HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax Prediction

HNK Hajduk Split hosts Ajax in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 15 October 2026 at 19:45. The Croatian champions arrive fresh off a 2–1 victory over Dinamo Zagreb and have scored in nine of their last ten matches across all competitions. Ajax, managed by Michel, operate a more aggressive attacking system and have recorded over 3.5 goals in nine of their last ten outings. Both teams favour open football in European competition, creating conditions for a high-scoring encounter.

Form and H2H

Hajduk's home record in the Conference League shows defensive solidity: opponents have managed fewer than 4.5 shots on target in nine of the last ten matches at Poljud. The Split side have won seven of their last ten games overall, averaging 2.1 goals for and 0.9 against. Ajax's away form is equally imposing. They have not lost in nine of their last ten Conference League matches and average 3.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded across their last ten games. The Dutch side have posted over 2.5 in six consecutive Conference League fixtures.

Best Bet

Over 2.5 goals offers the clearest value. Hajduk score consistently at home and Ajax maintain relentless attacking pressure in European tournaments. The absence of key strikers Livaia and Dölberg creates some risk of tactical caution, but both squads' systemic commitment to attacking play should produce at least three goals. Back Over 2.5 with 1xBet at 1.52 for the away win, or pursue the total separately if available at sharper odds.

Odds to Watch

Ajax enter as clear favourites. The away win trades at 1.52 with 1xBet, reflecting roughly 63 per cent implied probability. A Hajduk Split victory sits at 6.11, while the draw is priced at 4.61. Ajax have won nine of their last ten Conference League matches and control possession effectively under Michel's system. The zero handicap heavily favours the visitors, signalling the market's confidence in a Dutch victory or comfortable margin.