Kisvarda FC vs Paks Prediction

Kisvarda FC hosts Paks on 19 September 2026 at 18:00 in the NB I. Kisvarda arrives with steadier recent form: four wins, three draws, and three losses in their last ten matches, averaging 1.91 goals for and 0.99 against. Paks show a more volatile record of three wins, three draws, and four losses over the same span, scoring 1.99 goals per game but conceding 2.20. The home side has won their last two matches, including a 9–0 victory over Nadykozar KSE, though that result masks a more conservative pattern elsewhere. Paks have won their last two as well but continue to leak goals consistently, conceding at least one in each of their last three away matches.

Kisvarda's recent home form tells a different story than their overall record. In their last two home games, they drew 1–1 and 0–0, suggesting their domestic setup favors low-scoring contests. Against MTK, they managed eight shots with four on target and created one clear chance while facing more attacking pressure from their opponent. Paks, by contrast, generate more volume: they registered 15 shots against Ujpest and 17 against Puskas Academy, with six and five shots on target respectively. Yet that attacking intent has not translated to away success. In three recent away matches, Paks scored five goals and conceded five, indicating their defense remains vulnerable on the road.

Form and H2H

Head-to-head records between these sides show four Paks wins and one Kisvarda victory across their last five meetings. Kisvarda won the most recent fixture 2–1. In 19 of their last 23 encounters, Paks have scored at least one goal, yet three of the five most recent matches finished with three goals or fewer. Kisvarda's last ten matches produced under 3.5 goals in 14 instances. Their home matches are particularly restrained: in ten home games, Kisvarda scored one goal or fewer in eight of them. Paks average 3.8 goals per game across their sample, while Kisvarda average 2.8, but the home side's defensive discipline and attacking caution at their ground compress the likely total.

Kisvarda's profit trend on the home win stands at +0.54, while their under 1.5 goals trend shows +0.77. Paks' away record shows a profit of +0.96 on draws and +3.21 on over 2.5 goals, yet their under 2.5 trend is deeply negative at –7.07, suggesting their away matches do tend toward higher totals when they occur. The tension between Paks' attacking profile and Kisvarda's home caution creates an asymmetry: Paks create chances but Kisvarda restrict space and limit their own attacking output at home.

Best Bet

Under 3.5 goals is the primary selection. Kisvarda have played under 3.5 in 14 of their last 15 matches. Their home environment produces 1–1, 0–0, and 1–2 scorelines as the norm. Paks' away form, despite their shot volume, has not produced a consistent pattern of high-scoring results. Three of the five most recent head-to-head meetings finished under 3.5. The combination of Kisvarda's home restraint, their 14-in-15 trend, and Paks' tendency to concede without necessarily triggering goal-heavy contests away from home makes this market the most justified selection.

Odds to Watch

No partner bookmaker prices have been provided for this fixture. Bettors should monitor the 1X2 market across Melbet, 1xBet, 1Win, Mostbet, and 22Bet as odds become available. The under 3.5 total is the focal point, though corner markets may also offer value given Paks' attacking volume. Kisvarda's home draw has historical support in the head-to-head record and recent form, making that outcome worth tracking as odds settle.