Liga MX · Apertura - 11

CF Pachuca vs Necaxa Prediction

3 : 3FTMexico
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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 11 Oct 2026Updated: 12 Oct 2026, 01:18

Match preview

CF Pachuca host Necaxa on 12 October 2026 at 02:10 in Liga MX's eleventh round. Pachuca have won two of their last five matches with one loss, while Necaxa have lost four times over the same stretch. The gap in current form and defensive reliability positions Pachuca as favourites, though recent results suggest no comfortable victory is assured.

Form and H2H

Pachuca collected eight points across five matches: two wins, two draws, and one loss to Santos Laguna. They beat Atlante 3–0 and Juárez 2–0, drew 2–2 with Tijuana and 1–1 with Guadalajara. Necaxa managed one point in five games, losing to América 4–2, San Luis 3–1, Puebla 1–0, and Cruz Azul 3–1, with only a 1–1 draw against Tigres. Necaxa conceded 12 goals across that run.

In their last eight head-to-head meetings, Pachuca have not lost to Necaxa, recording six wins and two draws. Pachuca's Salomón Rondón has scored 10 goals this season. Oussama Idrissi creates chances for teammates, and Javier Vallejo has three assists. Necaxa's main attacking threat is Julián Carranza with six goals, but weak defending limits their capacity to compensate through attack alone.

Best Bet

Pachuca's superior recent form, head-to-head advantage, and Necaxa's defensive fragility make a home win the primary selection. Necaxa lost four of five recent matches and shipped 12 goals in that period. Back Pachuca to win at 1.68 with 1xBet or 22Bet, or 1.72 with 1Win.

Odds to Watch

Necaxa's defence regularly breaks down; in three of their last five matches, opponents scored at least four goals. Pachuca's recent wins came 2–0 and 3–0, so output depends on home intensity. Over 2.5 goals carries value. The draw is available at 3.84 with 1xBet or 22Bet, and 3.94 with 1Win. Necaxa's away win sits at 4.49 with 1xBet or 22Bet, and 4.69 with 1Win.

CF Pachuca vs Necaxa Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
1xBet1.683.844.49Place a bet
1Win1.73.934.7Place a bet
22Bet1.683.844.49Place a bet
Best odds1.703.934.70
Average1.693.874.56
Lowest odds1.683.844.49
Compare odds
1xBet

Welcome Package up to $1,500 + 210 FS (casino, 4 deposits) and 120% First-Deposit Bonus up to $400 (sports)

1Win

Welcome Bonus up to 600% (crypto account) or up to 500% (any other currency) + 500 FS across first 4 deposits

1X2 prediction for CF Pachuca vs Necaxa

Date and time 12 October 2026 at 00:10

1X211.6855%
DC1/X79%
BTTSYes60%
1 55%X 24%2 21%

CF Pachuca win

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CF Pachuca vs Necaxa Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

CF PachucaCF PachucaLast matchesNecaxaNecaxa
100%Over 0.5 goals100%
80%Over 1.5 goals80%
40%Over 2.5 goals60%
20%Over 3.5 goals60%
40%BTTS80%
40%Last 5 BTTS80%

Head to Head CF Pachuca — Necaxa

In the last 8 meetings, CF Pachuca hold the edge — 6 wins for CF Pachuca, 0 for Necaxa, 2 draws.

75% W — 625% D — 20% W — 0
  • CF PachucaCF Pachuca2:1NecaxaNecaxa
    Liga MX · 04 Mar 2026
  • NecaxaNecaxa0:1CF PachucaCF Pachuca
    Liga MX · 04 Oct 2025
  • NecaxaNecaxa3:5CF PachucaCF Pachuca
    Liga MX · 12 Apr 2025
  • CF PachucaCF Pachuca6:2NecaxaNecaxa
    Liga MX · 03 Nov 2024
  • CF PachucaCF Pachuca2:1NecaxaNecaxa
    Liga MX · 06 May 2024
  • NecaxaNecaxa1:1CF PachucaCF Pachuca
    Liga MX · 24 Feb 2024
  • CF PachucaCF Pachuca1:1NecaxaNecaxa
    Liga MX · 01 Oct 2023
  • CF PachucaCF Pachuca2:1NecaxaNecaxa
    Liga MX · 30 Jan 2023
100%Over 0.5100%
88%Over 1.588%
63%Over 2.563%
88%BTTS88%
100%CF Pachuca over 0.588%

