Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg Prediction

Bayern München host 1. FC Magdeburg in the DFB Pokal second round on 28 October 2026 at 22:45. Bayern are Bundesliga champions; Magdeburg play in the second division. Bayern have won six of their last ten matches at home without defeat, averaging 3.4 goals for and 1.1 against. Magdeburg sit fifth in their league after nine rounds, ten points behind the leader, and have lost three times already this season, including a 0–2 defeat to Dynamo Dresden recently. Bayern's form has stalled. Vincent Kompany's side drew three of their last five matches: 2–2 with Arsenal in Champions League, 2–2 with Augsburg in the Bundesliga, and 3–3 with Viking in European competition. Kompany was hospitalized citing fatigue among the reasons, and Bayern have operated without him on the touchline. A cup tie against second-division opposition should suit Bayern's quality regardless of recent inconsistency.

Form and H2H

Bayern's home record stands at six wins and four draws in ten matches, with no losses. They score 3.4 goals per game at the Allianz and concede 1.1. Magdeburg have won six away matches in their last ten but also lost three, averaging 2.4 goals for and 1.2 against on the road. Bayern's recent stumbles against weaker opponents—Augsburg and Viking both held them to draws—suggest Magdeburg may not roll over, though the quality gap remains vast. Bayern's profit on the home win market sits at minus 0.79, while their Over 2.5 goals bet shows plus 1.30 profit. Magdeburg's away win has generated plus 1.67 profit, but their draw record away is poor at minus 6.25.

Best bet

Bayern's home dominance and Magdeburg's defensive fragility point to a comfortable Bayern victory. At Melbet and 1xBet, the home win trades at 1.03. The odds reflect Bayern's overwhelming advantage, but the price is so tight that value lies elsewhere. Over 2.5 goals carries stronger appeal given Bayern's 3.4 average goals at home and Magdeburg's 1.2 conceded away. Bayern's team total Over 1.5 shows plus 2.08 profit on record.

Odds to watch

The 1X2 market shows Bayern as prohibitive favorites across all partners. Melbet and 1xBet price the home win at 1.03, with the draw at 14 and the away win at 30. Mostbet offers 1.03 for Bayern, 15 for the draw, and 26 for Magdeburg. 1Win stretches Bayern to 1.04, the draw to 14.4, and the away win to 34.8. The draw has generated the most profit at plus 17.08 for Bayern bettors, though backing a stalemate against a second-division side remains a contrarian play. Magdeburg's away win profit of plus 1.67 suggests some value-hunters have backed the upset, but Bayern's recent form, however patchy, should still be enough to settle this tie.