Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka Prediction

Dinamo Zagreb host HNK Rijeka on 27 October 2026 at 20:00 in the HNL. Zagreb come in with three wins and two losses across their last five matches, scoring 13 goals and conceding 7. Rijeka sit at an identical 3-2 record over the same span, with 10 goals for and 7 against. The head-to-head record favors the hosts decisively: Zagreb have not lost to Rijeka in five consecutive meetings, posting three wins and two draws.

Form and H2H

Zagreb's recent run shows volatility. They lost 1-2 to Hajduk Split, then beat Anderlecht 1-0 and Slaven 5-1 before falling 2-4 to NEK Nijmegen. A 4-0 demolition of Vukovar 91 followed. At home this season, Zagreb average 2.6 goals for and 0.6 against, maintaining a clean sheet record across their available home sample. Away from the Maksimir, they have posted two wins and one loss with a 10-3 goal difference.

Rijeka opened their five-game stretch with a 3-0 win over Hajduk Split but stumbled to Union (0-1) and Slaven (1-4). They recovered with victories over Rudeš (2-1) and Karlovac (4-1). On the road, Rijeka show 2-1-1 with a 7-6 goal swing, though their away defense has conceded 2 per game in their last two trips and 6 across their last three away matches. Zagreb have never lost to Rijeka across five head-to-head meetings, with three wins and two draws. Those five games averaged 2.2 goals.

Best Bet

Back Dinamo Zagreb to win. The hosts control play at home, where they concede just 0.6 goals per game on average. Rijeka's away record is fragile: they have shipped six goals in three recent road matches despite scoring freely. Zagreb's seasonal home output of 2.6 goals per game outpaces Rijeka's away average of 0.8. The head-to-head advantage is decisive. Mostbet price the home win at 1.52, 1xBet at 1.66, and Melbet at 1.59.

Odds to Watch

The draw sits at 4.15 with Melbet, 3.82 with 1xBet, and 4.1 with Mostbet. A Rijeka away win is priced at 4.77 by Melbet, 4.64 by 1xBet, and 5.1 by Mostbet. Zagreb's home form and unbeaten run against this opponent make the home win the central play, but Rijeka's attacking output in recent matches means the match carries genuine goal potential.