J1 League · Regular Season - 10

Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki Prediction

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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 16 Oct 2026Updated: 17 Oct 2026, 08:08

Match preview

Kashima hosts V-varen Nagasaki on 17 October 2026 at 09:00 in the J1 League. Kashima sits second in the table and has won six of their last ten matches, averaging 2.30 goals for and 1.26 against. V-varen Nagasaki's away record over the same span shows three wins, four draws, and three losses, with 1.19 goals scored and 1.52 conceded per game. Kashima's recent form includes a 1–0 win over Kong An Hanoi, a 2–0 victory against Gamba Osaka, and a 3–1 result over Ventforet Kofu. The home side has won four consecutive matches and drawn once in their last five outings.

Form and H2H

Kashima's last ten home games produced six wins, one draw, and three losses. V-varen Nagasaki's away record stands at three wins, four draws, and three losses over the same period. The head-to-head record between these sides favours Kashima heavily. In their five meetings since 2018, Kashima has won all five: 2–1 in May 2018, 2–1 in August 2018, 3–2 in December 2019, 3–1 in August 2021, and most recently 2–1 in July 2025. V-varen Nagasaki has never beaten Kashima in this fixture.

Best bet

Kashima's dominance at home, combined with their perfect record against V-varen Nagasaki and current form, makes a home win the logical pick. Kashima to win is available at 1.53 on 1xBet and 1.5 on 1Win.

Odds to watch

The draw is priced at 4.41 on 1xBet and 4.28 on 1Win. An away win for V-varen Nagasaki sits at 6.0 on 1xBet and 5.9 on 1Win. Kashima's attacking output in recent weeks suggests backing Over 1.5 goals may carry value, though individual market pricing is not available.

Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
1xBet1.534.416Place a bet
Best odds1.534.416.00
Average1.534.416.00
Lowest odds1.534.416.00
Compare odds
1xBet

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1X2 prediction for Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki

Date and time 17 October 2026 at 07:00

1X226
BTTSYes60%

Competitive fixture

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Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

KashimaKashimaLast matchesV-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki
100%Over 0.5 goals100%
80%Over 1.5 goals100%
60%Over 2.5 goals0%
60%Over 3.5 goals0%
60%BTTS60%
60%Last 5 BTTS60%

Head to Head Kashima — V-varen Nagasaki

In the last 5 meetings, Kashima hold the edge — 5 wins for Kashima, 0 for V-varen Nagasaki, 0 draws.

100% W — 50% D — 00% W — 0
  • KashimaKashima2:1V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki
    Emperor Cup · 16 Jul 2025
  • KashimaKashima3:1V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki
    Emperor Cup · 18 Aug 2021
  • KashimaKashima3:2V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki
    Emperor Cup · 21 Dec 2019
  • V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1:2KashimaKashima
    J1 League · 15 Aug 2018
  • KashimaKashima2:1V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki
    J1 League · 02 May 2018
100%Over 0.5100%
100%Over 1.5100%
100%Over 2.5100%
100%BTTS100%
100%Kashima over 0.5100%

Betting profits Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Kashima

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+2.93913
Match WinnerDraw-9.25113
Match WinnerLose-1.19313
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+1.401113
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-3.66213
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+2.1478
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-2.8938
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+2.57813
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-2.59513
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+6.23613
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-3.41713
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+4.07310
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-1.90710
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+1.1569
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-1.4759
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5+0.1111
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderOver 4+1.4911
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-1.0001

V-varen Nagasaki

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-3.85414
Match WinnerDraw-0.11414
Match WinnerLose+2.75614
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-1.29714
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+0.05714
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-0.92613
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-0.99813
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-0.03514
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-1.70914
Goals Over/UnderOver 4+1.9622
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-1.0012
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+1.60910
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-6.61110
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+0.38810
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-1.46510
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-3.6119
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.0789

Match statistics

4949%Possession %51%51
1.3051%Expected goals49%1.27
524%Total shots76%16
343%Shots on target57%4
110%Shots off target90%9
225%Corners75%6
1341%Fouls59%19
00%Yellow cards100%3
00%Red cards0%0
47449%Passes51%489
40549%Accurate passes51%421
360%Saves40%2
267%Offsides33%1

