AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Prediction

AZ Alkmaar host Hapoel Beer Sheva on 15 October 2026 at 19:45 in the second round of the Europa League league phase at the AFAS Stadium. AZ opened with a 0-1 defeat to Sunderland. Hapoel drew 0-0 with Dinamo Zagreb in their opener.

AZ's unbeaten home run stretches to 16 consecutive matches, their last home loss coming in January. The Dutch side won seven of their last ten matches at home, averaging 2.15 goals for and 0.92 against. Recent form has dipped—they lost 0-2 to Feyenoord over the weekend and won just one of their last four across all competitions—but the AFAS Stadium remains a fortress.

Hapoel arrive with defensive vulnerabilities exposed in Europe. They conceded five goals in a single match this season and have won five of their last ten away games while conceding 1.49 per outing. Djibril Diop and Eliel Peretz return from suspension, leaving Dan Biton as their only confirmed absentee.

Form and H2H

AZ's home record is the decisive factor here. Sixteen matches without defeat at the AFAS, combined with 2.15 goals per game at home over their last ten, sets them apart from a Hapoel side that has shown serious structural problems in European competition. Hapoel's away form reads five wins, two draws, and three losses in their last ten, with an average of 1.40 goals for and 1.49 against.

AZ's recent stumble—one win in four matches—matters less than their home dominance. Hapoel's return of key players Diop and Peretz adds attacking threat but does not address their defensive fragility. The hosts should control possession and territory.

Best Bet

AZ Alkmaar to win and over 2.5 goals. The hosts' home form, combined with Hapoel's European defensive record, points to a comfortable victory with multiple goals. At Melbet, an AZ win sits at 1.27. Over 2.5 goals can be backed separately across the market.

Odds to Watch

AZ Alkmaar win odds: Melbet 1.27, 1xBet 1.3, 1Win 1.31, Mostbet 1.31, 22Bet 1.32. The draw is priced 5.85 at Melbet and 6.02 at 1xBet. A Hapoel win reaches 10 at Melbet and 10.6 at 1xBet, reflecting the gap in form and home advantage.