Krylia Sovetov vs Fakel Prediction

Krylia Sovetov host Fakel on 17 October 2026 at 14:00 in the Russian Premier League's 11th round. Krylia sit tenth with 12 points; Fakel are bottom with three points from ten matches and no wins. The home side average 1.6 goals per game at their stadium over their last ten matches but concede 1.0. Fakel average 0.8 goals away and concede 1.5 per match across the same span. Head-to-head records show Krylia have won three of the last six meetings, with two draws and one Fakel win.

Form and H2H

Krylia lost 0–2 to Baltika in a cup tie but show consistency at home: in their last five league games at their stadium, they scored in all five matches despite never exceeding two goals in a single game. They average 3.2 goals per game across their last five home fixtures and take 10.2 shots on target per match on average—the second-highest in the league. In five home league matches this season, they conceded fewer than 3.5 goals in the first half.

Fakel beat Krasnodar 2–0 in the Russian Cup but have not won any of their last ten away league matches. Their expected goals figure stands at 1.01 away from home, third-lowest in the league. In ten of their last ten away games, they managed fewer than 4.5 shots on target. They scored fewer than 1.5 goals in nine of their last ten away league matches.

Best bet

Both teams to score — No. Krylia average 1.2 goals at home, one of the league's lowest attacking outputs on their own ground. Fakel score just 0.6 goals per match, the worst in the division. Fakel's recent 0–5 loss to Lokomotiv underscores their creative drought in the final third. Krylia's defence is leaky—they concede 2.0 goals per match at home on average—but Fakel's attacking impotence minimises that threat. Back Both teams to score — No at 1xBet 1.75 or 1Win 1.75.

Odds to watch

Krylia are favourites. A home win trades at 1xBet 2.11 or 1Win 2.02, compared to a draw at 1xBet 3.48 or 1Win 3.5, and a Fakel win at 1xBet 3.92 or 1Win 3.75. Under 2.5 goals is the likeliest total outcome given both sides' poor attacking records. Krylia's individual total over 0.5 sits at 1.23, reflecting their home reliability; Fakel's over 0.5 is 1.58, a steeper ask given their away form.