Genoa vs Fiorentina Prediction

Genoa hosts Fiorentina on 10 October 2026 at 16:00 in Serie A's sixth round at the Luigi Ferraris stadium. Genoa has won zero matches this season. Under Daniele De Rossi, the team collected one point across five games, scoring three and conceding ten. Defeats to Napoli (0–2), Lazio (0–1), and Como (1–4) were followed by a 1–1 draw with Frosinone, then a 1–2 loss at Parma. De Rossi's squad is stretched thin: Lorenzo Colombo is unavailable, Mehtari and Venturino are out, and Havel has muscle issues. Genoa will line up 3–5–2 with Milutin Osmajic and Vitinha leading the attack.

Fiorentina started worse but has steadied. Paolo Vanoli's side lost 0–4 to Roma and 0–3 to Frosinone, then fell 1–2 at home to Torino. The last two rounds brought four points: a 4–2 win over Venezia and a 1–1 draw with Napoli. Fiorentina sits on five matches, one win, one draw, three losses, and a 6–12 goal difference. Franco Mastantuono has emerged as the creative engine, scoring a hat-trick against Venezia and starting against Napoli. Vanoli expects Nicolas Fagioli and Cher Ndour in midfield, with Mastantuono, Mateo Pellegrino, and Ayoub Nzié in attack. Only Cristiano Parisi and Riccardo Sottil are sidelined by injury.

Form and H2H

Genoa's last ten matches show two wins, one draw, and seven losses, averaging 0.90 goals for and 2.39 against. Fiorentina's record over the same span is four wins, three draws, three losses, with 1.70 goals for and 1.60 conceded. The head-to-head record strongly favors the visitors. Genoa has not beaten Fiorentina in their last 11 Serie A meetings: Fiorentina won five times and six ended level. Last season both teams drew 2–2 in Genoa and 0–0 in Florence.

Best bet

Fiorentina to win or draw (Asian Handicap 0) offers the safer angle. The bet wins on a Fiorentina victory and pushes on a draw, returning stakes. Fiorentina's form trajectory and Genoa's defensive fragility point to the visitors as the more reliable choice, despite Fiorentina's own inconsistency. At 1xBet, the draw is priced at 3.48 and the away win at 2.39, making the handicap play sensible given the historical edge and current imbalance.

Odds to watch

The 1xBet home win sits at 3.23, reflecting Genoa's dire run and injury toll. The draw at 3.48 has historical weight given six of the last eleven meetings ended level. Fiorentina's away win at 2.39 carries the strongest case based on form, squad depth, and the head-to-head record, though backing a clean sheet from either side looks risky given both teams' defensive struggles this season.