K League 1 · Regular Season - 31

Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers Prediction

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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 09 Oct 2026Updated: 09 Oct 2026, 11:15

Match preview

Incheon United hosts Pohang Steelers on 9 October 2026 at 10:30 in a K League 1 clash between the season's runaway leaders and a side hunting for points. Incheon secured promotion this season and sit top of the 14-club table, yet their recent form has cracked. In their last six matches, Incheon won once (2–1 over Bucheon), lost twice (1–2 to Ulsan Hyundai, 0–1 to FC Seoul), and drew twice (1–1 with Daejeon Citizen, 0–0 with Gangwon). That run shows five goals scored and six conceded, exposing defensive fragility beneath the league-leading position. Pohang arrive as the pick to avoid defeat in this fixture.

Form and H2H

Incheon's last ten matches yield two wins, five draws, and three losses, averaging 1.10 goals for and 1.20 against. Pohang's away record over the same span reads four wins, three draws, and three losses, with 1.20 goals for and 1.40 against. Head-to-head history tilts toward Pohang. The clubs have met six times since 2016: Pohang won three (5–0 in October 2017, 1–0 in September 2018, 2–1 in August 2018), Incheon won two (1–0 in September 2016, 3–2 in October 2016), and they drew once (0–0 in May 2018). Pohang's superior record at this venue and recent defensive solidity make them the safer proposition.

Best Bet

Pohang Steelers not to lose. At 1xBet, the draw sits at 3.06 and Pohang's away win at 3.06. At 1Win, Pohang's win trades at 2.78 and the draw at 3.04. At 22Bet, the draw is 3.02 and Pohang's win 2.88. Given Incheon's recent slip in form—one win in six—and Pohang's head-to-head edge, backing the visitors to either win or draw offers value across all three partners.

Odds to Watch

Incheon's home win at 1xBet is 2.4, at 1Win 2.68, and at 22Bet 2.52. The hosts remain favorites on paper, but their defensive leaks and Pohang's proven record in this matchup suggest the odds undervalue the visitors. Under 1.5 goals has returned profit for Incheon at home historically, reflecting their low-scoring pattern, though recent volatility makes that market less reliable than a Pohang no-loss play.

Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers Odds

Pre-match odds appear closer to kick-off when bookmakers open the market.

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1X2 prediction for Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers

Date and time 9 October 2026 at 08:30

1X22
BTTSYes60%

Competitive fixture

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Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

Incheon UnitedIncheon UnitedLast matchesPohang SteelersPohang Steelers
80%Over 0.5 goals80%
60%Over 1.5 goals80%
40%Over 2.5 goals60%
0%Over 3.5 goals40%
60%BTTS60%
60%Last 5 BTTS60%

Head to Head Incheon United — Pohang Steelers

In the last 8 meetings, Pohang Steelers hold the edge — 1 wins for Incheon United, 4 for Pohang Steelers, 3 draws.

13% W — 138% D — 350% W — 4
  • Incheon UnitedIncheon United3:0Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers
    K League 1 · 09 Oct 2026
  • Incheon UnitedIncheon United0:1Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers
    K League 1 · 12 May 2026
  • Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers1:1Incheon UnitedIncheon United
    K League 1 · 15 Mar 2026
  • Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers1:0Incheon UnitedIncheon United
    K League 1 · 27 Sept 2024
  • Incheon UnitedIncheon United1:3Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers
    K League 1 · 23 Jun 2024
  • Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers0:0Incheon UnitedIncheon United
    K League 1 · 28 Apr 2024
  • Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers1:1Incheon UnitedIncheon United
    K League 1 · 20 Oct 2023
  • Incheon UnitedIncheon United0:2Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers
    K League 1 · 02 Sept 2023
88%Over 0.588%
63%Over 1.563%
25%Over 2.525%
38%BTTS38%
50%Incheon United over 0.575%

Betting profits Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Incheon United

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-4.25415
Match WinnerDraw+4.63615
Match WinnerLose+2.61515
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-1.53914
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+1.17514
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-2.83915
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+3.721015
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-3.96515
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+2.371015
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-10.04115
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+2.821415
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5-0.6934
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5+3.6514
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-4.0004
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.4744
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-3.0014
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+1.6444

Pohang Steelers

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-3.57415
Match WinnerDraw-4.77315
Match WinnerLose+5.15815
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5-1.5846
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5+9.1326
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+1.221114
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-5.37314
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+2.701215
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-5.61615
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+4.54915
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-4.86615
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-2.01415
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-1.441115
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+2.7934
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-2.5414
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-3.0003
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.4133

Match statistics

5252%Possession %48%48
956%Total shots44%7
675%Shots on target25%2
338%Shots off target63%5
215%Corners85%11
542%Fouls58%7
00%Yellow cards100%2
00%Red cards0%0
00%Offsides0%0

