Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Group Stage - 2

Madagascar vs Tanzania Prediction

1 : 1LIVE 90' · 2HWorld
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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 28 Sept 2026Updated: 29 Sept 2026, 16:00

Match preview

Madagascar face Tanzania on 29 September 2026 at 16:00 in the second round of Africa Cup of Nations qualification. The match takes place at Stade d'Honneur in Meknes, Morocco, a neutral venue that strips away home advantage for both sides.

Madagascar lost 2-1 to Nigeria in their opening qualifier despite taking the lead through Ehsan Kari's 16th-minute header. They came close to a shock result but conceded twice after halftime. Tanzania played at home against Guinea-Bissau and lost 2-0, with Franculino Djú and Mama Baldé scoring for the visitors. Tanzania have already qualified for the 2027 Africa Cup of Nations as hosts, so this match carries less pressure for them than for Madagascar, who sit in a three-way battle with Nigeria and Guinea-Bissau for the single additional qualification spot in Group L.

Form and H2H

Madagascar's last ten matches show five wins, one draw, and four losses at home, averaging 1.79 goals for and 1.95 against. Tanzania's away record over the same period is one win, two draws, and seven losses, with 1.33 goals for and 1.48 against.

The teams have met four times since 2021. Tanzania won 3-2 in September 2021 and drew 1-1 two months later. More recently, Madagascar won 1-0 in June 2025, but Tanzania reversed that result with a 2-1 victory in August 2025. The head-to-head is competitive and unpredictable.

Best bet

Both teams to score. Madagascar need a result to stay in the qualification race and will attack. Tanzania, despite their guaranteed spot at the tournament, will want to respond to a home defeat and will push forward themselves. Both sides have shown they can score in this fixture and in their recent qualifying matches. Back both teams to score at 1xBet 2.51, Mostbet 2.51, or 22Bet 2.51.

Odds to watch

Madagascar are slight underdogs at 1xBet 2.51 for the home win, with the draw at 2.97 and Tanzania at 2.85. Mostbet prices the home win at 2.51, the draw at 2.61, and the away win at 2.86. At 22Bet, Madagascar sit at 2.51, the draw at 2.97, and Tanzania at 2.85. The odds suggest a close match with little separation between the three outcomes.

Madagascar vs Tanzania Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
Melbet2.293.023.21Place a bet
1xBet2.283.023.23Place a bet
Mostbet2.352.633.41Place a bet
22Bet2.293.023.21Place a bet
Best odds2.353.023.41
Average2.302.923.26
Lowest odds2.282.633.21
Compare odds
1xBet

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1X2 prediction for Madagascar vs Tanzania

Date and time 29 September 2026 at 15:00

1X212.2937%
DC1/X68%
BTTSNo40%
1 37%X 31%2 32%

Madagascar win

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Madagascar vs Tanzania Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

MadagascarMadagascarLast matchesTanzaniaTanzania
100%Over 0.5 goals100%
100%Over 1.5 goals60%
60%Over 2.5 goals20%
40%Over 3.5 goals20%
60%BTTS20%
60%Last 5 BTTS20%

Head to Head Madagascar — Tanzania

In the last 4 meetings, Tanzania hold the edge — 1 wins for Madagascar, 2 for Tanzania, 1 draws.

25% W — 125% D — 150% W — 2
  • TanzaniaTanzania2:1MadagascarMadagascar
    African Nations Championship · 09 Aug 2025
  • TanzaniaTanzania0:1MadagascarMadagascar
    COSAFA Cup · 07 Jun 2025
  • MadagascarMadagascar1:1TanzaniaTanzania
    World Cup - Qualification Africa · 14 Nov 2021
  • TanzaniaTanzania3:2MadagascarMadagascar
    World Cup - Qualification Africa · 07 Sept 2021
100%Over 0.5100%
75%Over 1.575%
50%Over 2.550%
75%BTTS75%
100%Madagascar over 0.575%

Betting profits Madagascar vs Tanzania

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Madagascar

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-0.07512
Match WinnerDraw-3.34312
Match WinnerLose-5.86412
Goals Over/UnderOver 1-0.4445
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1-1.1115
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+3.221011
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-8.81111
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+3.451011
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-5.42511
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+3.23712
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-4.43512
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5+0.0822
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5-2.0002
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+2.8768
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-2.3558
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-2.0414
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-0.3234
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-2.0013
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.0533
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-2.0002
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.3522
Both Teams ScoreYes+4.4469
Both Teams ScoreNo-3.8439

Tanzania

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-10.10213
Match WinnerDraw-0.30413
Match WinnerLose+17.74713
Goals Over/UnderOver 1-0.8423
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1+2.8023
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-2.89612
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+5.91612
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-2.21610
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+1.46810
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-6.82313
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+3.181013
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5-0.6534
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5+1.8514
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-7.0007
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+2.6477
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-5.5517
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+0.5367
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-0.5012
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-0.9912
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-2.1814
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-0.6934
Both Teams ScoreYes-0.52410
Both Teams ScoreNo-0.80610

Match statistics

5959%Possession %41%41
739%Total shots61%11
467%Shots on target33%2
114%Shots off target86%6
3100%Corners0%0
1855%Fouls45%15
250%Yellow cards50%2
00%Red cards0%0
54658%Passes42%388
47460%Accurate passes40%312
125%Saves75%3
00%Offsides100%2

