Hortaleza vs Sevilla Prediction

Sporting Hortaleza hosts Sevilla on 29 October 2026 at 23:00 in the Copa del Rey. The Madrid regional-league club earned its place after eliminating Union Guimar with a 1-0 home win and 3-3 extra-time draw. Sevilla, currently sixth in La Liga, arrive as heavy favorites across five tiers of Spanish football. For Hortaleza, this represents one of the biggest fixtures in the club's season, though the hosts will need to exploit Sevilla's defensive vulnerabilities to have any chance of an upset.

Form and H2H

Sevilla sit three points behind fourth place in La Liga after a 2-0 win over Osasuna last time out. Their recent form is mixed: two wins, one draw, and three defeats across their last six matches. The Andalusians' defense is a genuine concern. In four of their previous five games, Sevilla conceded at least three goals. Their attacking output remains consistent, averaging 3.67 goals across the last six fixtures, with four of five matches finishing over 2.5 goals. Defender Marcao and forward M. Sierra are unavailable for the visitors. Hortaleza showed character in their cup run but also exposed defensive frailties, conceding three goals in the away leg against Union Guimar despite winning the tie.

Best Bet

Over 4.5 goals offers value given Sevilla's recent scoring pattern and Hortaleza's defensive record. The visitors have produced multiple high-scoring displays, and the hosts' willingness to attack at home could create space for the La Liga side to exploit. Sevilla's attacking quality should eventually break through, and Hortaleza's ability to score in their cup run suggests both teams will find the net. Back Over 4.5 at 1Win.

Odds to Watch

Sevilla are priced at 1.01 for the away win on 1Win, reflecting their status as overwhelming favorites. The home win sits at 56.3, while the draw is available at 15.5. Given Hortaleza's regional-league standing and Sevilla's superior quality despite recent defensive lapses, the visitors' odds offer minimal value for a match where the outcome appears settled. The focus should remain on goals rather than the result.