Fulham vs Crystal Palace Prediction

Fulham host Crystal Palace on 28 October 2026 at 22:45 in the League Cup fourth round at Craven Cottage. Fulham are favored after back-to-back Premier League wins, 1-0 over Hull City and 1-0 over Coventry City, which lifted them out of the relegation zone. Crystal Palace arrive in poor form, winless across all competitions for four matches, following a 2-2 draw with Besiktas in the Europa League and a 0-2 home defeat to Newcastle in the league.

Form and H2H

Fulham have not lost in nine of their last ten home League Cup matches. In the previous round, they won 3-2 away at West Ham. Fulham's home record in the League Cup shows under 3.5 goals in all ten recent matches, a pattern that extends to their defensive discipline: they committed fewer than 10.5 fouls in nine of ten recent League Cup games, and opponents registered fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in all ten.

Crystal Palace won 3-0 at home against Middlesbrough in the previous round but have struggled on the road. Under 3.5 goals appeared in eight of their last ten away League Cup matches. In their last ten away League Cup games, they recorded fewer than 11.5 corners in nine matches and more than 20.5 fouls in eight.

Best Bet

Under 3.5 goals is the pick. Fulham do not manufacture high-scoring matches at home in the League Cup, and Crystal Palace's away pattern reinforces a low-goal outcome. Fulham average three goals and 2.78 xG per League Cup match without a track record of shootouts. Crystal Palace average three goals and 1.14 xG in the competition, with recent spikes appearing episodic rather than sustained. Eight of Crystal Palace's last ten matches across all competitions saw at least three goals, but that series does not guarantee a fourth goal here. With both teams staying within three goals more often than not in cup play, and Fulham's home record unbroken across ten League Cup matches, under 3.5 offers the most natural fit. Back under 3.5 at 1.50 with Mostbet.

Odds to Watch

Fulham are clear favorites. Home win trades at 1.78 with Mostbet, 1.87 with 1Win, 1.90 with Melbet, and 1.93 with 1xBet. A draw sits at 3.78 with Melbet and 1xBet, 3.82 with Mostbet, and 3.84 with 1Win. Crystal Palace win is priced at 3.76 with Mostbet, 3.78 with Melbet, 3.82 with 1xBet, and 3.96 with 1Win. Over 2.5 goals trades at 1.65 across the market, while under 2.5 sits at 2.20. Fulham's individual total over 1.5 is 1.77; Crystal Palace's individual total over 0.5 is 1.37.