Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Group Stage - 2

Eritrea vs South Africa Prediction

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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 29 Sept 2026Updated: 30 Sept 2026, 18:00

Match preview

Eritrea host South Africa on 30 September 2026 at 19:00 in Africa Cup of Nations qualification. South Africa opened their campaign with a 2-1 win over Guinea, with both goals coming from defenders. Eritrea drew 1-1 away to Kenya in their opener, taking the lead before conceding late. These teams have never met in competitive play.

South Africa are established contenders for the tournament and qualified for the 2026 World Cup, reaching the knockout stage before losing to Canada. Eritrea have never appeared at a World Cup or Africa Cup of Nations and failed to progress past the first round of World Cup qualifying, losing 4-1 on aggregate to Namibia.

Form and H2H

Eritrea are unbeaten in their last three matches with two wins and one draw. South Africa have lost just one of their last four outings. In their last ten games, Eritrea average 1.18 goals for and 1.05 against at home. South Africa average 0.83 goals for and 1.06 against away from home.

Best Bet

Over 2.5 goals. Eritrea's recent form shows attacking intent despite their limited pedigree, while South Africa's defensive vulnerabilities—evident in their 2-1 win over Guinea—suggest they will concede chances. At 1xBet, the South Africa win sits at 1.25, making the over the more attractive angle for this fixture.

Odds to Watch

South Africa are heavy favorites across the board. Mostbet prices them at 1.27, while 1xBet and 22Bet both offer 1.25. The draw is available at 5.7 on 1xBet and 22Bet, or 4.9 on Mostbet. An Eritrea upset is priced at 9.6 on 1xBet and 22Bet, or 8 on Mostbet.

Eritrea vs South Africa Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
Melbet9.755.451.26Place a bet
1xBet9.755.451.26Place a bet
Mostbet9.65.11.25Place a bet
22Bet12.96.351.19Place a bet
Best odds12.906.351.26
Average10.505.591.24
Lowest odds9.605.101.19
Compare odds
1xBet

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1X2 prediction for Eritrea vs South Africa

Date and time 30 September 2026 at 17:00

1X221.2673%
O/UO 1.570%
DCX/286%
BTTSNo40%
1 14%X 13%2 73%

Total over 2,5

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Eritrea vs South Africa Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

EritreaEritreaLast matchesSouth AfricaSouth Africa
100%Over 0.5 goals100%
80%Over 1.5 goals60%
40%Over 2.5 goals20%
0%Over 3.5 goals0%
40%BTTS40%
40%Last 5 BTTS40%

Head to Head Eritrea — South Africa

In the last 1 meetings, South Africa hold the edge — 0 wins for Eritrea, 1 for South Africa, 0 draws.

0% W — 00% D — 0100% W — 1
  • EritreaEritrea0:5South AfricaSouth Africa
    Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · 30 Sept 2026
100%Over 0.5100%
100%Over 1.5100%
100%Over 2.5100%
0%BTTS0%
0%Eritrea over 0.5100%

Betting profits Eritrea vs South Africa

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Eritrea

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+3.1412
Match WinnerDraw+2.3712
Match WinnerLose-2.0002
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+0.7122
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-2.0002
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+0.5922
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-1.0012
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+0.1212
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-0.2812
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-1.0012
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+0.3622

South Africa

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+0.94614
Match WinnerDraw+0.21314
Match WinnerLose-2.27514
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5+0.4844
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5-4.0004
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-0.88914
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+3.02514
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+1.24913
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-0.69713
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+1.09614
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+0.29814
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-2.34211
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+0.41911
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-6.0006
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+2.7866
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-2.0002
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.3322
Both Teams ScoreYes+4.0057
Both Teams ScoreNo-3.6027

Match statistics

3636%Possession %64%64
1135%Total shots65%20
433%Shots on target67%8
643%Shots off target57%8
643%Corners57%8
1563%Fouls38%9
00%Yellow cards100%1
00%Red cards0%0
29531%Passes69%658
21927%Accurate passes73%592
450%Saves50%4
218%Offsides82%9

