UEFA Nations League · League C - 2

Bulgaria vs Estonia Prediction

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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 27 Sept 2026Updated: 29 Sept 2026, 20:40

Match preview

Bulgaria host Estonia in a UEFA Nations League fixture on 29 September 2026 at 21:45. The pick is Bulgaria 2–1 Estonia, a scoreline that reflects Bulgaria's home advantage and Estonia's defensive vulnerabilities in this competition. Both teams are expected to find the net, making this a competitive but ultimately decisive result for the hosts.

Form and H2H

Detailed form and head-to-head data are unavailable ahead of this fixture. Bulgaria enter as favorites at home, while Estonia travel as underdogs in a Nations League clash where the gap in squad depth typically favors the host nation.

Best Bet

Bulgaria to win. The hosts carry clear superiority in this matchup and should convert that into three points at home. Estonia's away record in this competition suggests they will struggle to mount a sustained threat, even if they manage a goal on the counter.

Odds to Watch

The correct score of 2–1 Bulgaria offers value for those confident in a narrow home victory. Over 2.5 goals is the most likely total outcome, with both teams expected to score at least once. Kristiyan Balov represents an interesting anytime goalscorer option if Bulgaria's attacking play flows through him during the match.

Bulgaria vs Estonia Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
Melbet1.753.55.05Place a bet
1xBet1.793.585.16Place a bet
Mostbet1.763.385.3Place a bet
22Bet1.83.565.15Place a bet
Best odds1.803.585.30
Average1.773.515.17
Lowest odds1.753.385.05
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1xBet

Welcome Package up to $1,500 + 210 FS (casino, 4 deposits) and 120% First-Deposit Bonus up to $400 (sports)

1X2 prediction for Bulgaria vs Estonia

Date and time 29 September 2026 at 21:45

1X211.7554%
O/UO 1.560%
DC1/X77%
BTTSYes50%
1 54%X 23%2 23%

W2(+1.0)

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Bulgaria vs Estonia Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

BulgariaBulgariaLast matchesEstoniaEstonia
100%Over 0.5 goals100%
60%Over 1.5 goals60%
60%Over 2.5 goals0%
40%Over 3.5 goals0%
60%BTTS40%
60%Last 5 BTTS40%

Head to Head Bulgaria — Estonia

In the last 1 meetings, Estonia hold the edge — 0 wins for Bulgaria, 0 for Estonia, 1 draws.

0% W — 0100% D — 10% W — 0
  • BulgariaBulgaria0:0EstoniaEstonia
    UEFA Nations League · 29 Sept 2026
0%Over 0.50%
0%Over 1.50%
0%Over 2.50%
0%BTTS0%
0%Bulgaria over 0.50%

Betting profits Bulgaria vs Estonia

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Bulgaria

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-6.69315
Match WinnerDraw-8.46215
Match WinnerLose+2.541015
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5+0.2622
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5-2.0002
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+1.911214
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-7.36214
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+3.75810
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-4.89210
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+8.621114
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-7.29314
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+2.08514
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-1.12914
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+1.0668
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-0.9658
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-1.1929
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.3579
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-1.1324
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.2234
Both Teams ScoreYes+2.49611
Both Teams ScoreNo-3.53511

Estonia

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-2.92313
Match WinnerDraw+3.09413
Match WinnerLose-5.67613
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-1.75711
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+3.70411
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-1.9958
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+1.3468
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-5.45412
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+2.73812
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-1.6737
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-0.4247
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-0.36411
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-1.78711
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-1.5526
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-1.0146
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-0.3035
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-1.5535
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5+0.2433
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5-3.0003
Goals Over/UnderOver 10.0011
Goals Over/UnderUnder 10.0011
Both Teams ScoreYes+1.9559
Both Teams ScoreNo-2.9649

Match statistics

5555%Possession %45%45
1774%Total shots26%6
250%Shots on target50%2
675%Shots off target25%2
650%Corners50%6
926%Fouls74%26
360%Yellow cards40%2
00%Red cards0%0
44456%Passes44%353
35357%Accurate passes43%269
133%Saves67%2
00%Offsides100%3

Key events

  • 9'
    D. VelkovskiYellow card
    Bulgaria
  • 37'
    B. TsonevYellow card
    Bulgaria
  • 45'
    B. Tsonev → A. ChandarovSubstitution
    Bulgaria
  • 45'
    Z. Dimitrov → K. BalovSubstitution
    Bulgaria
  • 45'
    K. Stoyanov → P. PanayotovSubstitution
    Bulgaria
  • 45'
    Karel Mustmaa → M. MännilaanSubstitution
    Estonia
  • 48'
    M. PaskotšiYellow card
    Estonia
  • 58'
    M. Soomets → K. PalumetsSubstitution
    Estonia
  • 58'
    M. Käit → M. MillerSubstitution
    Estonia
  • 70'
    M. Petkov → S. IvanovSubstitution
    Bulgaria
  • 73'
    I. Turitsov → Y. StoyanovSubstitution
    Bulgaria
  • 74'
    R. Saarma → F. LiivakSubstitution
    Estonia
  • 89'
    P. KristalYellow card
    Estonia
  • 89'
    K. DimitrovYellow card
    Bulgaria

BulgariaLast matches Bulgaria

In the last 5 matches Bulgaria have 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 60% of those games.

