Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 31

Bahia vs Flamengo Prediction

0 : 0LIVE 38' · 1HBrazil
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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 18 Oct 2026Updated: 18 Oct 2026, 22:09

Match preview

Bahia hosts Flamengo on 19 October 2026 at 00:30 in a Serie A clash where the visitor arrives as the stronger proposition. Under Rogerio Ceni, Bahia has found rhythm and won three straight before last week's 1-0 victory over Mirassol, with Luciano Juba scoring on 38 minutes. The Salvador side has netted 10 goals in six games, but defensive lapses cost them defeats to Palmeiras and Atletico Paranaense. Flamengo, meanwhile, enters unbeaten in their last 10 away matches across all competitions, conceding just 0.50 goals per game on the road.

Form and H2H

Bahia's home record over ten matches reads five wins, three draws, and two losses, averaging 1.50 goals for and 1.10 against. Flamengo's away form is sharper: seven wins, three draws, zero losses, with 1.60 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per outing. Head-to-head history favours Flamengo, who won three of six meetings since 2012, including a 2-1 victory at home in 2013 and a 1-0 win in Salvador in 2017. Bahia's sole win came in 2014, 2-1 at home.

Best bet

Flamengo do not lose. The visitor's unbeaten away record, combined with Bahia's defensive inconsistency, makes a Flamengo win or draw the logical play. At 1xBet, a Flamengo win sits at 2.12, while the draw is priced 3.82. For those seeking insurance, the double chance covers both outcomes at shorter odds across the market.

Odds to watch

Flamengo's away form suggests backing them to win at 2.12 with 1xBet or 22Bet, or 2.12 with 1Win. The draw at 3.82 (1xBet) or 3.81 (22Bet) offers value given Bahia's recent stability and Flamengo's tendency to draw on the road. Over 1.5 goals is worth monitoring, as Bahia's attack has fired consistently while Flamengo's road defence remains tight.

Bahia vs Flamengo Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
1xBet3.263.822.12Place a bet
22Bet3.263.812.12Place a bet
Best odds3.263.822.12
Average3.263.812.12
Lowest odds3.263.812.12
Compare odds
1xBet

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1X2 prediction for Bahia vs Flamengo

Date and time 18 October 2026 at 22:30

1X222.1245%
DCX/290%
BTTSYes60%
1 10%X 45%2 45%

Double chance : draw or Flamengo

Place a bet on this match

Bahia vs Flamengo Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

BahiaBahiaLast matchesFlamengoFlamengo
100%Over 0.5 goals80%
60%Over 1.5 goals60%
60%Over 2.5 goals40%
20%Over 3.5 goals20%
60%BTTS60%
60%Last 5 BTTS60%

Head to Head Bahia — Flamengo

In the last 8 meetings, Flamengo hold the edge — 1 wins for Bahia, 7 for Flamengo, 0 draws.

13% W — 10% D — 088% W — 7
  • FlamengoFlamengo2:0BahiaBahia
    Serie A · 19 Apr 2026
  • BahiaBahia1:0FlamengoFlamengo
    Serie A · 05 Oct 2025
  • FlamengoFlamengo1:0BahiaBahia
    Serie A · 11 May 2025
  • BahiaBahia0:2FlamengoFlamengo
    Serie A · 05 Oct 2024
  • FlamengoFlamengo1:0BahiaBahia
    Copa Do Brasil · 13 Sept 2024
  • BahiaBahia0:1FlamengoFlamengo
    Copa Do Brasil · 29 Aug 2024
  • FlamengoFlamengo2:1BahiaBahia
    Serie A · 21 Jun 2024
  • FlamengoFlamengo1:0BahiaBahia
    Serie A · 30 Sept 2023
100%Over 0.5100%
38%Over 1.538%
13%Over 2.513%
13%BTTS13%
25%Bahia over 0.588%

Betting profits Bahia vs Flamengo

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Bahia

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-1.03614
Match WinnerDraw+3.74514
Match WinnerLose-8.46314
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-1.191014
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+3.07414
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-0.29810
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-0.32610
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-4.92514
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+4.15914
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-4.64514
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+2.391114
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-3.74313
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+1.201013
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+4.82313
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-1.421013

Flamengo

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+0.611015
Match WinnerDraw+0.56415
Match WinnerLose-11.64115
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+0.161215
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-4.39315
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-2.51715
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+0.98815
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-3.19713
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+2.311113
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-8.93215
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+3.261315
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-5.10112
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.961112
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5-0.7923
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5+3.3313
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-0.1568
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-1.1848

Match statistics

2828%Possession %72%72
0.2423%Expected goals77%0.82
325%Total shots75%9
00%Shots on target100%7
150%Shots off target50%1
00%Big chances100%4
225%Corners75%6
120%Fouls80%4
00%Yellow cards100%1
00%Red cards0%0
11328%Passes72%285
7823%Accurate passes77%259
6100%Saves0%0
1100%Offsides0%0

Key events

BahiaLast matches Bahia

Bahia are in a strong run: 3 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 1.4 goals per game.

