Kirin Cup · 3rd place

Ecuador vs Panama Prediction

1 : 1FTWorld
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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 04 Oct 2026Updated: 05 Oct 2026, 08:26

Match preview

Ecuador and Panama meet in the Kirin Cup third-place playoff on 5 October 2026 at 09:30. Both teams arrive after penalty shootout losses in the semifinals. Ecuador drew 0-0 with Japan before falling in the spot-kick stage, while Panama drew 1-1 with New Zealand and suffered the same fate. The third-place match offers both sides a chance to finish the tournament on a positive note and test squad depth ahead of upcoming qualifiers.

Form and H2H

Ecuador showed defensive solidity against Japan, keeping a clean sheet through 90 minutes before the shootout decided the tie. Panama demonstrated fighting spirit and set-piece threat in their semifinal, equalizing against New Zealand after falling behind. Both teams will likely approach the match with caution early, rotating players and experimenting with combinations after the emotional drain of penalty defeats. As the match develops, both sides should open up, but neither enters as a heavy favorite.

Best Bet

Total under 2.5 goals. Both Ecuador and Panama will prioritize defensive organization and squad rotation in a dead-rubber fixture. The semifinal penalties have left both camps mentally fatigued, and the third-place slot carries less weight than progression in a knockout tournament. Expect a measured tempo and limited goalmouth action. Back under 2.5 at 1.7 with 1xBet or 22Bet.

Odds to Watch

Ecuador are favored at 1.61 with Mostbet, 1.63 with 1Win, and 1.7 with 1xBet and 22Bet. The draw sits at 3.57 with Mostbet and 3.98 with 1xBet and 22Bet. Panama's odds range from 5.1 with 1Win and Mostbet to 5.48 with 1xBet and 22Bet. Ecuador's home advantage and recent defensive record make them slight favorites, but Panama's set-piece threat and compact shape offer value at longer odds.

Ecuador vs Panama Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
1xBet1.74.055.37Place a bet
1Win1.593.845.3Place a bet
Mostbet1.683.474.6Place a bet
22Bet1.74.045.37Place a bet
Best odds1.704.055.37
Average1.673.855.16
Lowest odds1.593.474.60
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1xBet

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1Win

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1X2 prediction for Ecuador vs Panama

Date and time 5 October 2026 at 09:30

1X211.758%
DC1/X83%
BTTSNo30%
1 58%X 25%2 17%

Ecuador win

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Ecuador vs Panama Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

EcuadorEcuadorLast matchesPanamaPanama
60%Over 0.5 goals100%
60%Over 1.5 goals60%
40%Over 2.5 goals0%
0%Over 3.5 goals0%
20%BTTS40%
20%Last 5 BTTS40%

Head to Head Ecuador — Panama

In the last 1 meetings, Ecuador hold the edge — 1 wins for Ecuador, 0 for Panama, 0 draws.

100% W — 10% D — 00% W — 0
  • PanamaPanama1:2EcuadorEcuador
    Friendlies · 21 Nov 2018
100%Over 0.5100%
100%Over 1.5100%
100%Over 2.5100%
100%BTTS100%
100%Ecuador over 0.5100%

Betting profits Ecuador vs Panama

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Ecuador

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-1.76514
Match WinnerDraw+9.93614
Match WinnerLose-6.22314
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5-0.7023
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5+2.9413
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-0.061014
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-3.55414
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-2.46913
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+1.751013
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-6.26414
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+2.361014
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-12.00012
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+3.401212
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-5.0027
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+2.2277
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-3.0003
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.3833
Goals Over/UnderOver 1+0.2322
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1-1.0012
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-2.0002
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.5122
Both Teams ScoreYes+1.2335
Both Teams ScoreNo-1.8125

Panama

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-5.63414
Match WinnerDraw+5.06514
Match WinnerLose-6.16514
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-0.20912
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-2.01312
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-1.26912
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+2.15912
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-5.03514
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+3.44914
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-2.03410
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+0.90710
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-7.52212
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+1.941012
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-0.3313
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-0.2423
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+3.7524
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-1.5124
Goals Over/UnderOver 10.0011
Goals Over/UnderUnder 10.0011
Both Teams ScoreYes+2.4446
Both Teams ScoreNo-2.6926

Match statistics

5454%Possession %46%46
1568%Total shots32%7
556%Shots on target44%4
571%Shots off target29%2
778%Corners22%2
1042%Fouls58%14
117%Yellow cards83%5
00%Red cards0%0
49854%Passes46%417
44857%Accurate passes43%340
343%Saves57%4
1100%Offsides0%0

