Championship · Regular Season - 8

Lincoln vs Swansea Prediction

1 : 2FTEngland
Alexander Bryant photo
AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 17 Sept 2026Updated: 19 Sept 2026, 16:02

Match preview

Lincoln host Swansea on 19 September 2026 at 17:00 in a Championship fixture that looks set for goals at both ends. The prediction is a 2-2 draw, with both teams scoring and the match staying under 4.5 goals. Lincoln have won five of their last ten at home but concede regularly, averaging 1.20 goals against per game. Swansea arrive with identical recent form—five wins in ten—and score at a similar rate (1.20 per game away) while defending more tightly (0.90 conceded). Both sides have shown attacking intent and defensive vulnerability, the kind of balance that produces shared scorelines.

Form and H2H

Lincoln's last ten reads W5 D2 L3 at home, with an average of 1.20 goals for and 1.20 against. Swansea's away record mirrors that win-loss split (W5 D2 L3) but they concede fewer (0.90 per game) while scoring 1.20. The profit trends reveal Lincoln have lost money on backing the home win (−4.97 units) and heavily on team totals over 1.5 (−8.97 units), suggesting their attacking output has disappointed backers. Swansea's away win bets have returned 3.78 units profit, and their under 0.5 goals has been profitable (1.99 units), indicating they travel defensively sound but not prolific.

Best Bet

Both teams to score. Lincoln's home form and Swansea's away record both point to open play and chances created. Neither defence has been tight enough to shut out opponents regularly, and the attacking talent on both sides—particularly Lincoln's Mikkel Ladefoged—suggests goals will come. This is a match where both sides have the quality to find the net.

Odds to Watch

The correct score 2-2 captures the balance of this fixture. Over 2.5 goals is the play if you expect an attacking game, while Over 3.5 goals offers longer odds for those backing a higher-scoring affair. Swansea at +0.5 in the Asian handicap reflects their defensive solidity away from home and their recent profit trend on the road. Ladefoged as an anytime goalscorer is worth considering given his prominence in Lincoln's attack.

Lincoln vs Swansea Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
22Bet2.943.22.4Place a bet
Best odds2.943.202.40
Average2.943.202.40
Lowest odds2.943.202.40
Compare odds

1X2 prediction for Lincoln vs Swansea

Date and time 19 September 2026 at 17:00

1X222.439%
DCX/268%
BTTSNo30%
1 32%X 29%2 39%

Swansea win

Place a bet on this match

Lincoln vs Swansea Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

LincolnLincolnLast matchesSwanseaSwansea
80%Over 0.5 goals80%
40%Over 1.5 goals80%
20%Over 2.5 goals60%
20%Over 3.5 goals40%
20%BTTS40%
20%Last 5 BTTS40%

Head to Head Lincoln — Swansea

In the last 1 meetings, Swansea hold the edge — 0 wins for Lincoln, 1 for Swansea, 0 draws.

0% W — 00% D — 0100% W — 1
  • LincolnLincoln1:2SwanseaSwansea
    Championship · 19 Sept 2026
100%Over 0.5100%
100%Over 1.5100%
100%Over 2.5100%
100%BTTS100%
100%Lincoln over 0.5100%

Betting profits Lincoln vs Swansea

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Lincoln

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+4.97715
Match WinnerDraw-7.44215
Match WinnerLose+1.99615
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-2.66715
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+1.03815
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-2.88715
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+0.661115
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-2.62414
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-0.021014
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-2.0013
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.4533
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-3.41510
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+4.92610
Goals Over/UnderOver 1+0.0111
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-2.38711
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+3.59411
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-5.27111
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.521011
Both Teams ScoreYes-1.0001
Both Teams ScoreNo+1.1311

Swansea

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+3.78714
Match WinnerDraw+0.21414
Match WinnerLose-7.09314
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-1.00710
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+1.22310
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-2.56614
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+2.12814
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-2.49513
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+0.75913
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-1.07413
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-0.56913
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-9.0009
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+1.2399
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-1.71711
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+2.88611
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.3311

Match statistics

5858%Possession %42%42
1458%Total shots42%10
556%Shots on target44%4
571%Shots off target29%2
2100%Corners0%0
1252%Fouls48%11
267%Yellow cards33%1
00%Red cards0%0
23730%Passes70%566
14824%Accurate passes76%459
233%Saves67%4
4100%Offsides0%0

Key events

  • 6'
    B. HouseYellow card
    Lincoln
  • 25'
    R. TowlerYellow card
    Lincoln
  • 39'
    R. HackettPenalty
    Lincoln
  • 47'
    M. YeoGoal · assist M. Widell
    Swansea
  • 51'
    S. EustáquioGoal · assist F. Lissah
    Swansea
  • 60'
    M. Yeo → RonaldSubstitution
    Swansea
  • 60'
    E. Just → Joseph OkopuSubstitution
    Swansea
  • 60'
    A. Idah → Z. VipotnikSubstitution
    Swansea
  • 64'
    A. Reach → C. OgbeneSubstitution
    Lincoln
  • 64'
    C. McGrandles → Y. KonakSubstitution
    Lincoln
  • 64'
    B. House → M. LadefogedSubstitution
    Lincoln
  • 77'
    S. Eustáquio → Gonçalo FrancoSubstitution
    Swansea
  • 77'
    R. Towler → R. StreetSubstitution
    Lincoln
  • 82'
    S. Welsh → J. SeeltSubstitution
    Swansea
  • 84'
    C. CohenYellow card
    Lincoln
  • 90'
    F. LissahYellow card
    Swansea

LincolnLast matches Lincoln

In the last 5 matches Lincoln have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. BTTS landed in 20% of those games.

