Germany vs Greece Prediction

Germany host Greece on 27 September 2026 at 21:45 in UEFA Nations League League A, Group 2. Jürgen Klopp's side drew 1-1 away to the Netherlands in their opening fixture and are chasing a first win under the new manager. Greece sit top of the group after beating Serbia 2-1 away, coming from a goal down to snatch victory in stoppage time. Germany rank 12th in the FIFA standings; Greece are 46th after failing to qualify for the World Cup but earning promotion from League B by beating Scotland in the play-off.

Germany have won all four of their most recent head-to-head meetings with Greece. The teams last faced each other in a friendly in 2024, which Germany won 2-1. Across 10 total meetings, Greece have never beaten Germany.

Form and H2H

Germany won seven of their last ten matches at home, drawing two and losing one. They averaged 2.83 goals for and 1.15 against in that run. Away from home, Greece have won only two of their last ten, losing five times. They averaged 0.86 goals for and 1.42 against on the road.

Both teams have defensive vulnerabilities. Germany have conceded in each of their last six matches. Greece have conceded in each of their last three. Germany have scored in six of their last eight matches, and both teams have found the net in each of Germany's last six outings. Eight of Germany's last ten matches produced over 2.5 goals.

Best Bet

Germany -1 Asian Handicap. The hosts have the stronger squad, home advantage, and a dominant record in this fixture. After drawing with the Netherlands, Germany should control the game and create more chances against a Greek defence that has leaked goals in three straight matches. Back Germany at 1.39 with Melbet or 1.39 with Mostbet.

Odds to Watch

Germany's home form and Greece's away struggles make the home win the clear favourite. Melbet price it at 1.39, 1xBet at 1.43, and Mostbet at 1.39. A draw sits at 5.1 with Melbet and 5.25 with 1xBet. Greece's odds to win are 7 with Melbet and 1xBet, or 6.2 with Mostbet.