Netherlands vs Serbia Prediction

Netherlands visit Serbia on 4 October 2026 at 21:45 in the second round of UEFA Nations League League A. Serbia lost 1-2 at home to Greece in their opening match, surrendering a lead after the break. The Netherlands drew 1-1 away to Germany under new coach Xavi, equalizing through Cody Gakpo in stoppage time. Serbia have injury absences including centre-back Nikola Milenković, while the Netherlands are managing knocks to Justin Kluivert, Donyell Malen, and Brian Brobbey, who left the field against Germany.

Form and Head to Head

Serbia's last ten matches show four wins, five draws, and one loss at home, averaging 1.90 goals for and 1.20 against. Away from home, the Netherlands have won three of their last ten, with no draws and seven losses, averaging 0.87 goals for and 2.35 against. Serbia conceded in each of their last ten matches. The Netherlands have conceded in nine consecutive matches. The Netherlands scored first in five of their previous six matches. These teams have never met in competitive play before.

Best Bet

Back Under 3.5 goals. Serbia's defensive vulnerabilities were exposed by Greece, and the Netherlands' attacking options are hampered by injury. Both teams showed they are still adjusting—Serbia to regaining control after conceding, the Netherlands to Xavi's new system. A tight, low-scoring contest suits the away side's need to be compact and efficient on the counter.

Odds to Watch

Netherlands are favoured across the market. At 1xBet, a home win trades at 7.01, the draw at 5.00, and Serbia at 1.45. Mostbet prices the Netherlands at 6.6, the draw at 4.9, and Serbia at 1.43. At 22Bet, the Netherlands sit at 7.01, the draw at 5.00, and Serbia at 1.45. The Netherlands' superior recent away record and Serbia's injury concerns explain the gap, though Serbia's home advantage and squad depth keep the odds competitive.