Betting profits CF Pachuca vs Necaxa

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

CF Pachuca

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-2.23414
Match WinnerDraw-2.73314
Match WinnerLose+10.84714
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-1.601014
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+4.21414
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-1.60714
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+1.23714
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-3.51714
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+1.971114
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-5.88314
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+1.931114
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-8.86114
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+1.371314
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+0.3667
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-0.8447

Necaxa

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-3.06313
Match WinnerDraw-5.44213
Match WinnerLose+3.95813
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+1.461213
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-8.47113
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+1.98913
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-3.79413
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+1.28913
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-1.73813
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-0.03513
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-0.89813
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-7.92113
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+1.481213
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-0.6112
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+1.1112

Match statistics

6161%Possession %39%39
1.1326%Expected goals74%3.25
1752%Total shots48%16
542%Shots on target58%7
1165%Shots off target35%6
563%Corners38%3
1548%Fouls52%16
450%Yellow cards50%4
00%Red cards0%0
46060%Passes40%311
38061%Accurate passes39%243
350%Saves50%3
467%Offsides33%2

Key events

CF PachucaLast matches CF Pachuca

In the last 5 matches CF Pachuca have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. BTTS landed in 40% of those games.

40% W — 240% D — 220% L — 1
  • Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1:0CF PachucaCF Pachuca
    LLiga MX · 27 Sept 2026
  • CF PachucaCF Pachuca2:2Club TijuanaClub Tijuana
    DLiga MX · 21 Sept 2026
  • Atlante FCAtlante FC0:3CF PachucaCF Pachuca
    WLiga MX · 12 Sept 2026
  • FC JuarezFC Juarez0:2CF PachucaCF Pachuca
    WLiga MX · 05 Sept 2026
  • CF PachucaCF Pachuca1:1Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
    DLiga MX · 30 Aug 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1
Goals / game
1.6
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
40%

NecaxaLast matches Necaxa

Necaxa have not won in the last 5 matches (1 draws, 4 losses).

0% W — 020% D — 180% L — 4
  • NecaxaNecaxa2:4Club AmericaClub America
    LLiga MX · 28 Sept 2026
  • Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis3:1NecaxaNecaxa
    LLiga MX · 20 Sept 2026
  • NecaxaNecaxa0:1PueblaPuebla
    LLiga MX · 12 Sept 2026
  • Tigres UANLTigres UANL1:1NecaxaNecaxa
    DLiga MX · 06 Sept 2026
  • NecaxaNecaxa1:3Cruz AzulCruz Azul
    LLiga MX · 29 Aug 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
4
Goals / game
1.0
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
80%

CF Pachuca vs Necaxa Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1Club AmericaClub America1063122-111121
2TolucaToluca1162325-151020
3Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1062215-8720
4Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1154218-11719
5LeonLeon1153315-12318
6AtlasAtlas1153317-18-118
7Cruz AzulCruz Azul1051419-18116
8Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1043315-14115
9PueblaPuebla1143412-13-115
10MonterreyMonterrey1042417-15214
11Tigres UANLTigres UANL1134413-15-213
12CF PachucaCF Pachuca1033415-11412
13U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1033414-16-212
14Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1033414-18-412
15Atlante FCAtlante FC1125412-17-511
16Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1031610-15-510
17NecaxaNecaxa1022612-20-88
18FC JuarezFC Juarez111198-26-184
League position 12 / 18Comparative team statisticsLeague position 17 / 18
330%Wins20%2
330%Draws20%2
440%Losses60%6
15100%Goals scored80%12
1155%Goals conceded100%20
12100%Points67%8

Season statistic CF Pachuca vs Necaxa

CF PachucaCF Pachuca

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 0 / 2
  • Lost home / away 0 / 1
  • Goals scored 8 (1.6)
  • Goals conceded 4 (0.8)
  • Clean sheets 2
  • Failed to score 1

NecaxaNecaxa

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 0 / 0
  • Lost home / away 3 / 1
  • Goals scored 5 (1.0)
  • Goals conceded 12 (2.4)
  • Clean sheets 0
  • Failed to score 1

Match details

  • Status Finished
  • Venue Estadio Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto
  • Referee Maximiliano Quintero Hernandez

Lineups

Injuries and suspensions

CF Pachuca

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Necaxa

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

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