Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Group Stage - 2

Lesotho vs Morocco Prediction

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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 27 Sept 2026Updated: 29 Sept 2026, 14:55

Match preview

Lesotho host Morocco on 29 September 2026 at 16:00 in the second round of 2027 Africa Cup of Nations qualifying. Morocco arrive as heavy favourites after winning the Africa Cup of Nations last year and reaching the World Cup quarter-finals. Lesotho lost their opening qualifier 2-1 away to Niger and have managed just one win in their last seven games.

Form and H2H

Morocco have lost only once in their last 30 matches and won their opening qualifier 2-0 against Gabon. Lesotho have conceded in four consecutive matches and finished bottom of their Africa Cup of Nations qualifying group last year with two goals scored and 13 conceded. The head-to-head record is one-sided: Morocco won 1-0 away in their first meeting, then 7-0 at home, keeping clean sheets in both fixtures.

Morocco's recent matches show a pattern of control rather than volume. Six of their last eight games finished with under 2.5 goals. Lesotho's defensive frailty and Morocco's reluctance to take unnecessary risks in away qualifying ties point toward a restrained scoreline.

Best Bet

Under 4.5 total goals. Morocco's defensive record and low-scoring tendency in recent fixtures, combined with Lesotho's inability to create attacking threat, makes a controlled Moroccan victory the most likely outcome. The 7-0 scoreline from their last meeting is an outlier; Morocco have no reason to pursue a heavy win in a qualifying tie.

Odds to Watch

Morocco win is priced at 1.03 across Melbet, 1xBet, and Mostbet. The draw sits at 13.5 on Melbet and 1xBet, or 9.3 on Mostbet. A Lesotho win is available at 55 on both Melbet and 1xBet, or 21 on Mostbet. The odds reflect Morocco's overwhelming superiority and the near-certainty of a home defeat for Lesotho.

Lesotho vs Morocco Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
Melbet100121.04Place a bet
1xBet4315.5—Place a bet
Mostbet26111.03Place a bet
22Bet70131.03Place a bet
Best odds100.0015.501.04
Average59.7512.881.03
Lowest odds26.0011.001.03
Compare odds
1xBet

Welcome Package up to $1,500 + 210 FS (casino, 4 deposits) and 120% First-Deposit Bonus up to $400 (sports)

1X2 prediction for Lesotho vs Morocco

Date and time 29 September 2026 at 14:00

1X221.0491%
O/UO 1.590%
DCX/295%
BTTSYes50%
1 5%X 4%2 91%

Total under 4.5

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Lesotho vs Morocco Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

LesothoLesothoLast matchesMoroccoMorocco
80%Over 0.5 goals100%
80%Over 1.5 goals100%
60%Over 2.5 goals40%
20%Over 3.5 goals20%
60%BTTS40%
60%Last 5 BTTS40%

Head to Head Lesotho — Morocco

In the last 2 meetings, Morocco hold the edge — 0 wins for Lesotho, 2 for Morocco, 0 draws.

0% W — 00% D — 0100% W — 2
  • MoroccoMorocco7:0LesothoLesotho
    Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · 18 Nov 2024
  • LesothoLesotho0:1MoroccoMorocco
    Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · 09 Sept 2024
100%Over 0.5100%
50%Over 1.550%
50%Over 2.550%
0%BTTS0%
0%Lesotho over 0.5100%

Betting profits Lesotho vs Morocco

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Lesotho

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-4.39313
Match WinnerDraw-5.06213
Match WinnerLose+0.73813
Goals Over/UnderOver 1+0.7655
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1-3.0025
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+1.10710
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-3.08310
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+3.70913
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-4.02513
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+6.33813
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-5.31513
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-0.5458
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+0.0778
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5+0.4433
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5-3.0003
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-1.2916
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+1.1256
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.6611
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.4511
Both Teams ScoreYes-4.5918
Both Teams ScoreNo+2.4678

Morocco

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-3.58815
Match WinnerDraw+3.78615
Match WinnerLose-13.36115
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5-1.7624
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5+7.7924
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+0.331013
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-5.12313
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-1.171013
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-1.13913
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-5.95515
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+2.681015
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-5.26312
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-0.46912
Goals Over/UnderOver 1-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1+2.6311
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-3.69410
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+0.17710
Goals Over/UnderOver 4+4.0334
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-1.6824
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+1.2513
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-0.5423
Both Teams ScoreYes-2.7115
Both Teams ScoreNo+1.3845

Match statistics

2020%Possession %80%80
624%Total shots76%19
117%Shots on target83%5
436%Shots off target64%7
545%Corners55%6
1050%Fouls50%10
00%Yellow cards100%2
00%Red cards0%0
19919%Passes81%828
13615%Accurate passes85%766
375%Saves25%1
00%Offsides100%3