60% W — 30% D — 040% L — 2
  • BahiaBahia1:0MirassolMirassol
    WSerie A · 11 Oct 2026
  • PalmeirasPalmeiras1:0BahiaBahia
    LSerie A · 09 Oct 2026
  • Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense2:1BahiaBahia
    LSerie A · 20 Sept 2026
  • BahiaBahia2:1RemoRemo
    WSerie A · 15 Sept 2026
  • RB BragantinoRB Bragantino2:3BahiaBahia
    WSerie A · 05 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
3
Draws
0
Losses
2
Goals / game
1.4
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
60%

FlamengoLast matches Flamengo

In the last 5 matches Flamengo have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses. BTTS landed in 60% of those games.

40% W — 260% D — 30% L — 0
  • Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.0:0FlamengoFlamengo
    DCONMEBOL Libertadores · 16 Oct 2026
  • FlamengoFlamengo1:0FluminenseFluminense
    WSerie A · 11 Oct 2026
  • SantosSantos2:2FlamengoFlamengo
    DSerie A · 08 Oct 2026
  • FlamengoFlamengo2:1RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
    WSerie A · 20 Sept 2026
  • FlamengoFlamengo1:1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
    DCONMEBOL Libertadores · 18 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
0
Goals / game
1.2
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
60%

Bahia vs Flamengo Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1PalmeirasPalmeiras31199354-223266
2FlamengoFlamengo30197458-253364
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense31158849-371253
4FluminenseFluminense30149748-371151
5Atletico-MGAtletico-MG31148942-35750
6BahiaBahia301310744-36849
7CruzeiroCruzeiro301461046-44248
8Sao PauloSao Paulo311261336-35142
9SantosSantos301191046-45142
10RB BragantinoRB Bragantino301171238-35340
11BotafogoBotafogo311091244-48-439
12CoritibaCoritiba311091238-49-1139
13VitoriaVitoria301061433-44-1136
14MirassolMirassol31991336-44-836
15Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama30981336-43-735
16CorinthiansCorinthians30881431-38-732
17InternacionalInternacional317111333-40-732
18GremioGremio307101332-40-831
19RemoRemo305101533-48-1525
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc30391830-62-3218
League position 6 / 20Comparative team statisticsLeague position 2 / 20
1343%Wins63%19
1033%Draws23%7
723%Losses13%4
4476%Goals scored100%58
36100%Goals conceded69%25
4977%Points100%64

Season statistic Bahia vs Flamengo

BahiaBahia

  • Matches played 30
  • Won home / away 7 / 6
  • Lost home / away 2 / 5
  • Goals scored 44 (1.5)
  • Goals conceded 36 (1.2)
  • Clean sheets 9
  • Failed to score 4

FlamengoFlamengo

  • Matches played 30
  • Won home / away 11 / 8
  • Lost home / away 1 / 3
  • Goals scored 58 (1.9)
  • Goals conceded 25 (0.8)
  • Clean sheets 13
  • Failed to score 2

Match details

  • Status First Half
  • Venue Arena Fonte Nova, El Salvador
  • Referee Wilton Sampaio

Lineups

Injuries and suspensions

BahiaBahia

  • Leo Vieira — Missing Fixture. Knee Injury
  • Leo Vieira — Missing Fixture. Knee Injury

FlamengoFlamengo

  • Ayrton Lucas — Missing Fixture. Thigh Injury
  • Danilo — Missing Fixture. Inactive
  • Evertton Araujo — Missing Fixture. Thigh Injury
  • G. de Arrascaeta — Missing Fixture. Wrist Injury
  • Ayrton Lucas — Missing Fixture. Thigh Injury
  • Danilo — Missing Fixture. Inactive
  • Evertton Araujo — Missing Fixture. Thigh Injury
  • G. de Arrascaeta — Missing Fixture. Wrist Injury

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

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