40% W — 220% D — 140% L — 2
  • BulgariaBulgaria1:2LuxembourgLuxembourg
    LUEFA Nations League · 26 Sept 2026
  • MoldovaMoldova2:2BulgariaBulgaria
    DFriendlies · 05 Jun 2026
  • BulgariaBulgaria0:1MontenegroMontenegro
    LFriendlies · 01 Jun 2026
  • IndonesiaIndonesia0:1BulgariaBulgaria
    WFIFA Series · 30 Mar 2026
  • Solomon IslandsSolomon Islands2:10BulgariaBulgaria
    WFIFA Series · 27 Mar 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2
Goals / game
2.8
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
60%

EstoniaLast matches Estonia

In the last 5 matches Estonia have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. BTTS landed in 40% of those games.

40% W — 240% D — 220% L — 1
  • IcelandIceland1:1EstoniaEstonia
    DUEFA Nations League · 26 Sept 2026
  • EstoniaEstonia1:0LithuaniaLithuania
    WBaltic Cup · 09 Jun 2026
  • EstoniaEstonia1:0Faroe IslandsFaroe Islands
    WBaltic Cup · 06 Jun 2026
  • RwandaRwanda2:0EstoniaEstonia
    LFIFA Series · 30 Mar 2026
  • KenyaKenya1:1EstoniaEstonia
    DFIFA Series · 27 Mar 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1
Goals / game
0.8
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
0%
BTTS
40%

Bulgaria vs Estonia Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1FranceFrance22002-026
2BelgiumBelgium21012-113
3ItalyItaly21014-313
4TürkiyeTürkiye20021-5-40
1GreeceGreece22003-126
2NetherlandsNetherlands21103-214
3GermanyGermany20111-2-11
4SerbiaSerbia20022-4-20
1SpainSpain11003-213
2CroatiaCroatia11002-113
3EnglandEngland10012-3-10
4CzechiaCzechia10011-2-10
1PortugalPortugal22003-126
2NorwayNorway21014-403
3DenmarkDenmark21014-313
4WalesWales20020-3-30
1SwitzerlandSwitzerland11003-033
2SloveniaSlovenia10100-001
3ScotlandScotland10100-001
4FYR MacedoniaFYR Macedonia10010-3-30
1UkraineUkraine21101-014
2Northern IrelandNorthern Ireland21101-014
3HungaryHungary20110-1-11
4GeorgiaGeorgia20110-1-11
1AustriaAustria22006-246
2KosovoKosovo21012-3-13
3Rep. Of IrelandRep. Of Ireland21013-123
4IsraelIsrael20021-6-50
1SwedenSweden22005-236
2Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina21104-224
3PolandPoland20111-3-21
4RomaniaRomania20023-6-30
1FinlandFinland21107-074
2AlbaniaAlbania11002-023
3BelarusBelarus20110-2-21
4San MarinoSan Marino10010-7-70
1MontenegroMontenegro22005-326
2ArmeniaArmenia21014-313
3CyprusCyprus20111-2-11
4LatviaLatvia20110-2-21
1SlovakiaSlovakia11002-023
2Faroe IslandsFaroe Islands20202-202
3KazakhstanKazakhstan10101-101
4MoldovaMoldova20111-3-21
1LuxembourgLuxembourg11002-113
2EstoniaEstonia10101-101
3IcelandIceland10101-101
4BulgariaBulgaria10011-2-10
1MaltaMalta11002-113
2GibraltarGibraltar10100-001
3AndorraAndorra20111-2-11
1LithuaniaLithuania21103-124
2AzerbaijanAzerbaijan10101-101
3LiechtensteinLiechtenstein10010-2-20
League position 4 / 54Comparative team statisticsLeague position 2 / 54
2200%Wins200%2
1100%Draws100%1
1100%Losses100%1
1100%Goals scored100%1
2100%Goals conceded50%1
00%Points100%1

Season statistic Bulgaria vs Estonia

BulgariaBulgaria

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 0 / 2
  • Lost home / away 2 / 0
  • Goals scored 14 (2.8)
  • Goals conceded 7 (1.4)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 1

EstoniaEstonia

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 2 / 0
  • Lost home / away 0 / 1
  • Goals scored 4 (0.8)
  • Goals conceded 4 (0.8)
  • Clean sheets 2
  • Failed to score 1

Match details

  • Status Finished
  • Venue Hristo Botev Stadium, Plovdiv
  • Referee Goga Kikacheishvili

Lineups

BulgariaBulgaria · 4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. D. Naumov
  2. I. Turitsov
  3. K. Dimitrov
  4. D. Velkovski
  5. Z. Dimitrov
  6. B. Tsonev
  7. S. Velkov
  8. I. Gruev
  9. L. Petkov
  10. M. Petkov
  11. K. Stoyanov

Bench

  1. S. Ivanov
  2. M. Minchev
  3. A. Chandarov
  4. D. Mitov
  5. A. Hristov
  6. A. Kraev
  7. H. Petrov
  8. Y. Stoyanov
  9. E. Tsenov
  10. A. Bozhev
  11. K. Balov
  12. P. Panayotov

EstoniaEstonia · 5-3-2

Starting XI

  1. K. Mets
  2. M. Käit
  3. M. Paskotši
  4. M. Poom
  5. M. Schjønning-Larsen
  6. M. Soomets
  7. K. Hein
  8. E. Tõugjas
  9. R. Saarma
  10. P. Kristal
  11. Karel Mustmaa

Bench

  1. M. Igonen
  2. J. Tamm
  3. M. Kuusk
  4. F. Liivak
  5. M. Ainsalu
  6. M. Männilaan
  7. M. Miller
  8. R. Peetson
  9. J. Saliste
  10. K. Vallner
  11. K. Palumets
  12. M. Skvortsov

Injuries and suspensions

BulgariaBulgaria

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

EstoniaEstonia

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

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