Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 27

Nashville SC vs Toronto FC Prediction

Alexander Bryant photo
AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 25 Sept 2026Updated: 27 Sept 2026, 03:20

Match preview

Nashville SC host Toronto FC at GEODIS Park on 27 September 2026 at 03:30, with the Yellow-Blacks seeking to extend their grip on the Eastern Conference. Nashville have won five straight at home and averaged 3.60 goals per game on their own ground. Sam Surridge leads the attack with 16 MLS goals this season. Warren Madrigal is sidelined with a lower-body injury for Nashville.

Toronto arrive in poor form after back-to-back defeats to Orlando City and St. Louis City. The Reds have conceded two goals per game across their last ten matches and failed to keep a clean sheet in that run. Walker Zimmerman is an injury doubt after starting Toronto's previous two matches.

Form and H2H

Nashville's home record stands as the foundation for this fixture. Five consecutive wins at GEODIS Park, combined with an average of 3.60 goals scored per game at home, gives them a clear advantage. Toronto's defensive fragility—two goals conceded per game over ten matches with zero clean sheets—presents a direct mismatch against Nashville's attacking output.

Best Bet

Nashville SC to win. The home side's dominance at GEODIS Park and Toronto's defensive struggles make a Nashville victory the strongest play. Mostbet offers 1.43 for the home win, 1xBet 1.48, Melbet 1.45, and 22Bet 3.66.

Odds to Watch

Over 2.5 goals is the secondary angle. Nashville average 4.40 goals at home this season, and Toronto have given up two per game in their last ten. Melbet prices Over 2.5 at standard odds, as do the other partners. Sam Surridge to score anytime carries value given his 16-goal tally and Nashville's attacking setup at home.

Nashville SC vs Toronto FC Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
Melbet1.454.846.35Place a bet
1xBet1.484.956.51Place a bet
Mostbet1.434.85.9Place a bet
Best odds1.484.956.51
Average1.454.866.25
Lowest odds1.434.805.90
Compare odds
1xBet

Welcome Package up to $1,500 + 210 FS (casino, 4 deposits) and 120% First-Deposit Bonus up to $400 (sports)

1X2 prediction for Nashville SC vs Toronto FC

Date and time 27 September 2026 at 03:30

1X211.4565%
DC1/X85%
BTTSYes60%
1 65%X 20%2 15%

Nashville SC win

Place a bet on this match

Nashville SC vs Toronto FC Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

Nashville SCNashville SCLast matchesToronto FCToronto FC
80%Over 0.5 goals100%
80%Over 1.5 goals100%
80%Over 2.5 goals80%
40%Over 3.5 goals40%
40%BTTS80%
40%Last 5 BTTS80%

Head to Head Nashville SC — Toronto FC

In the last 8 meetings, Nashville SC hold the edge — 4 wins for Nashville SC, 2 for Toronto FC, 2 draws.

50% W — 425% D — 225% W — 2
  • Toronto FCToronto FC2:1Nashville SCNashville SC
    Major League Soccer · 09 Sept 2026
  • Nashville SCNashville SC1:0Toronto FCToronto FC
    Major League Soccer · 20 Jul 2025
  • Toronto FCToronto FC1:2Nashville SCNashville SC
    Major League Soccer · 24 May 2025
  • Toronto FCToronto FC1:2Nashville SCNashville SC
    Major League Soccer · 19 Jun 2024
  • Nashville SCNashville SC2:0Toronto FCToronto FC
    Major League Soccer · 16 May 2024
  • Toronto FCToronto FC1:1Nashville SCNashville SC
    Major League Soccer · 10 Jun 2023
  • Nashville SCNashville SC0:0Toronto FCToronto FC
    Major League Soccer · 09 Apr 2023
  • Nashville SCNashville SC3:4Toronto FCToronto FC
    Major League Soccer · 07 Aug 2022
88%Over 0.588%
75%Over 1.575%
50%Over 2.550%
63%BTTS63%
88%Nashville SC over 0.563%

Betting profits Nashville SC vs Toronto FC

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Nashville SC

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+0.14815
Match WinnerDraw-3.79315
Match WinnerLose-2.66415
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-4.27915
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+13.24615
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-0.35915
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-1.16615
Goals Over/UnderOver 30.00915
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-1.10915
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+0.07615
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-1.27915
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-1.00315
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-0.311215
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-0.5712
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+1.1612
Goals Over/UnderOver 40.0011
Goals Over/UnderUnder 40.0011

