CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv Prediction

CSKA Moscow host Lokomotiv on 29 October 2026 at 19:30 in a Russian Cup group stage fixture. CSKA are heavy favorites to win at home, where they have won eight of their last ten Cup matches across different seasons and stages. The hosts demolished Rostov 4–0 on 14 October and beat Spartak 2–0 on 25 October, arriving at this derby off back-to-back convincing victories. Lokomotiv have the opposite trajectory: eight of their last ten official matches across all competitions ended without a win. They lost 0–2 away to Rostov on 25 October and come to Moscow in poor form, though they did hammer Fakel 5–0 away on 10 October and drew 3–3 with Krasnodar at home on 17 October, showing they can score and trouble opponents.

Form and H2H

CSKA have not conceded in eight of their last ten matches across all competitions and scored more than 1.5 goals in eight of their last ten home Cup matches. Lokomotiv's opponents have scored fewer than 3.5 goals in ten of their last ten matches across all tournaments, and Lokomotiv have conceded more than 2.5 goals in eight of their last ten away Cup matches. The visitors carry injury concerns: midfielder Zelimkhan Bakaev was hurt in the Rostov match and had to be replaced, while defender Cesar Montes started on the bench due to a training injury. CSKA face a goalkeeper decision after Maxim Borisko impressed in the Spartak win, though the starting XI has not been confirmed.

Best bet

Back CSKA Moscow to win. The hosts' home record in the Cup is the decisive factor: eight wins in ten matches at this stage speaks to their ability to close out cup ties on their own ground. Lokomotiv have won just twice in ten recent official matches and arrive without momentum. At 1xBet, a CSKA win trades at 2.

Odds to watch

The draw is priced at 3.69 and Lokomotiv win at 3.77 on 1xBet. CSKA's form at home in cup competition makes them the clear choice, but Lokomotiv's occasional firepower—five goals against Fakel, three against Krasnodar—means a draw or away upset cannot be ruled out entirely. The odds reflect a genuine three-way contest, though CSKA's home advantage in this specific tournament tilts the balance decisively in their favor.