Las Palmas vs Burgos Prediction

Las Palmas host Burgos in Segunda División on 20 September 2026 at 19:30. The prediction is Las Palmas 2–1 Burgos. Las Palmas have won five of their last ten matches at home, averaging 1.40 goals for and 1.30 against. Burgos arrive with four wins in ten away games, scoring 1.20 and conceding 1.00 per outing. The head-to-head record since 2021 shows five meetings with three draws and two Burgos victories, all scorelines tight: 0–0, 0–2, 0–2, 0–0, 0–0, and 0–0 most recently in February 2026.

Form and H2H

Las Palmas' home record tilts toward wins, with a profit trend of 3.67 on the Match Winner market. Burgos have leaned toward draws away from home, posting a 3.69 profit trend on the draw. The last six meetings between these sides have produced only four goals combined, with Burgos shutting out Las Palmas twice at the Estadio de Gran Canaria. Burgos' defensive discipline on the road—conceding just 1.00 per game—suggests they will not roll over, but Las Palmas' home advantage and recent form give them the edge.

Best Bet

Back Las Palmas to win 2–1. The scoreline reflects Las Palmas' attacking output at home and Burgos' ability to score on the counter, a pattern evident in their February 2026 draw. Over 1.5 goals sits at 1.36 across the market, and Over 2.5 goals at 2.15, both reasonable given the prediction lands at three total goals. Both Teams to Score carries 1.91 odds and aligns with Burgos' recent away form of finding the net despite defensive solidity.

Odds to Watch

The correct score 2–1 for Las Palmas is the sharpest play if available at competitive odds. Taisei Miyashiro as anytime goalscorer offers 2.30, a useful single if he starts. The European Handicap Burgos +2 at 1.25 is a low-odds safety net for those seeking insurance on a Las Palmas win. Draw No Bet on Las Palmas to Win sits at 1.44 and removes the push risk if the match ends level, fitting given the H2H tendency toward stalemates.