Toronto FC

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-2.07315
Match WinnerDraw+7.82615
Match WinnerLose-4.30615
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+0.261214
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-5.39214
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+2.211115
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-5.96415
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+0.471014
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-1.93914
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-3.05515
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+1.341015
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-1.2314
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.6834
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-2.98315
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-0.031215
Goals Over/UnderOver 1-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1+8.0011
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-0.5912
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+1.0512
Both Teams ScoreYes-1.0001
Both Teams ScoreNo+1.0511

Match statistics

In-play and full-time match stats appear after kick-off.

Nashville SCLast matches Nashville SC

In the last 5 matches Nashville SC have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. BTTS landed in 40% of those games.

40% W — 240% D — 220% L — 1
  • Nashville SCNashville SC3:0Chicago FireChicago Fire
    WMajor League Soccer · 20 Sept 2026
  • Inter MiamiInter Miami2:2Nashville SCNashville SC
    DMajor League Soccer · 12 Sept 2026
  • Toronto FCToronto FC2:1Nashville SCNashville SC
    LMajor League Soccer · 09 Sept 2026
  • New York City FCNew York City FC0:0Nashville SCNashville SC
    DMajor League Soccer · 04 Sept 2026
  • Nashville SCNashville SC4:0FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
    WMajor League Soccer · 30 Aug 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1
Goals / game
2.0
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS
40%

Toronto FCLast matches Toronto FC

In the last 5 matches Toronto FC have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 80% of those games.

20% W — 140% D — 240% L — 2
  • St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3:1Toronto FCToronto FC
    LMajor League Soccer · 20 Sept 2026
  • Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3:0Toronto FCToronto FC
    LMajor League Soccer · 12 Sept 2026
  • Toronto FCToronto FC2:1Nashville SCNashville SC
    WMajor League Soccer · 09 Sept 2026
  • Toronto FCToronto FC4:4Chicago FireChicago Fire
    DMajor League Soccer · 05 Sept 2026
  • Toronto FCToronto FC1:1New York City FCNew York City FC
    DMajor League Soccer · 29 Aug 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
2
Goals / game
1.6
Over 1.5
100%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS
80%

Nashville SC vs Toronto FC Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps25154656-233349
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo26135834-30444
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City26128645-36944
4FC DallasFC Dallas26128649-42744
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes26126846-38842
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC27118843-291441
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids261131236-35136
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy27891034-42-833
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers26951247-48-132
10Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2588930-33-332
11San DiegoSan Diego26871144-44031
12AustinAustin26791032-44-1230
13Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake26851337-44-729
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC26781139-46-729
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City25531729-63-3418
1Nashville SCNashville SC26176353-213257
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution26144845-331246
3Inter MiamiInter Miami261210463-481546
4CharlotteCharlotte26127747-371043
5Chicago FireChicago Fire25116845-38739
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union261061050-42836
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC261041246-60-1434
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls26961134-48-1433
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2589854-61-733
10New York City FCNew York City FC26881039-34532
11DC UnitedDC United25611831-39-829
12Toronto FCToronto FC26611939-49-1029
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew26751437-42-526
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC26751430-43-1326
15CF MontrealCF Montreal26561531-53-2221
League position 1 / 30Comparative team statisticsLeague position 12 / 30
1765%Wins23%6
623%Draws42%11
312%Losses35%9
53100%Goals scored74%39
2143%Goals conceded100%49
57100%Points51%29

Season statistic Nashville SC vs Toronto FC

Nashville SCNashville SC

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 2 / 0
  • Lost home / away 0 / 1
  • Goals scored 10 (2.0)
  • Goals conceded 4 (0.8)
  • Clean sheets 3
  • Failed to score 1

Toronto FCToronto FC

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 0
  • Lost home / away 0 / 2
  • Goals scored 8 (1.6)
  • Goals conceded 12 (2.4)
  • Clean sheets 0
  • Failed to score 1

Match details

  • Status Match Finished
  • Venue Geodis Park, Nashville
  • Referee Ramy Touchan

Lineups

Nashville SCNashville SC

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

Toronto FCToronto FC

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

Injuries and suspensions

Nashville SCNashville SC

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Toronto FCToronto FC

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

← All football predictions