Chelsea vs Tottenham Prediction

Chelsea host Tottenham on 24 October 2026 at 19:30 in the eighth round of the Premier League. Chelsea sit fourth with 13 points from seven matches and a goal difference of 17:13. Tottenham are 16th with one win this season and sit just one point above the relegation zone. The hosts won 2:0 at Everton last weekend and control play at Stamford Bridge through their attacking trio of Rogjers, Palmer, and João Pedro. Tottenham have no away wins in the league this season, managing only two draws and one defeat from their three trips so far.

Form and H2H

Chelsea average 2.43 goals per match this season, third in the league, but concede 1.86 per game on average. Tottenham score just 0.86 goals per match, second-worst in the division, despite creating 1.26 expected goals per game. In nine of their last ten away matches in the Premier League, Tottenham have scored a maximum of one goal. Historically, Tottenham's individual total has stayed under 2.5 goals in 24 of the last 27 head-to-head meetings between these clubs. Tottenham have injuries to six players with five more doubtful. Chelsea lost goalkeeper Emiliano Martínez to a serious injury in their last match, which weakens their defensive setup further.

Best bet

Tottenham under 1.5 goals. The visitors struggle to create attacking threat away from home and have managed just 0.86 goals per match this season. Chelsea's defence may be vulnerable without Martínez, but Tottenham's chronic finishing problems make it unlikely they will score more than once at Stamford Bridge. The hosts can afford to concede one goal and still control the match, but Tottenham lack the sharpness to punish Chelsea twice.

Odds to watch

Chelsea are heavy favourites at 1.68 for the win. A draw is priced at 4.30 and a Tottenham victory at 4.60. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.50, while Under 2.5 is 2.50. Chelsea's handicap of -1.5 is 2.65, and Tottenham's +1.5 is 1.45. Both teams to score is 1.55 for yes and 2.35 for no.