Modena vs Empoli Prediction

Modena host Empoli on 20 September 2026 at 20:30 in Serie B. The prediction is a 1-1 draw. Modena have won four of their last ten matches at home but conceded in eight of those ten games. Empoli arrive with four wins in their last ten away fixtures and have kept a clean sheet in only three of those ten outings. The teams met twice in 2025-26: Modena won 2-1 at home in October, then drew 0-0 away in January.

Form and Head to Head

Modena's home record shows 1.43 goals per game and 0.80 conceded over their last ten. Empoli's away form reads 0.97 goals for and 0.90 against per match across the same span. Both teams have leaked goals consistently this season. Modena have lost money for backers of the home win and the draw at home, while Empoli's away win has also underperformed. The draw has been the only profitable market for Empoli on the road, suggesting value in stalemate outcomes when they travel.

Best Bet

A 1-1 correct score reflects the defensive frailties of both sides and their recent tendency to share the spoils. Both teams to score offers a straightforward angle given Modena's leaky home defence and Empoli's ability to create chances away from home. The draw remains the most profitable result for Empoli visitors historically.

Odds to Watch

Under 2.5 goals sits at 1.90 across the market, though the prediction leans toward exactly two goals. Over 1.5 goals is priced at 1.29. The 1-1 correct score carries odds around 7.00 at most operators. Both teams to score is available near 1.91. Daniele Montevago is worth monitoring as an anytime goalscorer option at 2.20.