Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction

Leon hosts Guadalajara Chivas on 9 November 2026 at 05:10 in Liga MX's 16th round. Both teams occupy the upper half of the table, but Guadalajara arrives as the more stable outfit. Leon sits ninth with 22 points after 15 matches, having won just one of their last five league games. A 1–2 loss to Cruz Azul in the previous round followed draws and wins, but the defence has leaked 20 goals in 15 outings. Guadalajara hold third place with 29 points and remain unbeaten across their last five rounds, winning three and drawing twice. The visitors have conceded only 14 goals all season and have not lost away in seven league matches.

Form and H2H

Leon average 1.50 goals for and 1.40 against over their last ten matches, posting four wins, three draws, and three losses at home. Guadalajara average 1.80 goals for and 0.80 against on the road, with six wins, three draws, and one loss in their last ten away games. Head-to-head records show a mixed picture: Leon won 4–3 in August 2019, but Guadalajara took 2–0 victories in November 2017 and March 2020. Most recently, Leon won 2–0 in April 2018.

Guadalajara's recent form stands out. They beat Necaxa 1–0, Monterrey 1–0, and Atlante 4–2 in their last three matches. Key players Luis Romo and Brayan Gutiérrez returned from injury and featured in the Atlante win; José Castillo and Ángel Sepúlveda are also available again. Leon have scored 22 goals but conceded 20 across 15 rounds, leaving them vulnerable to a Guadalajara attack that has found the net in each of the last five rounds.

Best Bet

Guadalajara Chivas to win. The visitors' unbeaten five-match run, superior defensive record, and undefeated away streak of seven matches make them the pick here. Leon's leaky defence and recent inconsistency—one win in five league games—create space for Guadalajara's attack to exploit. At Mostbet, a Guadalajara win trades at 2.03.

Odds to Watch

Leon's home record shows profit on the match winner at 3.99, but that masks recent form collapse. Guadalajara's away record shows a 2.60 profit trend on the match winner. The 1X2 market reflects the gap: Melbet offers Leon at 3.08, the draw at 3.5, and Guadalajara at 2.13. At 1xBet, those prices are 3.26, 3.54, and 2.04 respectively. Mostbet prices Leon 2.99, the draw 3.37, and Guadalajara 2.03. The draw has shown a negative profit trend for both sides in recent form, making it the least attractive option in the 1X2 market.