Key events

  • 2'
    Penalty Léo Ceará
    Kashima
  • 5'Kashima
  • 23'
    Yellow card T. Matsumoto
    V-varen Nagasaki
  • 43'
    Yellow card Jonathan
    V-varen Nagasaki
  • 45'
    Substitution S. Omori (→ R. Ogawa)
    Kashima
  • 54'
    Substitution T. Matsumoto (→ K. Yasuda)
    V-varen Nagasaki
  • 55'
    Substitution Élber (→ Y. Matsumura)
    Kashima
  • 67'
    Substitution I. Arai (→ R. Shindo)
    V-varen Nagasaki
  • 67'
    Substitution Jonathan (→ R. Yamasaki)
    V-varen Nagasaki
  • 72'
    Substitution G. Shibasaki (→ K. Misao)
    Kashima
  • 72'
    Substitution A. Čavrić (→ Y. Suzuki)
    Kashima
  • 82'
    Yellow card K. Yasuda
    V-varen Nagasaki
  • 85'
    Substitution Léo Ceará (→ H. Tokuda)
    Kashima
  • 85'
    Substitution A. Masuyama (→ H. Onaga)
    V-varen Nagasaki
  • 85'
    Substitution H. Yamaguchi (→ T. Sawada)
    V-varen Nagasaki

KashimaLast matches Kashima

Kashima are in a strong run: 4 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 3.2 goals per game.

80% W — 420% D — 10% L — 0
  • Công An Nhân DânCông An Nhân Dân0:1KashimaKashima
    WAFC Champions League Elite · 13 Oct 2026
  • KashimaKashima2:0Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka
    WJ1 League · 09 Oct 2026
  • KashimaKashima3:1Ventforet KofuVentforet Kofu
    WEmperor Cup · 23 Sept 2026
  • Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale3:3KashimaKashima
    DJ1 League · 19 Sept 2026
  • KashimaKashima7:1Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets
    WAFC Champions League Elite · 15 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
4
Draws
1
Losses
0
Goals / game
3.2
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
60%

V-varen NagasakiLast matches V-varen Nagasaki

In the last 5 matches V-varen Nagasaki have 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses. BTTS landed in 60% of those games.

20% W — 160% D — 320% L — 1
  • JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1:1V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki
    DJ1 League · 11 Oct 2026
  • Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1:1V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki
    DEmperor Cup · 07 Oct 2026
  • Gainare TottoriGainare Tottori2:0V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki
    LJ-League Cup · 29 Sept 2026
  • V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1:1Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka
    DJ1 League · 19 Sept 2026
  • V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki2:0Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
    WJ1 League · 12 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
1
Goals / game
1.0
Over 1.5
100%
Over 2.5
0%
BTTS
60%

Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol970221-14721
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima962122-61620
3Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia962122-101220
4FC TokyoFC Tokyo962117-8920
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe961214-9519
6KashimaKashima951319-16316
7Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos943213-9415
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale934217-14313
9Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama941412-12013
10Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse94148-9-113
11UrawaUrawa940516-21-512
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka93337-12-512
13Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock923412-13-19
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki923411-16-59
15Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus93069-15-69
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga922511-16-58
17Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka921611-13-27
18Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka91358-16-86
19JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba91268-19-115
20Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy90454-14-104
League position 6 / 20Comparative team statisticsLeague position 14 / 20
556%Wins22%2
111%Draws33%3
333%Losses44%4
19100%Goals scored58%11
16100%Goals conceded100%16
16100%Points56%9

Season statistic Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki

KashimaKashima

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 3 / 1
  • Lost home / away 0 / 0
  • Goals scored 16 (3.2)
  • Goals conceded 5 (1.0)
  • Clean sheets 2
  • Failed to score 0

V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 0
  • Lost home / away 0 / 1
  • Goals scored 5 (1.0)
  • Goals conceded 5 (1.0)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 1

Match details

  • Status Finished
  • Venue Mercari Stadium, Kashima
  • Referee Hiroki Kasahara

Lineups

V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki · 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. M. Goto
  2. T. Ominami
  3. I. Arai
  4. K. Doi
  5. A. Masuyama
  6. H. Yamaguchi
  7. M. Hasegawa
  8. S. Yoneda
  9. Matheus Jesus
  10. T. Matsumoto
  11. Jonathan

Bench

  1. G. Hatano
  2. Y. Iwasaki
  3. H. Onaga
  4. T. Sawada
  5. R. Shindo
  6. R. Yamada
  7. R. Yamasaki
  8. Diego Pituca
  9. K. Yasuda

Injuries and suspensions

Kashima

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

V-varen Nagasaki

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

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