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-9.0009
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+1.0599
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5+0.3133
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5-3.0003

Match statistics

4545%Possession %55%55
0.6934%Expected goals66%1.33
1139%Total shots61%17
433%Shots on target67%8
655%Shots off target45%5
533%Corners67%10
739%Fouls61%11
133%Yellow cards67%2
32344%Passes56%403
25344%Accurate passes56%322
675%Saves25%2

Key events

  • 44'
    Eric RamiresYellow card
    RB Bragantino
  • 45'
    Eric RamiresGoal · assist Lucas Barbosa
    RB Bragantino
  • 45+5'
    CuelloYellow card
    Atletico-MG
  • 52'
    MayconGoal
    Atletico-MG
  • 60'
    Reinier → M. CassierraSubstitution
    Atletico-MG
  • 60'
    Bernard → A. MindaSubstitution
    Atletico-MG
  • 67'
    Vinicinho → H. MosqueraSubstitution
    RB Bragantino
  • 77'
    J. Herrera → Eduardo SashaSubstitution
    RB Bragantino
  • 81'
    Eduardo SashaGoal
    RB Bragantino
  • 84'
    A. Franco → M. CisseSubstitution
    Atletico-MG
  • 86'
    Eric Ramires → Alix ViniciusSubstitution
    RB Bragantino
  • 86'
    Rodriguinho → FabinhoSubstitution
    RB Bragantino
  • 88'
    Alix ViniciusYellow card
    RB Bragantino
  • 90'
    CuelloGoal
    Atletico-MG
  • 90+5'
    Victor Hugo → VitaoSubstitution
    Atletico-MG

Atletico-MGLast matches Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG are in a strong run: 3 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 1.4 goals per game.

60% W — 340% D — 20% L — 0
  • Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3:0GremioGremio
    WSerie A · 16 Aug 2026
  • RB BragantinoRB Bragantino0:1Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
    WCONMEBOL Sudamericana · 12 Aug 2026
  • remoremo2:2Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
    DSerie A · 08 Aug 2026
  • JuventudeJuventude0:1Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
    WCopa Do Brasil · 04 Aug 2026
  • Atletico-MGAtletico-MG0:0JuventudeJuventude
    DCopa Do Brasil · 01 Aug 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
0
Goals / game
1.4
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
20%

RB BragantinoLast matches RB Bragantino

In the last 5 matches RB Bragantino have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 20% of those games.

20% W — 140% D — 240% L — 2
  • Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense1:1RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
    DSerie A · 15 Aug 2026
  • RB BragantinoRB Bragantino0:1Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
    LCONMEBOL Sudamericana · 12 Aug 2026
  • RB BragantinoRB Bragantino0:2CorinthiansCorinthians
    LSerie A · 09 Aug 2026
  • RB BragantinoRB Bragantino1:0Sporting CristalSporting Cristal
    WCONMEBOL Sudamericana · 30 Jul 2026
  • RB BragantinoRB Bragantino0:0CoritibaCoritiba
    DSerie A · 26 Jul 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
2
Goals / game
0.4
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
0%
BTTS
20%

Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1MacaraMacara62406-3310
2TigreTigre62318-539
3America de CaliAmerica de Cali62316-519
4Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico60242-9-72
1Atletico-MGAtletico-MG63128-6210
2CiencianoCienciano62225-7-28
3JuventudJuventud614110-737
4Puerto CabelloPuerto Cabello62136-9-37
1Sao PauloSao Paulo63306-1512
2O'HigginsO'Higgins63128-6210
3MillonariosMillonarios62227-708
4Boston RiverBoston River61055-12-73
1Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta61506-518
2SantosSantos61418-627
3San LorenzoSan Lorenzo61416-517
4Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca61323-7-46
1BotafogoBotafogo651015-51016
2Caracas FCCaracas FC62319-909
3Racing ClubRacing Club622211-928
4IndependienteIndependiente60063-15-120
1Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque641111-5613
2GremioGremio63218-3511
3Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra61234-10-65
4PalestinoPalestino60331-6-53
1OlimpiaOlimpia641110-6413
2Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama631210-6410
3A. ItalianoA. Italiano62137-9-27
4Barracas CentralBarracas Central60332-8-63
1River PlateRiver Plate64209-3614
2RB BragantinoRB Bragantino631212-5710
3Carabobo FCCarabobo FC63036-519
4BloomingBlooming60153-17-141
League position 1 / 32Comparative team statisticsLeague position 2 / 32
350%Wins50%3
117%Draws17%1
233%Losses33%2
867%Goals scored100%12
6100%Goals conceded83%5
10100%Points100%10

Season statistic Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino

Atletico-MGAtletico-MG

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 2
  • Lost home / away 0 / 0
  • Goals scored 7 (1.4)
  • Goals conceded 2 (0.4)
  • Clean sheets 4
  • Failed to score 1

RB BragantinoRB Bragantino

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 0
  • Lost home / away 2 / 0
  • Goals scored 2 (0.4)
  • Goals conceded 4 (0.8)
  • Clean sheets 2
  • Failed to score 3

Match details

  • Status Finished
  • Referee M. Ramirez

Lineups

Atletico-MGAtletico-MG

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

RB BragantinoRB Bragantino

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

Injuries and suspensions

Atletico-MGAtletico-MG

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

RB BragantinoRB Bragantino

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

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