Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction

Liverpool host Chelsea on 28 October 2026 at 23:00 in the League Cup fourth round at Anfield. Both sides arrive depleted. Liverpool are without Dominic Soboslai and possibly Florian Wirtz. Chelsea lost Cole Palmer to suspension after his red card against Tottenham, and João Félix and Emiliano Martínez remain sidelined. The bookmakers see this as a coin flip: Liverpool win at 2.35 to 2.45 across partners, Chelsea at 2.70 to 2.77, and the draw between 3.65 and 3.90.

Form and H2H

Liverpool beat Brighton 2–0 at home in their last Premier League outing and have won four straight across all competitions, scoring 14 goals in that run. They beat Tottenham 3–1 in the previous League Cup round. At Anfield in the League Cup, Liverpool have posted over 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 home matches and exceeded 8.5 shots on target in 8 of 10.

Chelsea lost 0–2 to Tottenham in their most recent league game, conceding from a corner and finishing with ten men. They hammered Leeds 6–3 at Stamford Bridge in their last League Cup tie. Away in the competition, Chelsea have recorded fewer than 3.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 visits but have managed over 12.5 shots in 8 of 10 and out-shot opponents in 9 of 10.

Best Bet

Over 2.5 goals. Liverpool rarely play low at home in the League Cup and consistently generate high shot volume. Chelsea, despite their injury toll, maintain attacking intent in cup football and regularly hit their shot targets. Four of the last five head-to-head meetings across all competitions finished by a single goal, suggesting tight contests that still produce goals. The fixture does not require exotic circumstances to reach three. Melbet offer 1.48 on over 2.5, 1xBet at 1.48, 1Win at 1.48, and Mostbet at 1.48.

Odds to Watch

Liverpool's home advantage is priced but not heavily favoured. Melbet quote a home win at 2.35, 1xBet at 2.45, 1Win at 2.29, and Mostbet at 2.39. Chelsea's away win sits at 2.77 with Melbet, 2.70 with 1xBet, 2.77 with 1Win, and 2.52 with Mostbet. The draw ranges from 3.65 to 3.90 across the same partners. Both teams will rotate, and both carry injury concerns that flatten the usual home-ground edge into near parity.