Key events

  • 38'
    Goal
    Panama
  • 44'
    A. CarrasquillaYellow card
    Panama
  • 45'
    J. Y. Vergara Ortega → T. RodríguezSubstitution
    Panama
  • 45'
    A. Minda → J. AnguloSubstitution
    Ecuador
  • 45'
    J. Mercado → N. AnguloSubstitution
    Ecuador
  • 45'
    J. Caicedo → J. YeboahSubstitution
    Ecuador
  • 45'
    J. Alcívar → P. ViteSubstitution
    Ecuador
  • 55'
    F. CaicedoYellow card
    Ecuador
  • 58'
    J. AnguloGoal
    Ecuador
  • 64'
    L. Realpe → W. PachoSubstitution
    Ecuador
  • 65'
    A. Preciado → J. HurtadoSubstitution
    Ecuador
  • 70'
    M. KrugYellow card
    Panama
  • 70'
    J. Sarmiento → K. ArroyoSubstitution
    Ecuador
  • 76'
    Cristian Jesús Martínez → A. HerbertSubstitution
    Panama
  • 76'
    J. Gutiérrez → O. ValenciaSubstitution
    Panama
  • 81'
    C. HarveyYellow card
    Panama
  • 86'
    J. Rodríguez → R. MosqueraSubstitution
    Panama
  • 87'
    A. Carrasquilla → D. MurilloSubstitution
    Panama
  • 89'
    C. BlackmanYellow card
    Panama
  • 90+5'
    V. GriffithYellow card
    Panama

EcuadorLast matches Ecuador

In the last 5 matches Ecuador have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 20% of those games.

20% W — 140% D — 240% L — 2
  • JapanJapan0:0EcuadorEcuador
    DKirin Cup · 01 Oct 2026
  • South KoreaSouth Korea3:0EcuadorEcuador
    LFriendlies · 24 Sept 2026
  • MexicoMexico2:0EcuadorEcuador
    LWorld Cup · 01 Jul 2026
  • EcuadorEcuador2:1GermanyGermany
    WWorld Cup · 25 Jun 2026
  • EcuadorEcuador0:0CuraçaoCuraçao
    DWorld Cup · 21 Jun 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
2
Goals / game
0.4
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
20%

PanamaLast matches Panama

Panama have not won in the last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 losses).

0% W — 040% D — 260% L — 3
  • PanamaPanama1:1New ZealandNew Zealand
    DFriendlies · 01 Oct 2026
  • IndiaIndia1:1PanamaPanama
    DFriendlies · 25 Sept 2026
  • PanamaPanama0:2EnglandEngland
    LWorld Cup · 27 Jun 2026
  • PanamaPanama0:1CroatiaCroatia
    LWorld Cup · 23 Jun 2026
  • GhanaGhana1:0PanamaPanama
    LWorld Cup · 17 Jun 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
3
Goals / game
0.4
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
0%
BTTS
40%

Ecuador vs Panama Standings

League table is not available for this competition snapshot yet.

Comparative team statistics

120%Wins0%0
240%Draws40%2
240%Losses60%3
2100%Goals scored100%2
6100%Goals conceded100%6
00%Points0%0

Season statistic Ecuador vs Panama

EcuadorEcuador

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 0
  • Lost home / away 0 / 2
  • Goals scored 2 (0.4)
  • Goals conceded 6 (1.2)
  • Clean sheets 2
  • Failed to score 4

PanamaPanama

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 0 / 0
  • Lost home / away 2 / 1
  • Goals scored 2 (0.4)
  • Goals conceded 6 (1.2)
  • Clean sheets 0
  • Failed to score 3

Match details

  • Status Finished

Lineups

EcuadorEcuador · 4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. G. Valle
  2. A. Preciado
  3. L. Realpe
  4. F. Torres
  5. F. Caicedo
  6. A. Valencia
  7. J. Alcívar
  8. J. Mercado
  9. J. Sarmiento
  10. A. Minda
  11. J. Caicedo

Bench

  1. J. Hurtado
  2. J. Angulo
  3. W. Pacho
  4. H. Galíndez
  5. A. Franco
  6. J. Porozo
  7. M. Ramírez
  8. P. Vite
  9. J. Yeboah
  10. D. Castillo
  11. K. Arroyo
  12. N. Angulo

PanamaPanama · 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. E. Roberts
  2. M. Krug
  3. C. Blackman
  4. C. Harvey
  5. A. Murillo
  6. Cristian Jesús Martínez
  7. V. Griffith
  8. J. Gutiérrez
  9. A. Carrasquilla
  10. J. Rodríguez
  11. J. Y. Vergara Ortega

Bench

  1. O. Mosquera
  2. O. Valencia
  3. T. Rodríguez
  4. J. Ramos
  5. D. Murillo
  6. R. Mosquera
  7. E. Anderson
  8. M. De Leon
  9. J. Fajardo
  10. A. Herbert
  11. M. Jimenez
  12. A. Londoño
  13. J. Jones
  14. J. Modelo

Injuries and suspensions

EcuadorEcuador

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

PanamaPanama

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

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