Serie A · Regular Season - 6

Lecce vs Bologna Prediction

- : -11 October 2026 at 16:00Italy
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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 09 Oct 2026Updated: 09 Oct 2026, 21:37

Match preview

Lecce host Bologna at Stadio Via del Mare on 11 October 2026 at 16:00 in Serie A round six. The Salentini are hunting their third win of the season after a 3-0 defeat to AC Milan, but injuries to Berisha, Geubbels and Tiago Gabriel have weakened their squad. Paco Esteban is pushing for a start. Bologna drew 1-1 with Torino before the international break and arrive without Artem Dovbyk, who remains in recovery.

Form and Head to Head

Lecce have won four of their last ten matches at home but average just 1.30 goals per game and have failed to score in half of those ten outings. Bologna's away record is dire: three losses from three on the road with zero goals across all three matches. The visitors average 0.91 expected goals per away fixture, exposing a chronic shortage of chances. In six previous meetings between these sides, the scoreline has ranged from 0-0 to 3-2, with Bologna winning three and Lecce winning one.

Best Bet

Lecce 1 - 1 Bologna. Lecce's inability to score at home collides with Bologna's complete impotence on the road. The visitors have not found the net in any of their three away games this season, while Lecce have misfired in half their home matches. A draw suits both teams' current trajectory. At 1xBet, the draw pays 3.44.

Odds to Watch

Lecce's home win sits at 4.58 with 1xBet, reflecting their inconsistency and injury troubles. Bologna's away win is priced at 1.98, a short price for a team that has not scored on the road all season. The draw at 3.44 offers value given Bologna's defensive solidity away from home and Lecce's habit of drawing matches when they cannot win them.

Lecce vs Bologna Odds

Pre-match odds appear closer to kick-off when bookmakers open the market.

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1X2 prediction for Lecce vs Bologna

Date and time 11 October 2026 at 16:00

1X22
BTTSNo30%

Competitive fixture

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Lecce vs Bologna Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

LecceLecceLast matchesBolognaBologna
100%Over 0.5 goals100%
80%Over 1.5 goals40%
60%Over 2.5 goals20%
40%Over 3.5 goals20%
20%BTTS40%
20%Last 5 BTTS40%

Head to Head Lecce — Bologna

In the last 8 meetings, Bologna hold the edge — 0 wins for Lecce, 5 for Bologna, 3 draws.

0% W — 038% D — 363% W — 5
  • BolognaBologna2:0LecceLecce
    Serie A · 12 Apr 2026
  • LecceLecce2:2BolognaBologna
    Serie A · 28 Sept 2025
  • LecceLecce0:0BolognaBologna
    Serie A · 09 Feb 2025
  • BolognaBologna1:0LecceLecce
    Serie A · 02 Nov 2024
  • BolognaBologna4:0LecceLecce
    Serie A · 11 Feb 2024
  • LecceLecce1:1BolognaBologna
    Serie A · 03 Dec 2023
  • LecceLecce2:3BolognaBologna
    Serie A · 04 Jun 2023
  • BolognaBologna2:0LecceLecce
    Serie A · 23 Oct 2022
88%Over 0.588%
75%Over 1.575%
38%Over 2.538%
38%BTTS38%
38%Lecce over 0.588%

Betting profits Lecce vs Bologna

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Lecce

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+3.62612
Match WinnerDraw-8.78112
Match WinnerLose-3.45512
Goals Over/UnderOver 1+0.1733
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1-1.0023
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-0.6869
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+0.5239
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-0.58812
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+0.07612
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+0.61612
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-1.33612
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+1.75612
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-1.54812
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+3.0037
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-1.4447
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.1111
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.2811

Bologna

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-0.94313
Match WinnerDraw+4.50513
Match WinnerLose-0.81513
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-3.0137
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+6.9947
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-3.44510
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+5.41610
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-4.82412
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+4.16812
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-3.57413
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+2.93913
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+0.81411
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-0.15711
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-0.0914
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.2634
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.4011

Match statistics

In-play and full-time match stats appear after kick-off.

LecceLast matches Lecce

In the last 5 matches Lecce have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses. BTTS landed in 20% of those games.

40% W — 20% D — 060% L — 3
  • AC MilanAC Milan3:0LecceLecce
    LSerie A · 20 Sept 2026
  • LecceLecce3:2MonzaMonza
    WSerie A · 13 Sept 2026
  • CagliariCagliari1:0LecceLecce
    LSerie A · 07 Sept 2026
  • LecceLecce0:4AS RomaAS Roma
    LSerie A · 31 Aug 2026
  • VeneziaVenezia0:2LecceLecce
    WSerie A · 23 Aug 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
3
Goals / game
1.0
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
20%

BolognaLast matches Bologna

Bologna have not won in the last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 losses).

0% W — 040% D — 260% L — 3
  • BolognaBologna1:1TorinoTorino
    DSerie A · 19 Sept 2026
  • NapoliNapoli1:0BolognaBologna
    LSerie A · 13 Sept 2026
  • BolognaBologna2:2SassuoloSassuolo
    DSerie A · 06 Sept 2026
  • AtalantaAtalanta1:0BolognaBologna
    LSerie A · 31 Aug 2026
  • BolognaBologna0:1LazioLazio
    LSerie A · 24 Aug 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
3
Goals / game
0.6
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS
40%

Lecce vs Bologna Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1AS RomaAS Roma541014-31113
2InterInter541015-8713
3LazioLazio54108-3513
4CagliariCagliari54015-2312
5AC MilanAC Milan532010-4611
6FrosinoneFrosinone53119-4510
7JuventusJuventus53118-4410
8ComoComo53119-6310
9NapoliNapoli52127-617
10SassuoloSassuolo52129-907
11AtalantaAtalanta52035-7-26
12LecceLecce52035-10-56
13UdineseUdinese51138-11-34
14TorinoTorino51135-8-34
15ParmaParma51134-7-34
16MonzaMonza51138-12-44
17FiorentinaFiorentina51136-12-64
18BolognaBologna50233-6-32
19GenoaGenoa50143-10-71
20VeneziaVenezia50054-13-90
League position 12 / 20Comparative team statisticsLeague position 18 / 20
240%Wins0%0
00%Draws40%2
360%Losses60%3
5100%Goals scored60%3
10100%Goals conceded60%6
6100%Points33%2

Season statistic Lecce vs Bologna

LecceLecce

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 1
  • Lost home / away 1 / 2
  • Goals scored 5 (1.0)
  • Goals conceded 10 (2.0)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 3

BolognaBologna

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 0 / 0
  • Lost home / away 1 / 2
  • Goals scored 3 (0.6)
  • Goals conceded 6 (1.2)
  • Clean sheets 0
  • Failed to score 3

Match details

  • Status Not Started
  • Venue Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce
  • Referee Luca J. Pairetto

Lineups

LecceLecce

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

BolognaBologna

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

Injuries and suspensions

LecceLecce

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

BolognaBologna

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

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