Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc Prediction

Botafogo host Chapecoense-sc on 18 October 2026 at 00:00 in Serie A. The pick: Botafogo do not lose.

Botafogo arrive in poor form. Luis Castro's side sits sixth in the table after six matches without rhythm. A 1–1 draw with Corinthians last time out—Danilo Oliveira's 34th-minute goal from Christian Medina's pass salvaged only a point—exposed the lack of control. Defeats to Vasco da Gama (1–2) and Mirasoal (0–2) showed defensive frailty: eight goals conceded across recent games and no real chances created in those losses. Only a 3–2 win over Gremio broke the pattern, though that match was hard-fought. The club's pedigree is solid—three Brazilian titles and the 2024 Copa Libertadores—but consistency has vanished.

Chapecoense-sc travel as the weaker side. Away form in the last ten matches reads two wins, three draws, five losses, with an average of 1.20 goals for and 2.10 against. Botafogo's home record over the same span is two wins, three draws, five losses, averaging 0.90 goals for and 1.50 against. The head-to-head favours Botafogo: four wins to one loss across six meetings since 2016, including 2–1 and 1–0 victories in their last two home fixtures.

Form and H2H

Botafogo have won four of six direct meetings with Chapecoense-sc. In their last two home clashes, Botafogo won 2–1 in October 2017 and 1–0 in November 2018. Chapecoense-sc's only recent success came in November 2016 with a 2–0 away win, but that was a decade ago in competitive terms.

Botafogo's last-ten home record shows defensive issues: five losses, three draws, two wins. Chapecoense-sc's away form is worse: five losses, three draws, two wins. The gap in quality and consistency tilts sharply toward the home side despite their current slump.

Best bet

Botafogo do not lose at 1.34 with 1xBet or 22Bet, and 1.37 with 1Win. Chapecoense-sc lack the attacking threat to punish a Botafogo side that, despite recent wobbles, remains the clear favourite. A draw is possible but a Chapecoense-sc win is unlikely given the head-to-head record and away form.

Odds to watch

The draw sits at 5.59 with 1xBet and 22Bet, or 5.2 with 1Win. Chapecoense-sc at 8.5 with 1xBet and 22Bet, or 8.4 with 1Win, reflects their underdog status. Botafogo's odds compress their favouritism into a narrow margin, typical of a mismatch on paper.