Key events

  • 35'
    Yellow card I. Hamad
    Tanzania
  • 39'
    Goal Cyprian Kachwele
    Tanzania
  • 45'
    Substitution L. Lapoussin (→ H. Abdallah)
    Madagascar
  • 45+3'
    Yellow card Radoniaina Rabemanantsoa
    Madagascar
  • 50'
    Goal N. Fontaine (E. Kari)
    Madagascar
  • 61'
    Substitution N. Fontaine (→ R. Ponti)
    Madagascar
  • 67'
    Substitution Miano van den Bos (→ H. Mnoga)
    Tanzania
  • 69'
    Substitution Cyprian Kachwele (→ Simon Happygod Msuva)
    Tanzania
  • 70'
    Substitution F. Salum (→ C. M'Mombwa)
    Tanzania
  • 81'
    Substitution W. Caddy (→ R. Ferber)
    Madagascar
  • 81'
    Substitution S. Trémoulet (→ N. Fontaine)
    Madagascar
  • 81'
    Substitution M. Hussein (→ P. Msindo)
    Tanzania
  • 81'
    Substitution Abdul Hamisi Suleiman (→ S. Mwalimu)
    Tanzania
  • 85'
    Yellow card H. Mao
    Tanzania
  • 90'
    Substitution M. Ilaimaharitra (→ Rijaniaina Nicolas Randriamanampisoa)
    Madagascar
  • 90+1'
    Yellow card Rijaniaina Nicolas Randriamanampisoa
    Madagascar

MadagascarLast matches Madagascar

In the last 5 matches Madagascar have 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 60% of those games.

40% W — 220% D — 140% L — 2
  • NigeriaNigeria2:1MadagascarMadagascar
    LAfrica Cup of Nations - Qualification · 25 Sept 2026
  • MoroccoMorocco4:0MadagascarMadagascar
    LFriendlies · 02 Jun 2026
  • Equatorial GuineaEquatorial Guinea1:1MadagascarMadagascar
    DFriendlies · 31 Mar 2026
  • KyrgyzstanKyrgyzstan2:5MadagascarMadagascar
    WFriendlies · 28 Mar 2026
  • MadagascarMadagascar2:0Equatorial GuineaEquatorial Guinea
    WFriendlies · 17 Nov 2025

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2
Goals / game
1.8
Over 1.5
100%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
60%

TanzaniaLast matches Tanzania

In the last 5 matches Tanzania have 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses. BTTS landed in 20% of those games.

20% W — 120% D — 160% L — 3
  • TanzaniaTanzania0:2Guinea-BissauGuinea-Bissau
    LAfrica Cup of Nations - Qualification · 25 Sept 2026
  • MaçãoMação0:6TanzaniaTanzania
    WFIFA Series · 29 Mar 2026
  • TanzaniaTanzania0:1LiechtensteinLiechtenstein
    LFIFA Series · 26 Mar 2026
  • MoroccoMorocco1:0TanzaniaTanzania
    LAfrica Cup of Nations · 04 Jan 2026
  • TanzaniaTanzania1:1TunisiaTunisia
    DAfrica Cup of Nations · 30 Dec 2025

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
3
Goals / game
1.4
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS
20%

Madagascar vs Tanzania Standings

League table is not available for this competition snapshot yet.

Comparative team statistics

240%Wins20%1
120%Draws20%1
240%Losses60%3
9100%Goals scored78%7
9100%Goals conceded56%5
00%Points0%0

Season statistic Madagascar vs Tanzania

MadagascarMadagascar

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 1
  • Lost home / away 0 / 2
  • Goals scored 9 (1.8)
  • Goals conceded 9 (1.8)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 1

TanzaniaTanzania

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 0 / 1
  • Lost home / away 2 / 1
  • Goals scored 7 (1.4)
  • Goals conceded 5 (1.0)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 3

Match details

  • Status Second Half
  • Venue Stade d'Honneur, Meknes
  • Referee Patrice Tanguy Mebiame

Lineups

MadagascarMadagascar · 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. Radoniaina Rabemanantsoa
  2. M. Ilaimaharitra
  3. R. Raveloson
  4. L. Lapoussin
  5. M. Jean-Pierre
  6. W. Caddy
  7. G. Dupire
  8. N. Fontaine
  9. S. Trémoulet
  10. E. Kari
  11. El Hadari

Bench

  1. Behaja Tsirava
  2. Bono Stephanot Randriamirehitra
  3. Nantenaina Elysee Tony Randriamanampisoa
  4. R. Rakotohasimbola
  5. Rijaniaina Nicolas Randriamanampisoa
  6. Sonny Laiton
  7. Thomas Fontaine
  8. R. Ferber
  9. H. Abdallah
  10. R. Ponti
  11. M. Acapandié
  12. C. Couturier

TanzaniaTanzania · 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. Abdul Hamisi Suleiman
  2. Denis Kibu
  3. Yonna Geoffrey
  4. H. Mao
  5. F. Salum
  6. M. Hussein
  7. A. Msanga
  8. Miano van den Bos
  9. Cyprian Kachwele
  10. N. Chilambo
  11. I. Hamad

Bench

  1. Mudathir Yahya Abbas
  2. Simon Happygod Msuva
  3. C. M'Mombwa
  4. H. Mnoga
  5. M. Mnata
  6. T. Allarakhia
  7. P. Msindo
  8. L. Lawi
  9. M. Abraham
  10. S. Mwalimu
  11. Z. Foba

Injuries and suspensions

MadagascarMadagascar

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

TanzaniaTanzania

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

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