Key events

  • 45'
    Goal Brahim Díaz
    Morocco
  • 45'
    Substitution T. Letsema (→ Bakuena Ramakatsa)
    Lesotho
  • 56'
    Substitution Sera Motebang (→ Molefi Kuzaya Kulehile)
    Lesotho
  • 56'
    Substitution Katleho Koeane (→ Tlotliso Mapola)
    Lesotho
  • 68'
    Substitution N. El Aynaoui (→ A. Ezzalzouli)
    Morocco
  • 69'
    Substitution Brahim Díaz (→ S. Rahimi)
    Morocco
  • 69'
    Substitution N. Mazraoui (→ A. Hakimi)
    Morocco
  • 73'
    Yellow card O. Targhalline
    Morocco
  • 82'
    Goal A. Ounahi
    Morocco
  • 84'
    Substitution A. Ounahi (→ S. El-Faouzi)
    Morocco
  • 84'
    Substitution I. Saibari (→ T. Bentayeb)
    Morocco
  • 84'
    Substitution T. Mafatle (→ Koete Mohloai)
    Lesotho
  • 85'
    Yellow card S. Rahimi
    Morocco

LesothoLast matches Lesotho

In the last 5 matches Lesotho have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 60% of those games.

20% W — 140% D — 240% L — 2
  • NigerNiger2:1LesothoLesotho
    LAfrica Cup of Nations - Qualification · 25 Sept 2026
  • KenyaKenya4:0LesothoLesotho
    LFriendlies · 07 Jun 2026
  • LesothoLesotho1:1KenyaKenya
    DFriendlies · 04 Jun 2026
  • LesothoLesotho2:1SeychellesSeychelles
    WAfrica Cup of Nations - Qualification · 29 Mar 2026
  • SeychellesSeychelles0:0LesothoLesotho
    DAfrica Cup of Nations - Qualification · 26 Mar 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
2
Goals / game
0.8
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
60%

MoroccoLast matches Morocco

Morocco are in a strong run: 3 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 2.0 goals per game.

60% W — 320% D — 120% L — 1
  • MoroccoMorocco2:0GabonGabon
    WAfrica Cup of Nations - Qualification · 25 Sept 2026
  • FranceFrance2:0MoroccoMorocco
    LWorld Cup · 09 Jul 2026
  • CanadaCanada0:3MoroccoMorocco
    WWorld Cup · 04 Jul 2026
  • NetherlandsNetherlands1:1MoroccoMorocco
    DWorld Cup · 30 Jun 2026
  • MoroccoMorocco4:2HaitiHaiti
    WWorld Cup · 24 Jun 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
1
Goals / game
2.0
Over 1.5
100%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
40%

Lesotho vs Morocco Standings

League table is not available for this competition snapshot yet.

Comparative team statistics

120%Wins60%3
240%Draws20%1
240%Losses20%1
440%Goals scored100%10
8100%Goals conceded63%5
00%Points0%0

Season statistic Lesotho vs Morocco

LesothoLesotho

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 0
  • Lost home / away 0 / 2
  • Goals scored 4 (0.8)
  • Goals conceded 8 (1.6)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 2

MoroccoMorocco

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 2 / 1
  • Lost home / away 0 / 1
  • Goals scored 10 (2.0)
  • Goals conceded 5 (1.0)
  • Clean sheets 2
  • Failed to score 1

Match details

  • Status Finished
  • Referee Abdou Abdel Mefire

Lineups

LesothoLesotho · 5-4-1

Starting XI

  1. Sekhoane Moerane
  2. M. Mkwanazi
  3. T. Makhele
  4. R. Mokokoana
  5. Katleho Koeane
  6. T. Lesaoana
  7. T. Mafatle
  8. T. Letsema
  9. Thabang Malane
  10. Neo Mokhachane
  11. Sera Motebang

Bench

  1. Lehlohonolo Fothoane
  2. Itumeleng Kenneth Falene
  3. Koketso Kharajane
  4. Molefi Kuzaya Kulehile
  5. Tholang Makuru
  6. Tlotliso Mapola
  7. Leluma Mofoka
  8. Bakuena Ramakatsa
  9. M. Seahlolo
  10. T. Sefali
  11. Koete Mohloai

MoroccoMorocco · 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. Y. Bounou
  2. Z. El Ouahdi
  3. I. Diop
  4. A. Ait Boudlal
  5. N. Mazraoui
  6. O. Targhalline
  7. N. El Aynaoui
  8. Brahim Díaz
  9. A. Ounahi
  10. B. El Khannouss
  11. I. Saibari

Bench

  1. A. Salah-Eddine
  2. M. Saâdane
  3. S. Rahimi
  4. M. Mohamedi
  5. R. Halhal
  6. A. Hakimi
  7. A. Ezzalzouli
  8. S. El-Faouzi
  9. S. El Mourabet
  10. A. Bouaddi
  11. T. Bentayeb
  12. Gessime Yassine

Injuries and suspensions

LesothoLesotho

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

MoroccoMorocco

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

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