Georgia vs Hungary Prediction

Georgia hosts Hungary in UEFA Nations League on 14 November 2026 at 20:00. Hungary won their most recent head-to-head 1-0 on 2 October 2026. Georgia have won just one of their last ten matches across all competitions, while Hungary remain unbeaten in seven of their last ten. The visitors arrive as slight favourites after beating Ukraine 2-1 on 5 October, though Georgia held Northern Ireland 0-0 in their last outing.

Georgia will be without Khvicha Kvaratskhelia due to a cruciate ligament injury, and Giorgi Kochorashvili misses through suspension. Otari Kakabadze will wear the captain's armband. Hungary's squad remains largely intact, with Balazs Toth expected in goal and Willi Orban in defence.

Form and H2H

Georgia's attacking output has been sparse in Nations League. Over their last four matches in the competition, they average 0.81 goals for and 0.87 against. Their expected goals stand at 0.87 per game, with a combined total across four matches of just 0.5. In ten home Nations League matches, opponents have scored fewer than 1.5 goals. Georgia have also managed fewer than 5.5 shots on target across their last ten official matches.

Hungary score 0.75 goals per game on average but concede only 0.5, with a combined total of 1.25 across recent Nations League fixtures. Their expected goals tally of 2.53 over four Nations League matches suggests they are underperforming their chances, yet they remain the more clinical finisher. In their last ten official matches, Hungary have scored fewer than 2.5 goals.

Best bet

Under 2.5 goals. Georgia's attacking struggles and Hungary's defensive solidity point toward a low-scoring contest. Georgia average 0.81 goals for and have generated minimal expected goals. Hungary, despite their xG of 2.53 across four Nations League matches, have converted sparingly and concede just 0.5 per game. Both teams' recent output and underlying metrics align with a match that stays below the 2.5 line. Back Under 2.5 at 1xBet at 1.52.

Odds to watch

Hungary are priced at 2.43 for the win at 1xBet, reflecting their superior recent form and away record. Georgia sit at 3.28, while the draw is available at 3.18. Hungary's seven-match unbeaten run and Georgia's one win in ten matches justify the gap, though Georgia's home advantage keeps the odds competitive. The draw remains a viable option given both teams' defensive resilience.