40% W — 240% D — 220% L — 1
  • Bristol CityBristol City0:1LincolnLincoln
    WChampionship · 15 Sept 2026
  • PrestonPreston0:1LincolnLincoln
    WChampionship · 12 Sept 2026
  • BournemouthBournemouth4:0LincolnLincoln
    LLeague Cup · 08 Sept 2026
  • LincolnLincoln1:1SouthamptonSouthampton
    DChampionship · 05 Sept 2026
  • LincolnLincoln0:0BlackburnBlackburn
    DChampionship · 01 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1
Goals / game
0.6
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS
20%

SwanseaLast matches Swansea

Swansea are in a strong run: 3 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 1.8 goals per game.

60% W — 320% D — 120% L — 1
  • SwanseaSwansea3:1BurnleyBurnley
    WChampionship · 12 Sept 2026
  • SouthamptonSouthampton3:1SwanseaSwansea
    LChampionship · 08 Sept 2026
  • SwanseaSwansea0:0WrexhamWrexham
    DChampionship · 05 Sept 2026
  • SwanseaSwansea2:0WatfordWatford
    WChampionship · 01 Sept 2026
  • DerbyDerby0:3SwanseaSwansea
    WChampionship · 29 Aug 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
1
Goals / game
1.8
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
40%

Lincoln vs Swansea Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1West HamWest Ham843122-111115
2SwanseaSwansea742111-5614
3MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough742114-10414
4West BromWest Brom742110-7314
5Stoke CityStoke City841313-12113
6Bristol CityBristol City841311-12-113
7QPRQPR73318-5312
8CharltonCharlton83327-10-312
9WolvesWolves632114-10411
10MillwallMillwall832315-15011
11LincolnLincoln73226-6011
12SouthamptonSouthampton742118-81010
13BirminghamBirmingham724110-9110
14NorwichNorwich730413-1309
15Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd82339-11-29
16BlackburnBlackburn722310-1008
17WatfordWatford82247-10-38
18PortsmouthPortsmouth62137-8-17
19CardiffCardiff814310-12-27
20WrexhamWrexham71427-11-47
21BoltonBolton72147-12-57
22DerbyDerby71156-13-74
23PrestonPreston71066-13-73
24BurnleyBurnley70348-16-83
League position 11 / 24Comparative team statisticsLeague position 2 / 24
343%Wins57%4
229%Draws29%2
229%Losses14%1
655%Goals scored100%11
6100%Goals conceded83%5
1179%Points100%14

Season statistic Lincoln vs Swansea

LincolnLincoln

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 0 / 2
  • Lost home / away 0 / 1
  • Goals scored 3 (0.6)
  • Goals conceded 5 (1.0)
  • Clean sheets 3
  • Failed to score 2

SwanseaSwansea

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 2 / 1
  • Lost home / away 0 / 1
  • Goals scored 9 (1.8)
  • Goals conceded 4 (0.8)
  • Clean sheets 3
  • Failed to score 1

Match details

  • Status Finished
  • Venue Sincil Bank, Lincoln
  • Referee Anthony Backhouse

Lineups

LincolnLincoln · 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. C. McGrandles
  2. B. House
  3. R. Hackett
  4. A. Reach
  5. S. Bradley
  6. T. Bayliss
  7. G. Wickens
  8. R. Towler
  9. F. Draper
  10. D. Elerewe
  11. A. Coubiș

Bench

  1. J. Gauci
  2. C. Ogbene
  3. D. Jefferies
  4. D. Oyegoke
  5. R. Street
  6. I. Varfolomeev
  7. E. Wheatley
  8. M. Ladefoged
  9. Y. Konak

SwanseaSwansea · 4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. L. Vigouroux
  2. J. Tymon
  3. S. Eustáquio
  4. S. Welsh
  5. E. Just
  6. B. Cabango
  7. A. Idah
  8. M. Stamenić
  9. F. Lissah
  10. M. Widell
  11. M. Yeo

Bench

  1. J. Fulton
  2. Gonçalo Franco
  3. Ronald
  4. A. Fisher
  5. Z. Vipotnik
  6. J. Seelt
  7. Tom Iorpenda
  8. Tiago Parente
  9. Joseph Okopu

Injuries and suspensions

LincolnLincoln

  • T. Hamer — Unavailable. Health problems
  • T. Darikwa — Unavailable. Knee Injury
  • M. Melia — Unavailable. Thigh Injury

SwanseaSwansea

  • C. Burgess — Unavailable. Achilles Tendon Injury
  • R. Stewart — Unavailable. Injury

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

← All football predictions