Key events

  • 12'
    Substitution B. Aubaas (→ B. Poggenpoel)
    South Africa
  • 19'
    Goal R. Mofokeng (O. Appollis)
    South Africa
  • 33'
    Yellow card O. Makhanya
    South Africa
  • 45+1'
    Goal R. Mofokeng (S. Kabini)
    South Africa
  • 45+2'
    Substitution Namrud Embaye (→ Esrom Yohannes)
    Eritrea
  • 52'
    Goal S. Sithole
    South Africa
  • 58'
    Substitution F. Gerezgiher (→ Y. Sebhatu)
    Eritrea
  • 58'
    Substitution Jonas Idris Ibrahim (→ I. Lundgren)
    Eritrea
  • 63'
    Goal I. Rayners (O. Appollis)
    South Africa
  • 74'
    Substitution O. Makhanya (→ L. Seema)
    South Africa
  • 74'
    Substitution O. Makhanya (→ L. Seema)
    South Africa
  • 74'
    Substitution T. Maseko (→ L. Singh)
    South Africa
  • 76'
    Substitution Ablelom Teklezgi (→ Yonael Yonas)
    Eritrea
  • 77'
    Substitution N. Girmai Netabay (→ Awed Issac Abeselom)
    Eritrea
  • 79'
    Substitution S. Sithole (→ T. Zwane)
    South Africa
  • 90+4'
    Goal L. Singh (O. Appollis)
    South Africa

EritreaLast matches Eritrea

In the last 5 matches Eritrea have 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 40% of those games.

40% W — 220% D — 140% L — 2
  • KenyaKenya1:1EritreaEritrea
    DAfrica Cup of Nations - Qualification · 26 Sept 2026
  • EswatiniEswatini1:2EritreaEritrea
    WAfrica Cup of Nations - Qualification · 31 Mar 2026
  • EritreaEritrea2:0EswatiniEswatini
    WAfrica Cup of Nations - Qualification · 25 Mar 2026
  • EritreaEritrea0:1NigerNiger
    LFriendlies · 28 May 2025
  • EritreaEritrea0:3EthiopiaEthiopia
    LAfrican Nations Championship - Qualification · 03 Nov 2024

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2
Goals / game
1.0
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
40%

South AfricaLast matches South Africa

In the last 5 matches South Africa have 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 40% of those games.

40% W — 220% D — 140% L — 2
  • South AfricaSouth Africa2:1GuineaGuinea
    WAfrica Cup of Nations - Qualification · 26 Sept 2026
  • South AfricaSouth Africa0:1CanadaCanada
    LWorld Cup · 28 Jun 2026
  • South AfricaSouth Africa1:0South KoreaSouth Korea
    WWorld Cup · 25 Jun 2026
  • CzechiaCzechia1:1South AfricaSouth Africa
    DWorld Cup · 18 Jun 2026
  • MexicoMexico2:0South AfricaSouth Africa
    LWorld Cup · 11 Jun 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2
Goals / game
0.8
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS
40%

Eritrea vs South Africa Standings

League table is not available for this competition snapshot yet.

Comparative team statistics

240%Wins40%2
120%Draws20%1
240%Losses40%2
5100%Goals scored80%4
6100%Goals conceded83%5
00%Points0%0

Season statistic Eritrea vs South Africa

EritreaEritrea

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 1
  • Lost home / away 2 / 0
  • Goals scored 5 (1.0)
  • Goals conceded 6 (1.2)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 2

South AfricaSouth Africa

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 2 / 0
  • Lost home / away 1 / 1
  • Goals scored 4 (0.8)
  • Goals conceded 5 (1.0)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 2

Match details

  • Status Finished

Lineups

EritreaEritrea · 5-4-1

Starting XI

  1. Yonathan Abel Sultan
  2. Hennos Asmelash
  3. Jozef Misignha
  4. Namrud Embaye
  5. Jonas Idris Ibrahim
  6. T. Tekie
  7. N. Girmai Netabay
  8. Ablelom Teklezgi
  9. F. Gerezgiher
  10. A. Sulieman
  11. Nahom Tadese Mekonen

Bench

  1. Esrom Yohannes
  2. A. Alemseged
  3. Malik Abdulrahman
  4. Yoel Kebreab
  5. Romel Abdu Mahmud
  6. Y. Yilma
  7. N. Gebrezgi
  8. Y. Sebhatu
  9. I. Lundgren
  10. Awed Issac Abeselom
  11. F. Ibrahim
  12. M. Beraky
  13. Yonael Yonas
  14. Joel Gerezgiher

South AfricaSouth Africa · 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. R. Williams
  2. B. Aubaas
  3. I. Okon
  4. O. Makhanya
  5. K. Sebelebele
  6. S. Sithole
  7. S. Kabini
  8. T. Maseko
  9. R. Mofokeng
  10. O. Appollis
  11. I. Rayners

Bench

  1. T. Matuludi
  2. C. Mailula
  3. T. Morena
  4. L. Seema
  5. K. Ndamane
  6. F. Basadien
  7. L. Singh
  8. B. Poggenpoel
  9. T. Zwane
  10. Y. Mbuthuma
  11. S. Chaine
  12. R. Goss

Injuries and suspensions

EritreaEritrea

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

South AfricaSouth Africa

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

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