Key events

  • 17'
    Goal Lee Min-Hyeok
    Incheon United
  • 40'
    Goal Lee Chung-Yong (Lee Min-Hyeok)
    Incheon United
  • 42'
    Yellow card Jorge Luiz
    Pohang Steelers
  • 45'
    Substitution Shin Kwang-Hoon (→ J. Tranziska)
    Pohang Steelers
  • 45+2'Incheon United
  • 63'
    Substitution Kim Seong-Min (→ Lee Dong-Ryul)
    Incheon United
  • 65'
    Yellow card Park Chan-Yong
    Pohang Steelers
  • 65'
    Substitution Ki Sung-Yueng (→ Jung Han-Min)
    Pohang Steelers
  • 65'
    Substitution K. Nishiya (→ Kim Seung-Ho)
    Pohang Steelers
  • 71'
    Substitution S. Mugoša (→ M. Ferrier)
    Incheon United
  • 71'
    Substitution Leandro Ribeiro (→ Park Seung-Ho)
    Incheon United
  • 77'
    Substitution Jorge Luiz (→ An Jae-Jun)
    Pohang Steelers
  • 81'
    Substitution Lee Myung-Joo (→ Seo Jae-Min)
    Incheon United
  • 81'
    Substitution Lee Chung-Yong (→ Park Seung-Ho)
    Incheon United
  • 83'
    Substitution Eo Jeong-Won (→ Kang Min-Jun)
    Pohang Steelers

Incheon UnitedLast matches Incheon United

In the last 5 matches Incheon United have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 60% of those games.

20% W — 140% D — 240% L — 2
  • Gangwon FCGangwon FC0:0Incheon UnitedIncheon United
    DK League 1 · 27 Sept 2026
  • Incheon UnitedIncheon United1:1Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen
    DK League 1 · 20 Sept 2026
  • Ulsan Hyundai FCUlsan Hyundai FC2:1Incheon UnitedIncheon United
    LK League 1 · 12 Sept 2026
  • Incheon UnitedIncheon United2:1Bucheon FC 1995Bucheon FC 1995
    WK League 1 · 08 Sept 2026
  • FC SeoulFC Seoul1:0Incheon UnitedIncheon United
    LK League 1 · 05 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
2
Goals / game
0.8
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
60%

Pohang SteelersLast matches Pohang Steelers

In the last 5 matches Pohang Steelers have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 60% of those games.

20% W — 140% D — 240% L — 2
  • Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers2:1FC SeoulFC Seoul
    WK League 1 · 20 Sept 2026
  • Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan3:1Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers
    LAFC Champions League Elite · 15 Sept 2026
  • Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen2:2Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers
    DK League 1 · 12 Sept 2026
  • Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers0:0Gimcheon Sangmu FCGimcheon Sangmu FC
    DK League 1 · 09 Sept 2026
  • Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors2:0Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers
    LK League 1 · 05 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
2
Goals / game
1.0
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
60%

Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1FC SeoulFC Seoul30195656-253162
2Ulsan Hyundai FCUlsan Hyundai FC301451145-40547
3Jeju United FCJeju United FC301210835-29646
4Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors311111939-30944
5Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen3111101048-381043
6Gangwon FCGangwon FC301013736-28843
7Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers301171228-34-640
8Incheon UnitedIncheon United301091136-33339
9FC AnyangFC Anyang309111038-47-938
10Gimcheon Sangmu FCGimcheon Sangmu FC30518730-36-633
11Bucheon FC 1995Bucheon FC 1995307111231-40-932
12Gwangju FCGwangju FC301121721-63-4215
League position 8 / 12Comparative team statisticsLeague position 7 / 12
1033%Wins37%11
930%Draws23%7
1137%Losses40%12
36100%Goals scored78%28
3397%Goals conceded100%34
3998%Points100%40

Season statistic Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers

Incheon UnitedIncheon United

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 0
  • Lost home / away 0 / 2
  • Goals scored 4 (0.8)
  • Goals conceded 5 (1.0)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 2

Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 0
  • Lost home / away 0 / 2
  • Goals scored 5 (1.0)
  • Goals conceded 8 (1.6)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 2

Match details

  • Status Finished
  • Venue Sungui Arena Park, Incheon
  • Referee Ko Hyung-jin

Lineups

Incheon UnitedIncheon United · 4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. Kim Geon-Hui
  2. Lee Min-Hyeok
  3. Lee Chung-Yong
  4. Lee Ju-Yong
  5. Kim Dong-Heon
  6. S. Mugoša
  7. Juan Fernández
  8. Leandro Ribeiro
  9. Lee Myung-Joo
  10. Kim Myung-Sun
  11. Kim Seong-Min

Bench

  1. Park Seung-Ho
  2. Choi Seung-Gu
  3. Park Kyung-Sub
  4. M. Ferrier
  5. Lee Sang-Gi
  6. Lee Dong-Ryul
  7. Lee Tae-Hui
  8. Gerso
  9. Seo Jae-Min

Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers · 5-3-2

Starting XI

  1. Ki Sung-Yueng
  2. Wanderson
  3. Jeon Min-Gwang
  4. Shin Kwang-Hoon
  5. Juninho Rocha
  6. Park Chan-Yong
  7. Hwang In-Jae
  8. Jorge Luiz
  9. Eo Jeong-Won
  10. K. Nishiya
  11. Kim Dong-Jin

Bench

  1. Ye-Sung Kim
  2. Jung Han-Min
  3. An Jae-Jun
  4. Kim Seung-Ho
  5. J. Tranziska
  6. Hong Seong-Min
  7. Lee Chang-Woo
  8. Kang Min-Jun
  9. Jin Si-woo

Injuries and suspensions

Incheon UnitedIncheon United

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

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