Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction

Monterrey host Guadalajara Chivas on 25 October 2026 at 05:00 in Liga MX round 14. Monterrey have won their last two league matches and sit seventh with 20 points from 12 games. Guadalajara remain second on 23 points from 13 matches but have drawn three of their last five outings. The pick is Monterrey to win.

Form and H2H

Monterrey have taken 3 wins in their last 5 league games, including a 4–1 away victory over Puebla and a 2–1 home win against Pachuca. They drew 1–1 with América and lost 2–4 to Atlanta in that run. Lucas Ocampos has scored 5 league goals this season and plays a key role in their attacking play, which relies on quick combinations and active movement in the final third.

Guadalajara have conceded only 12 goals in 13 matches and remain unbeaten away from home this season, the only team in the league without an away defeat. However, recent form shows three draws in their last five matches: 1–1 with Tigres, 1–1 with Atlas, and 2–2 with América, plus a 0–2 loss to Querétaro. They beat Necaxa 1–0 in that span. Their defensive solidity contrasts with a tendency to drop points on the road despite not losing.

Best bet

Monterrey to win at 1xBet 2.53, 1Win 2.3, or 22Bet 2.27. Monterrey's home form and attacking momentum in recent weeks, combined with Guadalajara's recent draws and need to chase if behind, favours the hosts. Guadalajara's unbeaten away record is notable but has been built largely on draws rather than wins.

Odds to watch

Over 2.5 goals is worth monitoring. Four of the last five head-to-head meetings produced at least 3 goals combined, including a 3–2 Guadalajara win in March 2026 and a 4–2 victory in November 2025. Monterrey's recent scorelines—4–1 and 2–4 in their last two matches—show both teams regularly feature in open, high-scoring contests. Both teams to score is also a reasonable angle given their attacking personnel and Monterrey's likelihood of pressing early if they take the lead.